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USL Championship · Group Stage September 13, 2026 04:00
#2 · 51 pts
1 – 0
Final score
#3 · 51 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Sacramento Republic
J. Timmer (ast. J. Gurr) 14'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 52% win probability (draw 27%, Detroit City 20%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 1–0 Detroit City.

Match statistics
Match Events
⚽J. Timmer · ast. J. Gurr
14'
46'
C. Niang / B. Morris ↕
63'
J. Cedeno / A. Diop ↕
63'
A. Dalou / K. Williams ↕
↕ A. Midence / B. Willey
67'
↕ C. Jennings / K. Edwards
67'
↕ M. Malango / T. Wolff
76'
N. Collins
82'
88'
R. Williams / A. Diouf ↕
↕ J. Casas / A. Essel
90'
Pre-match prediction
52.03%
Sacramento ←
27.79%
X
20.18%
Detroit
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sacramento Republic) 52.03% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sacramento
1.31
—
—
Detroit
0.62
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 New Mexico United New Mexico United 30 52
2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 30 51
3 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 30 50
4 Lexington Lexington 30 48
5 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 30 47
6 San Antonio San Antonio 30 45
7 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 30 43
8 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 30 40
9 Orange County SC Orange County SC 30 39
10 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 30 38
11 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 30 36
12 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 30 24
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City?
The final score was Sacramento Republic 1–0 Detroit City.
What did the model predict before Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Sacramento Republic win, 27% to a draw, and 20% to an Detroit City win.