USL Championship
· Group Stage
June 21, 2026 05:00
73'
(ast. O. Jabang)
D. Harris
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 41% win probability (draw 34%, New Mexico United 24%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 0–1 New Mexico United.
Match statistics
Match Events
F. Ajago
11'
46'
J. Rennicks
/
G. Zelalem
F. Ajago
/ M. Malango
46'
72'
T. Blackett
/
C. Nava
73'
ast. O. Jabang ·
D. Harris⚽
M. Kaye
/ A. Rodriguez
74'
B. Willey
/ K. Edwards
74'
R. Spaulding
/ A. Essel
74'
78'
W. Seymore
/
G. Hurst
78'
L. Archimede
/
D. Harris
80'
Z. Bailey
D. Crisostomo
/ J. Casas
82'
82'
C. Wilkerson
/
M. Howell
J. Timmer
86'
89'
L. Archimede
Pre-match prediction
41.44%
Sacramento
34.44%
X
24.13%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New Mexico United)
24.13%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
—
—
0.73
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United?
The final score was Sacramento Republic 0–1 New Mexico United.
What did the model predict before Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Sacramento Republic win, 34% to a draw, and 24% to an New Mexico United win.