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Ruthin Town - Penrhyncoch

FAW Championship September 25, 2026 20:45
Ruthin Town
#14 · 4 pts
vs
Penrhyncoch
#16 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.09%
Win
Ruthin Town
27.34%
Draw
23.57%
Win
Penrhyncoch
1.71
Expected xG
0.61

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (10.82%)
1X2 Result
1 49%
X 27%
2 24%
Double Chance
1X 76%
X2 51%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ruthin Town a 49% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Penrhyncoch. Expected goals are 1.7 for Ruthin Town and 0.6 for Penrhyncoch (total 2.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.82% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Ruthin Town have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Penrhyncoch.

Season Stats

Ruthin Town
3W 1D 11L
Penrhyncoch
5W 1D 9L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.1
2.3
Conceded
2.2
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
73%
80%
O 2.5
67%
60%
BTTS
40%
7%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Ruthin Town
3W 0D 7L · at home
Penrhyncoch
3W 0D 7L · away
0.9
gls/g
0.9
2.1
Conceded
2.7
30%
Win %
30%
30%
Win or Draw
30%
80%
O 1.5
90%
80%
O 2.5
70%
30%
O 3.5
60%
50%
BTTS
30%
10%
Clean Sht
10%
40%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Ruthin Town Penrhyncoch →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 16.8% 10.3% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% —
2 14.3% 8.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 8.2% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% — —
4 3.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% — —
5 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% — — —

Recent form

Ruthin Town Ruthin Town
L Porthmadog 3–0
L Caersws 0–3
L Brickfield Rangers 2–0
L Mold Alexandra 0–4
D Guilsfield 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch
L Bala Town 0–1
L Bangor City 1876 FC 1–5
L Buckley Town 5–0
L Guilsfield 4–0
D Denbigh Town 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Ruthin Town Ruthin Town
Attack
18
Defence
40
Form
30
Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch
Attack
12
Defence
25
Form
20
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Ruthin Town
1
Draw
0
Penrhyncoch
31 Dec 2025 FAW Championship 1–1
20 Aug 2025 FAW Championship 3–1

North

# Team G Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers Brickfield Rangers 8 21
2 Newtown AFC Newtown AFC 7 19
3 Bala Town Bala Town 8 18
4 Bangor City 1876 FC Bangor City 1876 FC 8 17
5 Mold Alexandra Mold Alexandra 8 15
6 Porthmadog Porthmadog 8 14
7 Caersws Caersws 7 13
8 Llanuwchllyn Llanuwchllyn 8 11
9 Rhyl Rhyl 8 10
10 Guilsfield Guilsfield 8 10
11 Buckley Town Buckley Town 8 8
12 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 8 7
13 Holyhead Hotspur Holyhead Hotspur 7 4
14 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 8 4
15 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 7 1
16 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 8 1

What's at stake · North

Top 2 advance to the next round

Ruthin Town Penrhyncoch
Current #14 #16
→ Ruthin Town #13 #16
→ Draw #13 #15
→ Penrhyncoch #14 #15

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch?
The model gives Ruthin Town a 49% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 23% for an Penrhyncoch win.
How many goals are expected in Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch?
Expected goals: Ruthin Town 1.7, Penrhyncoch 0.6 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Ruthin Town vs Penrhyncoch?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.82%.