USL Championship
· Group Stage
May 03, 2026 04:00
A. Rodriguez
(ast. J. Gurr)
57'
K. Edwards
88'
M. Benitez
90'+5
22'
S. Kelly
73'
(ast. B. Cambridge)
Y. Bazini
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 38% win probability (draw 33%, Orange County SC 27%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 3–2 Orange County SC.
Match statistics
Match Events
11'
(missed pen.)
L. MacKinnon⚽
A. Rodriguez
11'
L. Desmond
18'
22'
S. Kelly⚽
⚽A. Rodriguez
· ast. J. Gurr
57'
58'
C. Hegardt
/
A. Marinch
A. Essel
60'
69'
B. Cambridge
/
L. MacKinnon
69'
Y. Bazini
/
E. Zubak
73'
ast. B. Cambridge ·
Y. Bazini⚽
F. Ajago
/ K. Edwards
74'
T. Wolff
/ D. Wanner
74'
R. Spaulding
/ B. Willey
78'
83'
T. Brewitt
84'
T. Espy
/
O. Sylla
A. Essel
/ C. Ukaegbu
87'
⚽K. Edwards
88'
⚽M. Benitez
(missed pen.)
90'+5
⚽M. Benitez
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
38.36%
Sacramento ←
33.99%
X
27.65%
Orange
we assigned to the actual result (Sacramento Republic)
38.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.03
—
—
0.67
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC?
The final score was Sacramento Republic 3–2 Orange County SC.
What did the model predict before Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Sacramento Republic win, 33% to a draw, and 27% to an Orange County SC win.