USL Championship
· Group Stage
August 02, 2026 05:00
✓Model correct — prediction Sacramento Republic
T. Wolff
(ast. J. Casas)
7'
J. Timmer
(ast. M. Rodriguez)
38'
T. Wolff
(ast. M. Rodriguez)
40'
L. Desmond
(ast. M. Rodriguez)
43'
T. Wolff
69'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 66% win probability (draw 18%, Sporting JAX 15%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 5–0 Sporting JAX.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽T. Wolff
· ast. J. Casas
7'
14'
H. Neville
25'
E. Jaaskelainen
29'
V. Alvarado
⚽J. Timmer
· ast. M. Rodriguez
38'
⚽T. Wolff
· ast. M. Rodriguez
40'
⚽L. Desmond
· ast. M. Rodriguez
43'
L. Desmond
47'
61'
A. Gomez
/
V. Alvarado
J. Gurr
/ T. Leibold
65'
M. Kaye
/ D. Crisostomo
65'
M. Rodriguez
/ K. Edwards
66'
⚽T. Wolff
69'
M. Malango
/ A. Midence
72'
76'
E. Rito
/
T. Rose
76'
J. Evans
/
R. Pedder
77'
Jean Mota
/
K. Sadlier
B. Willey
/ A. Rodriguez
81'
85'
J. Rossiter
Pre-match prediction
66.3%
Sacramento ←
18.16%
X
15.53%
Sporting
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sacramento Republic)
66.3%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.26
—
—
0.96
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX?
The final score was Sacramento Republic 5–0 Sporting JAX.
What did the model predict before Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Sacramento Republic win, 18% to a draw, and 15% to an Sporting JAX win.