Rwanda - Liberia
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 25, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.56%
Win
Rwanda
29.95%
Draw
29.49%
Win
Liberia
2.47
1.29
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.32%)
1X2 Result
1
41%
X
30%
2
29%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
59%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rwanda a 40% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Liberia. Expected goals are 2.5 for Rwanda and 1.3 for Liberia (total 3.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.32% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Rwanda
Liberia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Playing profile
Rwanda
Attack
75
Defence
100
Form
82
Liberia
Attack
33
Defence
70
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rwanda vs Liberia?
The model gives Rwanda a 40% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 29% for an Liberia win.
How many goals are expected in Rwanda vs Liberia?
Expected goals: Rwanda 2.5, Liberia 1.3 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Rwanda vs Liberia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.32%.