USL Championship · Group Stage August 16, 2026 05:00

Sacramento Republic

#2 · 51 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Lexington

#4 · 48 pts

K. Edwards (ast. J. Timmer) 87'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 38% win probability (draw 25%, Lexington 35%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 1–0 Lexington. In 1 previous meetings, Sacramento Republic have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lexington.

Match statistics

Match Events

B. Willey

25'

D. Crisostomo

39'

68'

M. Tschantret / B. P. Rodrigues ↕

↕ B. Willey / A. Rodriguez

76'

↕ T. Wolff / K. Edwards

76'

76'

T. Scott / M. Tschantret ↕

81'

J. Hafferty / J. Greene ↕

83'

P. Goodrum

↕ T. Leibold / R. Spaulding

84'

↕ M. Malango / A. Midence

84'

⚽K. Edwards · ast. J. Timmer

87'

J. Casas

88'

90'+2

T. Scott

↕ J. Casas / A. Essel

90'

Pre-match prediction

38.92%

Sacramento ←

25.58%

X

35.5%

Lexington

we assigned to the actual result (Sacramento Republic) 38.92% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Sacramento

1.28

—

—

Lexington

1.28

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24