Salgueiros - Estoril
Taça de Portugal
October 17, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.69%
Win
Salgueiros
30.86%
Draw
30.45%
Win
Estoril
2.65
0.95
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.03%)
1X2 Result
1
39%
X
31%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
61%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
55%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Salgueiros a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Estoril. Expected goals are 2.6 for Salgueiros and 1.0 for Estoril (total 3.6), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.03% probability.
Season Stats
3W
0D
1L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
1.5
1.8
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
100%
75%
BTTS
100%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
3W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
0D
0L
· away
2.3
gls/g
2.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
100%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Salgueiros
Estoril →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 8.5% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Salgueiros
Attack
40
Defence
83
Form
74
Estoril
Attack
27
Defence
63
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Salgueiros vs Estoril?
The model gives Salgueiros a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an Estoril win.
How many goals are expected in Salgueiros vs Estoril?
Expected goals: Salgueiros 2.6, Estoril 1.0 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Salgueiros vs Estoril?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.03%.