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Salford City - Grimsby

League Two May 15, 2026 20:15
#4 · 81 pts
vs
#7 · 78 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.62%
Win
Salford City
23.03%
Draw
39.35%
Win
Grimsby
1.77
Expected xG
1.94

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Grimsby a 39% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Salford City. Expected goals are 1.8 for Salford City and 1.9 for Grimsby (total 3.7), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.4% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Salford City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Grimsby.

Score Matrix
↕ Salford City Grimsby →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4% 4.7% 4.6% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6%
1 4.3% 8.4% 8.1% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.3% 4.4% 4.3% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
W Grimsby 1–2
D Crawley Town 0–0
W Bromley 2–0
W Oldham 1–2
D Gillingham 0–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 42%
L Salford City 1–2
D Tranmere 1–1
W Swindon Town 4–0
W Cambridge United 1–2
W Gillingham 1–4
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 39%
Playing profile
Salford City Salford City
Attack
33
Defence
85
Form
65
Grimsby Grimsby
Attack
50
Defence
76
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Bromley Bromley 46 87
2 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 46 86
3 Cambridge United Cambridge United 46 82
4 Salford City Salford City 46 81
5 Notts County Notts County 46 80
6 Chesterfield Chesterfield 46 79
7 Grimsby Grimsby 46 78
8 Barnet Barnet 46 76
9 Swindon Town Swindon Town 46 75
10 Oldham Oldham 46 68
11 Crewe Crewe 46 67
12 Colchester Colchester 46 66
13 Walsall Walsall 46 65
14 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 46 62
15 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 46 61
16 Accrington ST Accrington ST 46 53
17 Gillingham Gillingham 46 53
18 Cheltenham Cheltenham 46 52
19 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 46 49
20 Newport County Newport County 46 43
21 Tranmere Tranmere 46 41
22 Crawley Town Crawley Town 46 40
23 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 46 39
24 Barrow Barrow 46 36
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Salford City vs Grimsby?
The model gives Salford City a 37% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 39% for an Grimsby win.
How many goals are expected in Salford City vs Grimsby?
Expected goals: Salford City 1.8, Grimsby 1.9 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Salford City vs Grimsby?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.4%.