J2 League · Regular Season - 11 October 17, 2026 07:00 Lemon Gas Stadium, Hiratsuka

Sagan Tosu

#3 · 32 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Omiya Ardija

#2 · 3 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Omiya Ardija, result Sagan Tosu wins

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Omiya Ardija a 69% win probability (draw 14%, Sagan Tosu 15%). The final result was Sagan Tosu 2–1 Omiya Ardija. In 2 previous meetings, Sagan Tosu have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Omiya Ardija.

Match statistics

Pre-match prediction

15.94%

Sagan ←

14.37%

X

69.69%

Omiya

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sagan Tosu) 15.94% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Sagan

1.12

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—

Omiya

2.85

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League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	29
5	Roasso Kumamoto	18	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	22
8	Biwako Shiga	18	21
9	FC Ryukyu	18	17
10	Kitakyushu	18	15