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A. Rodriguez (ast. J. Gurr) 57'
K. Edwards 88'
M. Benitez 90'+5
22' S. Kelly
73' (ast. B. Cambridge) Y. Bazini
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 38% win probability (draw 33%, Orange County SC 27%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 3–2 Orange County SC. In 1 previous meetings, Sacramento Republic have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Orange County SC.

Match statistics
Match Events
11'
(missed pen.) L. MacKinnon
A. Rodriguez
11'
L. Desmond
18'
22'
S. Kelly
A. Rodriguez · ast. J. Gurr
57'
58'
C. Hegardt / A. Marinch
A. Essel
60'
69'
B. Cambridge / L. MacKinnon
69'
Y. Bazini / E. Zubak
73'
ast. B. Cambridge · Y. Bazini
F. Ajago / K. Edwards
74'
T. Wolff / D. Wanner
74'
R. Spaulding / B. Willey
78'
83'
T. Brewitt
84'
T. Espy / O. Sylla
A. Essel / C. Ukaegbu
87'
K. Edwards
88'
M. Benitez (missed pen.)
90'+5
M. Benitez
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
38.36%
Sacramento ←
33.99%
X
27.65%
Orange
we assigned to the actual result (Sacramento Republic) 38.36% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sacramento
1.03
Orange
0.67
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 24 48
2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 24 40
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 25 38
4 Detroit City Detroit City 22 37
5 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 23 34
6 Louisville City Louisville City 24 33
7 Rhode Island Rhode Island 22 32
8 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 22 30
9 Miami FC Miami FC 24 24
10 Loudoun United Loudoun United 23 20
10 Birmingham Birmingham 9 10
11 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 22 19
12 Brooklyn Brooklyn 22 17
13 Sporting JAX Sporting JAX 24 14
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC?
The final score was Sacramento Republic 3–2 Orange County SC.
What did the model predict before Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Sacramento Republic win, 33% to a draw, and 27% to an Orange County SC win.