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Salgueiros - Estoril

Taça de Portugal October 17, 2026 16:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.69%
Win
Salgueiros
30.86%
Draw
30.45%
Win
Estoril
2.65
Expected xG
0.95

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.03%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 31%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 61%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Salgueiros a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Estoril. Expected goals are 2.6 for Salgueiros and 1.0 for Estoril (total 3.6), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.03% probability.

Season Stats

Salgueiros
3W 0D 1L
Estoril
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
1.5
1.8
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
75%
BTTS
100%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
Salgueiros
3W 0D 0L · at home
Estoril
1W 0D 0L · away
2.3
gls/g
2.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Salgueiros Estoril →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
1 7.2% 6.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% —
2 9.6% 9.1% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.5% 8.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.6% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% —
5 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

W Feirense 1–0
W Sousense 2–1
L Comércio Indústria 4–2
W Pontassolense 4–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
L Famalicao 1–2
W CF Os Belenenses 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Salgueiros Salgueiros
Attack
40
Defence
83
Form
74
Estoril Estoril
Attack
27
Defence
63
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Salgueiros vs Estoril?
The model gives Salgueiros a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an Estoril win.
How many goals are expected in Salgueiros vs Estoril?
Expected goals: Salgueiros 2.6, Estoril 1.0 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Salgueiros vs Estoril?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.03%.