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Russia - Venezuela

Friendlies Internazionali November 17, 2026 18:00
Russia
vs
Venezuela
⚡ Pre-match analysis
64.08%
Win
Russia
18.29%
Draw
17.63%
Win
Venezuela
4.05
Expected xG
1.31

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (8.1%)
1X2 Result
1 64%
X 18%
2 18%
Double Chance
1X 82%
X2 36%
12 82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 59%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Russia a 64% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Venezuela. Expected goals are 4.1 for Russia and 1.3 for Venezuela (total 5.4), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 8.1% probability.

Season Stats

Russia
5W 2D 1L
Venezuela
1W 2D 2L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
0.8
0.6
Conceded
0.8
7.0
Shots OT
3.7
6.8
Corners
3.3
62%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
60%
63%
O 2.5
40%
25%
BTTS
40%
63%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
22%
O 3.5
27%
BTTS
Russia
5W 2D 0L · at home
Venezuela
1W 2D 1L · away
2.9
gls/g
0.8
0.6
Conceded
0.5
71%
Win %
25%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
86%
O 1.5
50%
71%
O 2.5
25%
43%
O 3.5
0%
29%
BTTS
25%
71%
Clean Sht
75%
14%
Failed to Score
50%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Russia Venezuela →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% —
1 1.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
2 3.8% 5.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.2% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.3% 6.9% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
5 4.3% 5.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%

Recent form

Russia Russia
D Nigeria 3–3
W Namibia 6–0
W Iran 2–0
W Trinidad and Tobago 3–0
W Burkina Faso 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Venezuela Venezuela
D Jordan 0–0
D South Korea 0–0
L Japan 2–1
W Iraq 0–2
L Türkiye 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 40%

Playing profile

Russia Russia
Attack
66
Defence
78
Form
74
Venezuela Venezuela
Attack
24
Defence
80
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Russia vs Venezuela?
The model gives Russia a 64% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 17% for an Venezuela win.
How many goals are expected in Russia vs Venezuela?
Expected goals: Russia 4.1, Venezuela 1.3 (total 5.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Russia vs Venezuela?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.1%.