USL Championship
· Group Stage
September 13, 2026 04:00
✓Model correct — prediction Sacramento Republic
J. Timmer
(ast. J. Gurr)
14'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 52% win probability (draw 27%, Detroit City 20%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 1–0 Detroit City.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽J. Timmer
· ast. J. Gurr
14'
46'
C. Niang
/
B. Morris
63'
J. Cedeno
/
A. Diop
63'
A. Dalou
/
K. Williams
A. Midence
/ B. Willey
67'
C. Jennings
/ K. Edwards
67'
M. Malango
/ T. Wolff
76'
N. Collins
82'
88'
R. Williams
/
A. Diouf
J. Casas
/ A. Essel
90'
Pre-match prediction
52.03%
Sacramento ←
27.79%
X
20.18%
Detroit
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sacramento Republic)
52.03%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.31
—
—
0.62
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City?
The final score was Sacramento Republic 1–0 Detroit City.
What did the model predict before Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Sacramento Republic win, 27% to a draw, and 20% to an Detroit City win.