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Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 10 October 24, 2026 20:45 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne
#1 · 25 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Nantes
#15 · 8 pts
Augustine Boakye (ast. Mahmoud Jaber) 90'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Saint Etienne a 52% win probability (draw 24%, Nantes 23%). The final result was Saint Etienne 1–0 Nantes.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
2
0.83
Actual xG
0.30
2
Saves
2
65%
Possession
35%
7
Corners
6
14
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
10'
Killian Corredor / Thomas Robinet ↕
45'+2
Kelvin Amian
Augustine Boakye
53'
58'
Fode Doucoure
60'
Fabien Centonze / Fode Doucoure ↕
60'
Louis Leroux / Ibrahima Sissoko ↕
62'
Johann Lepenant
↕ Ben Old / Chico Lamba
64'
↕ Irvin Cardona / Thierno Ballo
64'
83'
Antoine Joujou / Igniatius Ganago ↕
83'
Mathieu Cafaro / Killian Corredor ↕
↕ Zuriko Davitashvili / Joshua Duffus
83'
↕ Maxime Bernauer / Mahmoud Jaber
84'
88'
Ryad Hachem
Jakob Breum
88'
↕ Augustine Boakye / Nadir El Jamali
90'+7
Joshua Duffus
90'+9
⚽Augustine Boakye · ast. Mahmoud Jaber
90'
Pre-match prediction
52.66%
Saint ←
24.04%
X
23.3%
Nantes
we assigned to the actual result (Saint Etienne) 52.66% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Saint
2.41
0.83
-1.58
Nantes
1.14
0.30
-0.85
Saint Etienne dominated by xG (0.83 vs 0.30). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Saint Etienne Saint Etienne 10 25
2 Montpellier Montpellier 10 21
3 Nancy Nancy 10 19
4 Reims Reims 10 18
5 PAU PAU 10 17
6 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 10 17
7 Annecy Annecy 10 16
8 Metz Metz 10 14
9 Dijon Dijon 10 12
10 Dunkerque Dunkerque 10 12
11 Guingamp Guingamp 10 11
12 Sochaux Sochaux 10 11
13 Boulogne Boulogne 10 10
14 Rodez Rodez 10 10
15 Nantes Nantes 10 8
16 Grenoble Grenoble 10 8
17 Clermont Foot Clermont Foot 10 7
18 Laval Laval 10 6
Lineups
Saint Etienne Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
1 Mamour Ndiaye Mamour Ndiaye G 6.97
11 B. Old B. Old 64' D 6.75
26 J. Le Cardinal J. Le Cardinal D 7.30
23 K. Pedro K. Pedro D 7.37
13 João Ferreira João Ferreira D 7.00
6 M. Bernauer M. Bernauer 84' M 6.87
14 Á. Csongvai Á. Csongvai M 7.20
22 Z. Davitashvili Z. Davitashvili 83' M 6.21
10 J. Breum J. Breum M 6.40
20 A. Boakye A. Boakye 1 ⚽ M 7.88
7 I. Cardona I. Cardona 64' F 6.50
Bench
32 Adam Baallal Adam Baallal M 0.00
15 Chico Lamba Chico Lamba 26' D 6.56
46 E. Dhaoui E. Dhaoui M 0.00
17 J. Duffus J. Duffus 7' F 6.29
40 L. Lavallée L. Lavallée G 0.00
5 M. Jaber M. Jaber 1 👟 6' M 6.78
31 N. El Jamali N. El Jamali 1' M 0.00
37 N. Kasia Nkondo N. Kasia Nkondo D 0.00
8 T. Ballo T. Ballo 26' F 6.59
Nantes Nantes 5-3-2
