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Sacavenense - Farense

Taça de Portugal September 20, 2026 16:00
Sacavenense
vs
Farense
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.67%
Win
Sacavenense
31.69%
Draw
31.64%
Win
Farense
4.5
Expected xG
1.51

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.62%)
1X2 Result
1 37%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 63%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sacavenense a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Farense. Expected goals are 4.5 for Sacavenense and 1.5 for Farense (total 6.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.62% probability.

Season Stats

Sacavenense
2W 0D 1L
Farense
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
4.7
Goals
2.5
1.3
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
33%
BTTS
25%
67%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
17%
BTTS
Sacavenense
2W 0D 1L · at home
Farense
2W 0D 0L · away
4.7
gls/g
2.5
1.3
Conceded
0.0
67%
Win %
100%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sacavenense Farense →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% —
1 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
2 2.5% 3.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
3 3.7% 5.6% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.2% 6.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
5 3.8% 5.7% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%

Recent form

Sacavenense Sacavenense
W Angrense 5–0
L União de Leiria 2–4
W Rabo Peixe 7–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Farense Farense
L Benfica 0–2
W Silves 5–1
W AD Marco 09 0–3
W Vidago 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Sacavenense Sacavenense
Attack
96
Defence
91
Form
87
Farense Farense
Attack
33
Defence
72
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sacavenense vs Farense?
The model gives Sacavenense a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Farense win.
How many goals are expected in Sacavenense vs Farense?
Expected goals: Sacavenense 4.5, Farense 1.5 (total 6.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Sacavenense vs Farense?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.62%.