USL Championship
· Group Stage
August 23, 2026 05:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Sacramento Republic, result Draw
T. Wolff
(ast. M. Malango)
19'
M. Rodriguez
(ast. D. Crisostomo)
27'
45'
(ast. D. Gomez)
I. Sacko
85'
(ast. T. Schmitt)
I. Sacko
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Phoenix Rising 19%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 2–2 Phoenix Rising. In 2 previous meetings, Sacramento Republic have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Phoenix Rising.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽T. Wolff
· ast. M. Malango
19'
⚽M. Rodriguez
· ast. D. Crisostomo
27'
45'
ast. D. Gomez ·
I. Sacko⚽
46'
L. Biasi
/
C. Dennis
D. Crisostomo
48'
M. Malango
/ R. Spaulding
54'
64'
T. Schmitt
/
D. Gomez
64'
R. Czichos
/
A. Pelayo
T. Wolff
/ C. Jennings
72'
D. Crisostomo
/ A. Rodriguez
72'
76'
C. Smith
76'
G. Studenhofft
/
C. Smith
83'
D. Rivera
/
D. Flores
85'
ast. T. Schmitt ·
I. Sacko⚽
J. Casas
/ A. Essel
90'+1
M. Rodriguez
/ K. Edwards
90'+1
90'+6
L. Biasi
Pre-match prediction
56.18%
Sacramento
23.96%
X ←
19.87%
Phoenix
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
—
—
0.79
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising?
The final score was Sacramento Republic 2–2 Phoenix Rising.
What did the model predict before Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Sacramento Republic win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Phoenix Rising win.