30 P. Carlgren P. Carlgren G 6.14
26 R. Hachem R. Hachem D 5.78
98 K. Amian K. Amian D 5.76
4 S. Sow S. Sow D 6.21
24 F. Guilbert F. Guilbert D 6.73
13 F. Doucouré F. Doucouré 60' D 6.30
8 J. Lepenant J. Lepenant M 6.23
28 I. Sissoko I. Sissoko 60' M 6.61
44 B. Pierret B. Pierret M 6.44
27 T. Robinet T. Robinet 10' F 5.91
37 I. Ganago I. Ganago 83' F 6.28
Bench
75 A. Cherni A. Cherni D 0.00
7 A. Joujou A. Joujou 7' F 6.48
18 F. Centonze F. Centonze 30' D 5.91
12 K. Corredor K. Corredor 73' F 6.47
19 Louis Leroux Louis Leroux 30' M 6.02
5 L. Perrin L. Perrin D 0.00
20 M. Cafaro M. Cafaro 7' M 6.52
1 M. Dupé M. Dupé G 0.00
23 W. Younoussa W. Younoussa M 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Boakye
A. Boakye
M · Saint
7.88
1 ⚽
4 shots · 35 pass
K. Pedro
K. Pedro
D · Saint
7.37
· 91 pass
J. Le Cardinal
J. Le Cardinal
D · Saint
7.30
· 60 pass
Á. Csongvai
Á. Csongvai
M · Saint
7.20
2 shots · 89 pass
João Ferreira
João Ferreira
D · Saint
7.00
1 shots · 77 pass
Mamour Ndiaye
Mamour Ndiaye
G · Saint
6.97
· 13 pass
Saint Etienne Saint Etienne — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mamour Ndiaye G 90 6.97 — — 0 13 9% 0 — —
B. Old D 64 6.75 — — 0 44 40% 1 — —
J. Le Cardinal D 90 7.30 — — 0 60 51% 0 — —
K. Pedro D 90 7.37 — — 0 91 83% 2 — —
João Ferreira D 90 7.00 — — 1 77 68% 2 — —
M. Bernauer M 84 6.87 — — 0 88 79% 2 — —
Á. Csongvai M 90 7.20 — — 2 89 84% 1 — —
Z. Davitashvili M 83 6.21 — — 1 36 30% 2 — —
J. Breum M 90 6.40 — — 1 47 40% 0 1 —
A. Boakye M 97 7.88 1 — 4 35 30% 1 1 —
I. Cardona F 64 6.50 — — 2 31 25% 0 — —
Chico Lamba D 26 6.56 — — 0 16 12% 0 — —
J. Duffus F 7 6.29 — — 0 3 1% 0 1 —
M. Jaber M 6 6.78 — 1 0 4 3% 0 — —
N. El Jamali M 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
T. Ballo F 26 6.59 — — 0 8 6% 3 — —
Nantes Nantes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Carlgren G 90 6.14 — — 0 26 14% 0 — —
R. Hachem D 90 5.78 — — 0 28 20% 0 1 —
K. Amian D 90 5.76 — — 0 47 36% 2 1 —
S. Sow D 90 6.21 — — 0 45 33% 2 — —
F. Guilbert D 90 6.73 — — 0 40 37% 3 — —
F. Doucouré D 60 6.30 — — 0 17 15% 1 1 —
J. Lepenant M 90 6.23 — — 0 26 20% 4 1 —
I. Sissoko M 60 6.61 — — 1 15 11% 1 — —
B. Pierret M 90 6.44 — — 0 34 28% 3 — —
T. Robinet F 10 5.91 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
I. Ganago F 83 6.28 — — 2 11 9% 0 — —
A. Joujou F 7 6.48 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
F. Centonze D 30 5.91 — — 0 15 7% 1 — —
K. Corredor F 73 6.47 — — 1 16 11% 1 — —
Louis Leroux M 30 6.02 — — 0 13 6% 1 — —
M. Cafaro M 7 6.52 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
The final score was Saint Etienne 1–0 Nantes.
What did the model predict before Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Saint Etienne win, 24% to a draw, and 23% to an Nantes win.