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Russia - Nigeria

Friendlies Internazionali October 06, 2026 19:00
Russia
vs
Nigeria
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.6%
Win
Russia
24.49%
Draw
25.91%
Win
Nigeria
2.21
Expected xG
1.24

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.82%)
1X2 Result
1 50%
X 24%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 50%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Russia a 49% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Nigeria. Expected goals are 2.2 for Russia and 1.2 for Nigeria (total 3.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.82% probability.

Season Stats

Russia
3W 1D 1L
Nigeria
3W 2D 1L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
2.0
0.4
Conceded
1.2
6.2
Shots OT
3.5
7.0
Corners
2.0
60%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
83%
20%
BTTS
67%
60%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
33%
O 3.5
53%
BTTS
Russia
3W 1D 0L · at home
Nigeria
2W 2D 1L · away
2.2
gls/g
2.0
0.2
Conceded
1.4
75%
Win %
40%
100%
Win or Draw
80%
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
25%
O 3.5
40%
25%
BTTS
80%
75%
Clean Sht
20%
25%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Russia Nigeria →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.0% 8.7% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.6% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.7% 7.1% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.1% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Russia Russia
W Trinidad and Tobago 3–0
W Burkina Faso 3–0
L Egypt 1–0
D Mali 0–0
W Nicaragua 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Nigeria Nigeria
L Portugal 2–1
D Poland 2–2
W Jamaica 0–3
W Zimbabwe 2–0
D Jordan 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Russia Russia
Attack
55
Defence
87
Form
72
Nigeria Nigeria
Attack
49
Defence
68
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Russia vs Nigeria?
The model gives Russia a 49% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 25% for an Nigeria win.
How many goals are expected in Russia vs Nigeria?
Expected goals: Russia 2.2, Nigeria 1.2 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Russia vs Nigeria?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.82%.