✓Model correct — prediction Karpaty
32'
Y. Kostenko
44'
A. Chachua
56'
Jean Pedroso
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Karpaty a 73% win probability (draw 15%, Ruh Lviv 11%). The final result was Ruh Lviv 0–3 Karpaty. In 1 previous meetings, Ruh Lviv have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Karpaty.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
10
0.93
Actual xG
3.85
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
5
Match Events
V. Roman
3'
I. Fedyk
4'
25'
R. Lyakh
32'
Y. Kostenko⚽
44'
A. Chachua⚽
56'
Jean Pedroso⚽
D. Slyusar
/ S. Diallo
58'
64'
V. Rubchynskyi
/
M. Sapuga
64'
V. Paulo
/
X. Alkain
Klayver
/ N. Kasarda
73'
75'
I. Kvasnytsya
/
Y. Kostenko
75'
V. Adamyuk
/
R. Lyakh
D. Pidgurskyi
80'
86'
T. Stetskov
/
V. Kholod
I. Neves
/ Tutti
86'
Talles Brener
/ D. Sebro
86'
Pre-match prediction
11.23%
Ruh
15.57%
X
73.2%
Karpaty ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Karpaty)
73.2%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.30
0.93
+0.63
2.20
3.85
+1.65
Karpaty dominated by xG (3.85 vs 0.93).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
75
A. Kitela
M
A. Kitela
M
15
D. Pidgurskyi
M
D. Pidgurskyi
M
76
Oleksii Tovarnytskyi
D
Oleksii Tovarnytskyi
D
93
V. Roman
D
V. Roman
D
56
Maksym Boiko
M
7
Klayver
M
30
Talles
M
Talles
M
17
Denys Slyusar
M
10
O. Prytula
M
O. Prytula
M
9
Igor Neves
F
Igor Neves
F
Bench
47
Kostyantyn Kvas
M
14
Samba Diallo
M
21
Tutti
F
79
Volodymyr Yasinskyi
D
28
Yehor Klymenko
G
1
G
73
R. Lyakh
D
R. Lyakh
D
44
Vitaliy Kholod
D
47
Jean Pedroso
1 ⚽
D
Jean Pedroso
1 ⚽
D
11
D. Miroshnichenko
D
D. Miroshnichenko
D
20
M. Sapuga
M
M. Sapuga
M
8
A. Chachua
1 ⚽
M
A. Chachua
1 ⚽
M
26
Y. Kostenko
1 ⚽
M
Y. Kostenko
1 ⚽
M
37
Bruninho
M
Bruninho
M
70
Xeber Alkain
M
Xeber Alkain
M
99
B. Faal
F
B. Faal
F
Bench
35
Edson Fernando
M
Edson Fernando
M
33
Shakh Artur
M
7
V. Paulo
M
19
Y. Karabin
M
Y. Karabin
M
Ruh Lviv — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A. Kitela | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Pidgurskyi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oleksii Tovarnytskyi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Roman | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maksym Boiko | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Klayver | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Talles | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denys Slyusar | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Prytula | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Neves | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Karpaty — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| R. Lyakh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitaliy Kholod | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean Pedroso | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Miroshnichenko | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Sapuga | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Chachua | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Kostenko | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruninho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Xeber Alkain | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Faal | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ruh Lviv vs Karpaty?
The final score was Ruh Lviv 0–3 Karpaty.
What did the model predict before Ruh Lviv vs Karpaty?
The model assigned 11% probability to a Ruh Lviv win, 15% to a draw, and 73% to an Karpaty win.