Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 1
September 25, 2026 18:00
Abeddy Biramahire
(ast. Leroy-Jacques Mickels)
2'
Leroy-Jacques Mickels
(ast. Gilbert Byiringiro)
33'
Joy Lance Mickels
44'
(pen.)
38'
Sylvanus Nimely
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rwanda a 43% win probability (draw 29%, Liberia 27%). The final result was Rwanda 3–1 Liberia.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
28
4
Shots on target
5
3
Saves
0
48%
Possession
52%
1
Corners
5
1
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Abeddy Biramahire
· ast. Leroy-Jacques Mickels
2'
⚽Leroy-Jacques Mickels
· ast. Gilbert Byiringiro
33'
Bonheur Mugisha
34'
38'
Sylvanus Nimely⚽
Jojea Kwizera
40'
⚽Joy Lance Mickels
(pen.)
44'
45'
Kpah Sherman
/
Sylvanus Nimely
45'
Ayouba Kosiah
/
P. Tarnue
45'
Jimmy Farkarlun
/
Sabastien Teclar
48'
Ayouba Kosiah
61'
Kpah Sherman
Abeddy Biramahire
/ I. Nshuti
69'
Leroy-Jacques Mickels
/ Elie Tatou Iradukunda
69'
75'
Kindness Cole
/
Salomon Tweh
75'
Divine Teah
/
Franklin·Nyenetue
I. Nshuti
76'
Claude Niyomugabo
/ emmanuel imanishimwe
80'
Jojea Kwizera
/ Gilbert Mugisha
80'
Bonheur Mugisha
/ Kevin Muhire
80'
Pre-match prediction
43.98%
Rwanda ←
29.01%
X
27.01%
Liberia
we assigned to the actual result (Rwanda)
43.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.91
—
—
1.49
—
—
Lineups
1
F. Ntwari
G
F. Ntwari
G
2
Claude Niyomugabo
80'
D
Claude Niyomugabo
80'
D
25
P. Kavita
D
P. Kavita
D
5
A. Mutsinzi
D
24
D
4
M
15
Bonheur Mugisha
80'
M
Bonheur Mugisha
80'
M
13
L. Mickels
1 ⚽
1 👟
69'
M
L. Mickels
1 ⚽
1 👟
69'
M
20
J. Mickels
1 ⚽
M
J. Mickels
1 ⚽
M
22
J. Kwizera
80'
M
7
F
Bench
3
E. Imanishimwe
10'
D
10
Noam Fritz Emeran
F
Noam Fritz Emeran
F
8
S. Gueulette
M
S. Gueulette
M
16
G
13
D
3
E. Fully
D
E. Fully
D
2
D
12
P. Tarnue
45'
D
P. Tarnue
45'
D
6
Salomon Tweh
75'
M
Salomon Tweh
75'
M
24
S. Dweh
M
S. Dweh
M
22
M
19
O. Dorley
M
O. Dorley
M
17
F. Nyenetue
75'
M
F. Nyenetue
75'
M
11
S. Nimely
1 ⚽
45'
F
S. Nimely
1 ⚽
45'
F
Bench
10
A. Kosiah
45'
F
A. Kosiah
45'
F
1
Amos Wesseh
G
Amos Wesseh
G
21
Bryant Farkarlun
45'
F
Bryant Farkarlun
45'
F
8
D. Teah
15'
M
D. Teah
15'
M
20
M. Sangare
M
M. Sangare
M
4
N. Kenneh
M
N. Kenneh
M
7
Prince Martor
F
Prince Martor
F
18
P. Wilson
F
P. Wilson
F
Best on the pitch
L. Mickels
M · Rwanda
8.78
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 22 pass
S. Nimely
F · Liberia
7.75
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
A. Mutsinzi
D · Rwanda
7.00
· 59 pass
F. Ntwari
G · Rwanda
6.81
· 16 pass
S. Dweh
M · Liberia
6.72
· 67 pass
Bryant Farkarlun
F · Liberia
6.65
1 shots
· 11 pass
Rwanda — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ntwari | G | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Claude Niyomugabo | D | 80 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Kavita | D | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Mutsinzi | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 51% | 0 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 5 | 21 | 18% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 5 | 21 | 18% | 0 | — | — | |
| Bonheur Mugisha | M | 80 | 6.15 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. Mickels | M | 69 | 8.78 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mickels | M | 90 | 6.63 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Kwizera | M | 80 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 16% | 0 | 1 | — |
| F | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 5 | 21 | 18% | 0 | — | — | |
| E. Imanishimwe | D | 10 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
Liberia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 5 | 21 | 18% | 0 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 5 | 21 | 18% | 0 | — | — | |
| E. Fully | D | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 5 | 21 | 18% | 0 | — | — | |
| P. Tarnue | D | 45 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Salomon Tweh | M | 75 | 5.86 | — | — | 3 | 47 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Dweh | M | 90 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 67 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 5 | 21 | 18% | 0 | — | — | |
| O. Dorley | M | 90 | 5.78 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Nyenetue | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Nimely | F | 45 | 7.75 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Kosiah | F | 45 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Bryant Farkarlun | F | 45 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Teah | M | 15 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rwanda vs Liberia?
The final score was Rwanda 3–1 Liberia.
What did the model predict before Rwanda vs Liberia?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Rwanda win, 29% to a draw, and 27% to an Liberia win.