USL Championship
· Group Stage
July 09, 2026 04:30
K. Edwards
(ast. M. Kaye)
19'
M. Malango
(ast. M. Kaye)
44'
24'
(ast. A. Shapiro-Thompson)
H. Bacharach Capdevila
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rhode Island a 42% win probability (draw 28%, Sacramento Republic 29%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 2–1 Rhode Island.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽K. Edwards
· ast. M. Kaye
19'
24'
ast. A. Shapiro-Thompson ·
H. Bacharach Capdevila⚽
R. Spaulding
26'
⚽M. Malango
· ast. M. Kaye
44'
51'
A. Sanchez
58'
J. Kwizera
/
A. Sanchez
58'
A. Rodriguez
/
N. Scardina
K. Edwards
/ F. Ajago
66'
J. Casas
/ D. Crisostomo
74'
74'
D. Atkinson
/
N. Fuson
M. Malango
/ T. Wolff
74'
A. Rodriguez
/ B. Willey
81'
82'
K. Vang
/
A. Shapiro-Thompson
82'
D. Rovira
/
Leo Afonso
Pre-match prediction
29.52%
Sacramento ←
28.43%
X
42.05%
Rhode
we assigned to the actual result (Sacramento Republic)
29.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
—
—
1.57
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island?
The final score was Sacramento Republic 2–1 Rhode Island.
What did the model predict before Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Sacramento Republic win, 28% to a draw, and 42% to an Rhode Island win.