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Russia - Iran

Friendlies Internazionali September 29, 2026 14:00
Russia
vs
Iran
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.45%
Win
Russia
27.59%
Draw
32.96%
Win
Iran
1.79
Expected xG
1.49

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.41%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 28%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 61%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Russia a 39% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Iran. Expected goals are 1.8 for Russia and 1.5 for Iran (total 3.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.41% probability.

Season Stats

Russia
3W 1D 1L
Iran
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
2.8
0.4
Conceded
0.8
6.2
Shots OT
—
7.0
Corners
—
60%
Poss.
—
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
75%
20%
BTTS
50%
60%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
63%
O 3.5
13%
BTTS
Russia
3W 1D 0L · at home
Iran
1W 0D 0L · away
2.2
gls/g
5.0
0.2
Conceded
0.0
75%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
25%
O 3.5
100%
25%
BTTS
0%
75%
Clean Sht
100%
25%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Russia Iran →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8% 5.6% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 6.7% 10.0% 7.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.6% 5.4% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Russia Russia
W Trinidad and Tobago 3–0
W Burkina Faso 3–0
L Egypt 1–0
D Mali 0–0
W Nicaragua 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 45%
Iran Iran
W Mali 2–0
W Gambia 3–1
W Costa Rica 0–5
L Nigeria 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Russia Russia
Attack
55
Defence
87
Form
72
Iran Iran
Attack
63
Defence
83
Form
79
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Russia vs Iran?
The model gives Russia a 39% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 32% for an Iran win.
How many goals are expected in Russia vs Iran?
Expected goals: Russia 1.8, Iran 1.5 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Russia vs Iran?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.41%.