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Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 8 October 10, 2026 20:00 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne
#1 · 25 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Rodez
#14 · 10 pts
Thierno Ballo (ast. Jakob Breum) 15'
Augustine Boakye (ast. Jakob Breum) 55'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Saint Etienne a 54% win probability (draw 23%, Rodez 22%). The final result was Saint Etienne 2–0 Rodez. In 3 previous meetings, Saint Etienne have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Rodez.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
4
1.64
Actual xG
0.77
4
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
1
Corners
6
18
Tackles
6
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Thierno Ballo · ast. Jakob Breum
15'
27'
Ryan Ponti / Luzolo Vangi ↕
37'
Jordan Mendes
45'+2
Mathis Saka
⚽Augustine Boakye · ast. Jakob Breum
55'
Áron Csongvai
66'
68'
Mathis Touho / Nachon Nsingi ↕
68'
Kelian Nsona / Steven Luyambula Biwa ↕
↕ Irvin Cardona / Joshua Duffus
71'
↕ Jakob Breum / Adam Baallal
72'
77'
Marco Essimi / Mathis Saka ↕
77'
Octave Joly / Kenny Nagera ↕
↕ Augustine Boakye / elyes dhaoui
79'
↕ Ben Old / Nathan Kasia Nkondo
80'
I. Cathro
87'
↕ Gautier Larsonneur / Mamour Ndiaye
88'
Pre-match prediction
54.0%
Saint ←
23.59%
X
22.42%
Rodez
we assigned to the actual result (Saint Etienne) 54.0% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Saint
2.95
1.64
-1.31
Rodez
1.26
0.77
-0.49
Saint Etienne dominated by xG (1.64 vs 0.77). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Saint Etienne Saint Etienne 10 25
2 Montpellier Montpellier 10 21
3 Nancy Nancy 10 19
4 Reims Reims 10 18
5 PAU PAU 10 17
6 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 10 17
7 Annecy Annecy 10 16
8 Metz Metz 10 14
9 Dijon Dijon 10 12
10 Dunkerque Dunkerque 10 12
11 Guingamp Guingamp 10 11
12 Sochaux Sochaux 10 11
13 Boulogne Boulogne 10 10
14 Rodez Rodez 10 10
15 Nantes Nantes 10 8
16 Grenoble Grenoble 10 8
17 Clermont Foot Clermont Foot 10 7
18 Laval Laval 10 6
Lineups
Saint Etienne Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
30 G. Larsonneur G. Larsonneur 88' G 7.28
11 B. Old B. Old 80' D 6.91
18 S. Nair S. Nair D 7.04
23 K. Pedro K. Pedro D 7.19
13 João Ferreira João Ferreira D 7.35
6 M. Bernauer M. Bernauer M 6.81
14 Á. Csongvai Á. Csongvai M 7.12
8 T. Ballo T. Ballo 1 ⚽ M 8.01
10 J. Breum J. Breum 2 👟 72' M 8.60
20 A. Boakye A. Boakye 1 ⚽ 79' M 7.82
7 I. Cardona I. Cardona 71' F 6.35
Bench
32 Adam Baallal Adam Baallal 18' M 6.44
46 E. Dhaoui E. Dhaoui 11' M 6.50
17 J. Duffus J. Duffus 19' F 6.43
40 L. Lavallée L. Lavallée G 0.00
1 Mamour Ndiaye Mamour Ndiaye 2' G 6.90
31 N. El Jamali N. El Jamali M 0.00
37 N. Kasia Nkondo N. Kasia Nkondo 10' D 6.57
16 T. Svetlin T. Svetlin M 0.00
