USL Championship · Group Stage October 01, 2026 04:00 Heart Health Park, Sacramento

Sacramento Republic

#2 · 51 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Las Vegas Lights

#11 · 36 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Sacramento Republic

M. Rodriguez (ast. D. Crisostomo) 36'

T. Wolff 58'

K. Edwards (ast. M. Rodriguez) 82'

13' (ast. C. Pinzon) O. Anderson

50' (ast. C. Pinzon) C. Locker

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 55% win probability (draw 25%, Las Vegas Lights 19%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 3–2 Las Vegas Lights. In 1 previous meetings, Sacramento Republic have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Las Vegas Lights.

Match statistics

Match Events

13'

ast. C. Pinzon · O. Anderson⚽

35'

O. Anderson

⚽M. Rodriguez · ast. D. Crisostomo

36'

C. Jennings

38'

50'

ast. C. Pinzon · C. Locker⚽

56'

C. Pinzon

⚽T. Wolff

58'

⚽M. Rodriguez (missed pen.)

58'

59'

G. Probo

↕ R. Spaulding / F. Kleemann

68'

↕ C. Jennings / K. Edwards

69'

73'

M. Ybarra

J. Casas

74'

77'

K. Scott / M. Ybarra ↕

77'

T. Antonoglou / B. Pope ↕

↕ J. Casas / B. Willey

77'

78'

M. Arteaga / O. Anderson ↕

⚽K. Edwards · ast. M. Rodriguez

82'

↕ A. Midence / M. Benitez

86'

86'

P. Leal / C. Locker ↕

↕ T. Wolff / A. Rodriguez

87'

K. Edwards

90'+2

Pre-match prediction

55.18%

Sacramento ←

25.25%

X

19.57%

Las

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sacramento Republic) 55.18% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Sacramento

1.48

—

—

Las

0.73

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24