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Sakaryaspor - Bursa Yıldırımspor

Türkiye Kupası October 28, 2026 16:00
Sakaryaspor
vs
Bursa Yıldırımspor
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.48%
Win
Sakaryaspor
31.92%
Draw
32.6%
Win
Bursa Yıldırımspor
1.53
Expected xG
1.62

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.55%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sakaryaspor a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Bursa Yıldırımspor. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sakaryaspor and 1.6 for Bursa Yıldırımspor (total 3.1), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.55% probability.

Season Stats

Sakaryaspor
2W 0D 1L
Bursa Yıldırımspor
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.5
1.7
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
67%
O 2.5
25%
0%
BTTS
25%
67%
Clean Sht
75%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Türkiye Kupası. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Sakaryaspor
2W 0D 1L · at home
Bursa Yıldırımspor
1W 0D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
1.7
Conceded
0.0
67%
Win %
100%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
0%
67%
O 2.5
0%
67%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
100%
33%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Sakaryaspor Bursa Yıldırımspor →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3% 7.0% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
1 6.6% 10.6% 8.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.1% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.6% 4.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor
W Arit Kayadibi 2–0
L Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–5
W İnegölspor 4–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor
W Amasyaspor 1968 2–0
L Alanyaspor 1–2
W Karsiyaka 0–1
W Altay 2–0

Playing profile

Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor
Attack
52
Defence
74
Form
69
Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor
Attack
46
Defence
96
Form
82
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sakaryaspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
The model gives Sakaryaspor a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Bursa Yıldırımspor win.
How many goals are expected in Sakaryaspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
Expected goals: Sakaryaspor 1.5, Bursa Yıldırımspor 1.6 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Sakaryaspor vs Bursa Yıldırımspor?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.55%.