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Safa Baku - Sabah FA

Premier League September 14, 2026 17:00 ASK Arena, Baku
Safa Baku
#10 · 3 pts
vs
Sabah FA
#2 · 9 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 25.8°C 💨 16 km/h · Baku
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.78%
Win
Safa Baku
31.21%
Draw
37.02%
Win
Sabah FA
1.12
Expected xG
1.72

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.33%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 31%
2 37%
Double Chance
1X 63%
X2 68%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sabah FA a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Safa Baku. Expected goals are 1.1 for Safa Baku and 1.7 for Sabah FA (total 2.8), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.33% probability.

Season Stats

Safa Baku
1W 0D 3L
Sabah FA
11W 2D 2L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
2.7
1.8
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
80%
25%
O 2.5
67%
25%
BTTS
47%
25%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Safa Baku
0W 0D 1L · at home
Sabah FA
9W 1D 0L · away
0.0
gls/g
2.6
1.0
Conceded
0.8
0%
Win %
90%
0%
Win or Draw
100%
0%
O 1.5
70%
0%
O 2.5
70%
0%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
100%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Safa Baku Sabah FA →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8% 10.1% 8.7% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7%
1 6.5% 11.3% 9.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.7% 6.3% 5.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.4% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Safa Baku Safa Baku
L Neftchi Baku 4–1
L Imisli FK 0–1
W Qabala 0–1
L Zira 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Sabah FA Sabah FA
W Zira 5–0
W Araz 0–1
W Kapaz 2–0
W Turan 1–2
L Neftchi Baku 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Safa Baku Safa Baku
Attack
13
Defence
55
Form
29
Sabah FA Sabah FA
Attack
34
Defence
57
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Neftchi Baku Neftchi Baku 5 12
2 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 9
3 Qarabag Qarabag 3 9
4 Zira Zira 4 9
5 Turan Turan 5 8
6 Kapaz Kapaz 4 6
7 Şamaxı FK Şamaxı FK 5 6
8 Qabala Qabala 5 4
9 Imisli FK Imisli FK 5 4
10 Safa Baku Safa Baku 4 3
11 Araz Araz 5 2
12 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 4 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Safa Baku vs Sabah FA?
The model gives Safa Baku a 31% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 37% for an Sabah FA win.
How many goals are expected in Safa Baku vs Sabah FA?
Expected goals: Safa Baku 1.1, Sabah FA 1.7 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Safa Baku vs Sabah FA?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.33%.