52 T. Teillol T. Teillol D 0.00
Rodez Rodez 5-3-2
1 Q. Braat Q. Braat G 6.17
3 R. Lipinski R. Lipinski D 5.91
17 L. Vungele Vangi L. Vungele Vangi 27' D 6.12
4 M. Magnin M. Magnin D 6.29
24 L. Quenabio L. Quenabio D 6.79
28 S. Luyambula Biwa S. Luyambula Biwa 68' D 6.10
29 Antonin Cartillier Antonin Cartillier M 5.30
6 J. Mendes J. Mendes M 6.28
10 M. Saka M. Saka 77' M 5.97
7 K. Nagera K. Nagera 77' F 6.25
9 N. Nsingi N. Nsingi 68' F 6.66
Bench
8 D. Pavlović D. Pavlović M 0.00
30 E. Crombez E. Crombez G 0.00
15 E. Jean-Lambert E. Jean-Lambert D 0.00
21 K. Nsona K. Nsona 22' F 6.49
27 M. Essimi Ateba M. Essimi Ateba 13' F 6.42
5 M. Sylla M. Sylla D 0.00
11 M. Touho M. Touho 22' F 6.57
22 O. Joly O. Joly 13' M 6.51
20 R. Ponti R. Ponti 63' D 5.56
Best on the pitch
J. Breum
J. Breum
M · Saint
8.60
2 👟
1 shots · 46 pass
T. Ballo
T. Ballo
M · Saint
8.01
1 ⚽
2 shots · 27 pass
A. Boakye
A. Boakye
M · Saint
7.82
1 ⚽
2 shots · 27 pass
João Ferreira
João Ferreira
D · Saint
7.35
1 shots · 82 pass
G. Larsonneur
G. Larsonneur
G · Saint
7.28
· 18 pass
K. Pedro
K. Pedro
D · Saint
7.19
· 61 pass
Saint Etienne Saint Etienne — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Larsonneur G 88 7.28 — — 0 18 17% 0 — —
B. Old D 80 6.91 — — 0 55 49% 1 — —
S. Nair D 90 7.04 — — 1 55 51% 0 — —
K. Pedro D 90 7.19 — — 0 61 58% 4 — —
João Ferreira D 90 7.35 — — 1 82 70% 2 — —
M. Bernauer M 90 6.81 — — 0 77 73% 0 — —
Á. Csongvai M 90 7.12 — — 2 76 70% 1 1 —
T. Ballo M 90 8.01 1 — 2 27 24% 5 — —
J. Breum M 72 8.60 — 2 1 46 42% 0 — —
A. Boakye M 79 7.82 1 — 2 27 20% 4 — —
I. Cardona F 71 6.35 — — 1 23 19% 0 — —
Adam Baallal M 18 6.44 — — 0 8 5% 0 — —
E. Dhaoui M 11 6.50 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
J. Duffus F 19 6.43 — — 0 9 9% 0 — —
Mamour Ndiaye G 2 6.90 — — 0 5 1% 0 — —
N. Kasia Nkondo D 10 6.57 — — 0 3 3% 1 — —
Rodez Rodez — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Q. Braat G 90 6.17 — — 0 20 16% 0 — —
R. Lipinski D 90 5.91 — — 0 56 44% 0 — —
L. Vungele Vangi D 27 6.12 — — 0 10 9% 0 — —
M. Magnin D 90 6.29 — — 0 45 38% 1 — —
L. Quenabio D 90 6.79 — — 2 52 47% 1 — —
S. Luyambula Biwa D 68 6.10 — — 0 11 10% 0 — —
Antonin Cartillier M 90 5.30 — — 1 22 14% 1 — —
J. Mendes M 90 6.28 — — 0 43 42% 0 1 —
M. Saka M 77 5.97 — — 0 20 13% 2 1 —
K. Nagera F 77 6.25 — — 1 5 4% 0 — —
N. Nsingi F 68 6.66 — — 1 9 6% 0 — —
K. Nsona F 22 6.49 — — 2 1 1% 0 — —
M. Essimi Ateba F 13 6.42 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
M. Touho F 22 6.57 — — 1 2 1% 0 — —
O. Joly M 13 6.51 — — 1 6 6% 0 — —
R. Ponti D 63 5.56 — — 1 23 13% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
The final score was Saint Etienne 2–0 Rodez.
What did the model predict before Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Saint Etienne win, 23% to a draw, and 22% to an Rodez win.