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← Taça de Portugal
Taça de Portugal · Round of 64 October 18, 2026 16:00
1 – 1
Final score
pens 1–4
J. Serrao 80'
Joel 120'+3 (pen.)
89'
(pen.) 120'+1 J. Carvalho
(pen.) 120'+2 J. Holsgrove
(pen.) 120'+3 F. Medrano
(pen.) 120'+4 R. Guitane
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Salgueiros a 34% win probability (draw 31%, Estoril 33%). The final result was Salgueiros 1–1 Estoril.

Match statistics
Match Events
31'
M. Robin
60'
J. Holsgrove / M. Robin ↕
60'
R. Guitane / Peixinho ↕
↕ Ze Thiago / Joel
63'
↕ K. Makinde / M. Evora
63'
69'
A. Tsoungui
⚽J. Serrao
80'
81'
85'
89'
⚽
120'+1
(pen.) J. Carvalho⚽
⚽J. Monteiro (missed pen.)
120'+1
120'+2
(pen.) J. Holsgrove⚽
⚽J. Serrao (missed pen.)
120'+2
120'+3
(pen.) F. Medrano⚽
⚽Joel (pen.)
120'+3
120'+4
(pen.) R. Guitane⚽
Pre-match prediction
34.87%
Salgueiros
31.25%
X ←
33.88%
Estoril
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.25% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Salgueiros
1.48
—
—
Estoril
0.60
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Salgueiros vs Estoril?
The final score was Salgueiros 1–1 Estoril.
What did the model predict before Salgueiros vs Estoril?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Salgueiros win, 31% to a draw, and 33% to an Estoril win.