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A. Ivlev 83' (pen.)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Russia U21 a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Iraq U23 31%). The final result was Russia U21 1–0 Iraq U23. In 1 previous meetings, Russia U21 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Iraq U23.

Match statistics
Match Events
80'
M. Al-Hamdani
80'
M. Al-Hamdani
A. Ivlev (pen.)
83'
Pre-match prediction
36.83%
Russia ←
31.72%
X
31.45%
Iraq
we assigned to the actual result (Russia U21) 36.83% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Russia
3.21
Iraq
0.66
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Russia U21 vs Iraq U23?
The final score was Russia U21 1–0 Iraq U23.
What did the model predict before Russia U21 vs Iraq U23?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Russia U21 win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Iraq U23 win.