USL Championship · Group Stage August 23, 2026 05:00

Sacramento Republic

#2 · 51 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Phoenix Rising

#8 · 40 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Sacramento Republic, result Draw

T. Wolff (ast. M. Malango) 19'

M. Rodriguez (ast. D. Crisostomo) 27'

45' (ast. D. Gomez) I. Sacko

85' (ast. T. Schmitt) I. Sacko

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Phoenix Rising 19%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 2–2 Phoenix Rising. In 2 previous meetings, Sacramento Republic have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Phoenix Rising.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽T. Wolff · ast. M. Malango

19'

⚽M. Rodriguez · ast. D. Crisostomo

27'

45'

ast. D. Gomez · I. Sacko⚽

46'

L. Biasi / C. Dennis ↕

D. Crisostomo

48'

↕ M. Malango / R. Spaulding

54'

64'

T. Schmitt / D. Gomez ↕

64'

R. Czichos / A. Pelayo ↕

↕ T. Wolff / C. Jennings

72'

↕ D. Crisostomo / A. Rodriguez

72'

76'

C. Smith

76'

G. Studenhofft / C. Smith ↕

83'

D. Rivera / D. Flores ↕

85'

ast. T. Schmitt · I. Sacko⚽

↕ J. Casas / A. Essel

90'+1

↕ M. Rodriguez / K. Edwards

90'+1

90'+6

L. Biasi

Pre-match prediction

56.18%

Sacramento

23.96%

X ←

19.87%

Phoenix

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.96% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Sacramento

1.60

—

—

Phoenix

0.79

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	50
4	Lexington	30	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	47
6	San Antonio	30	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	40
9	Orange County SC	30	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	24