Skip to main content
← USL Championship
USL Championship · Group Stage August 16, 2026 05:00
1 – 0
Final score
K. Edwards (ast. J. Timmer) 87'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 38% win probability (draw 25%, Lexington 35%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 1–0 Lexington. In 1 previous meetings, Sacramento Republic have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lexington.

Match statistics
Match Events
B. Willey
25'
D. Crisostomo
39'
68'
M. Tschantret / B. P. Rodrigues
B. Willey / A. Rodriguez
76'
T. Wolff / K. Edwards
76'
76'
T. Scott / M. Tschantret
81'
J. Hafferty / J. Greene
83'
P. Goodrum
T. Leibold / R. Spaulding
84'
M. Malango / A. Midence
84'
K. Edwards · ast. J. Timmer
87'
J. Casas
88'
90'+2
T. Scott
J. Casas / A. Essel
90'
Pre-match prediction
38.92%
Sacramento ←
25.58%
X
35.5%
Lexington
we assigned to the actual result (Sacramento Republic) 38.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sacramento
1.28
Lexington
1.28
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 24 48
2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 24 40
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 25 38
4 Detroit City Detroit City 22 37
5 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 23 34
6 Louisville City Louisville City 24 33
7 Rhode Island Rhode Island 22 32
8 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 22 30
9 Miami FC Miami FC 24 24
10 Loudoun United Loudoun United 23 20
10 Birmingham Birmingham 9 10
11 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 22 19
12 Brooklyn Brooklyn 22 17
13 Sporting JAX Sporting JAX 24 14
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Lexington?
The final score was Sacramento Republic 1–0 Lexington.
What did the model predict before Sacramento Republic vs Lexington?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Sacramento Republic win, 25% to a draw, and 35% to an Lexington win.