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USL Championship · Group Stage August 02, 2026 05:00
#2 · 51 pts
5 – 0
Final score
#13 · 14 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Sacramento Republic
T. Wolff (ast. J. Casas) 7'
J. Timmer (ast. M. Rodriguez) 38'
T. Wolff (ast. M. Rodriguez) 40'
L. Desmond (ast. M. Rodriguez) 43'
T. Wolff 69'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sacramento Republic a 66% win probability (draw 18%, Sporting JAX 15%). The final result was Sacramento Republic 5–0 Sporting JAX.

Match statistics
Match Events
⚽T. Wolff · ast. J. Casas
7'
14'
H. Neville
25'
E. Jaaskelainen
29'
V. Alvarado
⚽J. Timmer · ast. M. Rodriguez
38'
⚽T. Wolff · ast. M. Rodriguez
40'
⚽L. Desmond · ast. M. Rodriguez
43'
L. Desmond
47'
61'
A. Gomez / V. Alvarado ↕
↕ J. Gurr / T. Leibold
65'
↕ M. Kaye / D. Crisostomo
65'
↕ M. Rodriguez / K. Edwards
66'
⚽T. Wolff
69'
↕ M. Malango / A. Midence
72'
76'
E. Rito / T. Rose ↕
76'
J. Evans / R. Pedder ↕
77'
Jean Mota / K. Sadlier ↕
↕ B. Willey / A. Rodriguez
81'
85'
J. Rossiter
Pre-match prediction
66.3%
Sacramento ←
18.16%
X
15.53%
Sporting
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sacramento Republic) 66.3% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sacramento
2.26
—
—
Sporting
0.96
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 New Mexico United New Mexico United 30 52
2 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 30 51
3 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 30 50
4 Lexington Lexington 30 48
5 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 30 47
6 San Antonio San Antonio 30 45
7 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 30 43
8 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 30 40
9 Orange County SC Orange County SC 30 39
10 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 30 38
11 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 30 36
12 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 30 24
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX?
The final score was Sacramento Republic 5–0 Sporting JAX.
What did the model predict before Sacramento Republic vs Sporting JAX?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Sacramento Republic win, 18% to a draw, and 15% to an Sporting JAX win.