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USL Championship · Group Stage September 13, 2026 04:00
#5 · 37 pts
1 – 0
Final score
#3 · 40 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Sacramento Republic
J. Timmer (ast. J. Gurr) 14'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 52% win probability (draw 27%, Detroit City 20%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 1–0 Detroit City.

Match statistics
Match Events
⚽J. Timmer · ast. J. Gurr
14'
46'
C. Niang / B. Morris ↕
63'
J. Cedeno / A. Diop ↕
63'
A. Dalou / K. Williams ↕
↕ A. Midence / B. Willey
67'
↕ C. Jennings / K. Edwards
67'
↕ M. Malango / T. Wolff
76'
N. Collins
82'
88'
R. Williams / A. Diouf ↕
↕ J. Casas / A. Essel
90'
Pre-match prediction
52.03%
Sacramento ←
27.79%
X
20.18%
Detroit
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sacramento Republic) 52.03% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sacramento
1.31
—
—
Detroit
0.62
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 25 46
2 New Mexico United New Mexico United 24 43
3 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 25 38
4 San Antonio San Antonio 25 37
5 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 24 37
6 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 24 37
7 Lexington Lexington 25 37
8 Orange County SC Orange County SC 25 36
9 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 25 33
10 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 25 33
11 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 25 30
12 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 25 18
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City?
The final score was Sacramento Republic 1–0 Detroit City.
What did the model predict before Sacramento Republic vs Detroit City?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Sacramento Republic win, 27% to a draw, and 20% to an Detroit City win.