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USL Championship · Group Stage August 23, 2026 05:00
2 – 2
Final score
Model wrong — prediction Sacramento Republic, result Draw
T. Wolff (ast. M. Malango) 19'
M. Rodriguez (ast. D. Crisostomo) 27'
45' (ast. D. Gomez) I. Sacko
85' (ast. T. Schmitt) I. Sacko
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Phoenix Rising 19%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 2–2 Phoenix Rising. In 2 previous meetings, Sacramento Republic have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Phoenix Rising.

Match statistics
Match Events
T. Wolff · ast. M. Malango
19'
M. Rodriguez · ast. D. Crisostomo
27'
45'
ast. D. Gomez · I. Sacko
46'
L. Biasi / C. Dennis
D. Crisostomo
48'
M. Malango / R. Spaulding
54'
64'
T. Schmitt / D. Gomez
64'
R. Czichos / A. Pelayo
T. Wolff / C. Jennings
72'
D. Crisostomo / A. Rodriguez
72'
76'
C. Smith
76'
G. Studenhofft / C. Smith
83'
D. Rivera / D. Flores
85'
ast. T. Schmitt · I. Sacko
J. Casas / A. Essel
90'+1
M. Rodriguez / K. Edwards
90'+1
90'+6
L. Biasi
Pre-match prediction
56.18%
Sacramento
23.96%
X ←
19.87%
Phoenix
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.96% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sacramento
1.60
Phoenix
0.79
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 24 48
2 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 24 40
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 25 38
4 Detroit City Detroit City 22 37
5 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 23 34
6 Louisville City Louisville City 24 33
7 Rhode Island Rhode Island 22 32
8 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 22 30
9 Miami FC Miami FC 24 24
10 Loudoun United Loudoun United 23 20
10 Birmingham Birmingham 9 10
11 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 22 19
12 Brooklyn Brooklyn 22 17
13 Sporting JAX Sporting JAX 24 14
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising?
The final score was Sacramento Republic 2–2 Phoenix Rising.
What did the model predict before Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Sacramento Republic win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Phoenix Rising win.