Sagan Tosu - Ventforet Kofu
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
29.6°C
💨 9 km/h
· Mexico City
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.28%
Win
Sagan Tosu
42.16%
Draw
18.57%
Win
Ventforet Kofu
0.79
0.46
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(29.72%)
1X2 Result
1
39%
X
42%
2
19%
Double Chance
1X
81%
X2
61%
12
58%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
67%
Over 2.5
46%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sagan Tosu a 39% win probability, against 42% for a draw and 18% for Ventforet Kofu. Expected goals are 0.8 for Sagan Tosu and 0.5 for Ventforet Kofu (total 1.2), with a 67% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 29.72% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Sagan Tosu have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ventforet Kofu.
Season Stats
9W
4D
2L
6W
2D
7L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.9
0.6
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
40%
20%
O 2.5
40%
33%
BTTS
40%
60%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in J2 League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
30%
BTTS
4W
4D
2L
· at home
5W
1D
4L
· away
1.3
gls/g
0.7
0.7
Conceded
0.6
40%
Win %
50%
80%
Win or Draw
60%
60%
O 1.5
20%
20%
O 2.5
20%
20%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
20%
40%
Clean Sht
50%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Sagan Tosu
Ventforet Kofu →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28.7% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 22.6% | 10.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2 | 8.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Sagan Tosu
Attack
37
Defence
74
Form
58
Ventforet Kofu
Attack
24
Defence
74
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
West B
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
|
18 | 47 |
| 2 |
Kagoshima United
|
18 | 33 |
| 3 |
Sagan Tosu
|
18 | 32 |
| 4 |
Renofa Yamaguchi
|
18 | 29 |
| 5 |
Roasso Kumamoto
|
18 | 27 |
| 6 |
Gainare Tottori
|
18 | 27 |
| 7 |
Oita Trinita
|
18 | 22 |
| 8 |
Biwako Shiga
|
18 | 21 |
| 9 |
FC Ryukyu
|
18 | 17 |
| 10 |
Kitakyushu
|
18 | 15 |
What's at stake · West B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #1 |
| → Sagan Tosu | #2 | #1 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Ventforet Kofu | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu?
The model gives Sagan Tosu a 39% win probability, 42% for a draw, and 18% for an Ventforet Kofu win.
How many goals are expected in Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu?
Expected goals: Sagan Tosu 0.8, Ventforet Kofu 0.5 (total 1.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 67%.
What is the most likely score in Sagan Tosu vs Ventforet Kofu?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 29.72%.