USL Championship · Group Stage May 03, 2026 04:00

Sacramento Republic

#2 · 51 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Orange County SC

#9 · 39 pts

A. Rodriguez (ast. J. Gurr) 57'

K. Edwards 88'

M. Benitez 90'+5

22' S. Kelly

73' (ast. B. Cambridge) Y. Bazini

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 38% win probability (draw 33%, Orange County SC 27%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 3–2 Orange County SC. In 1 previous meetings, Sacramento Republic have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Orange County SC.

Match statistics

Match Events

11'

(missed pen.) L. MacKinnon⚽

A. Rodriguez

11'

L. Desmond

18'

22'

S. Kelly⚽

⚽A. Rodriguez · ast. J. Gurr

57'

58'

C. Hegardt / A. Marinch ↕

A. Essel

60'

69'

B. Cambridge / L. MacKinnon ↕

69'

Y. Bazini / E. Zubak ↕

73'

ast. B. Cambridge · Y. Bazini⚽

↕ F. Ajago / K. Edwards

74'

↕ T. Wolff / D. Wanner

74'

↕ R. Spaulding / B. Willey

78'

83'

T. Brewitt

84'

T. Espy / O. Sylla ↕

↕ A. Essel / C. Ukaegbu

87'

⚽K. Edwards

88'

⚽M. Benitez (missed pen.)

90'+5

⚽M. Benitez

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

38.36%

Sacramento ←

33.99%

X

27.65%

Orange

we assigned to the actual result (Sacramento Republic) 38.36% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Sacramento

1.03

—

—

Orange

0.67

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24