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Salisbury - Braintree

National League South November 10, 2026 20:45
Salisbury
#4 · 28 pts
vs
Braintree
#17 · 16 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
64.22%
Win
Salisbury
17.71%
Draw
18.07%
Win
Braintree
3.7
Expected xG
1.56
Most likely outcome
Salisbury
64.22%
Probability
70.8%
1X2 accuracy · 24 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 3–1 (7.54%)
1X2 Result
1 64%
X 18%
2 18%
Double Chance
1X 82%
X2 36%
12 82%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Salisbury a 64% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 18% for Braintree. Expected goals are 3.7 for Salisbury and 1.6 for Braintree (total 5.3), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 7.54% probability.

Season Stats

Salisbury
8W 5D 2L
Braintree
5W 1D 8L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.5
0.7
Conceded
2.4
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
93%
40%
O 2.5
86%
60%
BTTS
71%
40%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in National League South. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
Salisbury
7W 1D 2L · at home
Braintree
1W 1D 3L · away
2.2
gls/g
2.0
0.8
Conceded
3.4
70%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
40%
90%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
100%
20%
O 3.5
80%
60%
BTTS
80%
40%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Salisbury Braintree →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 1.9% 3.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.6% 5.6% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.4% 6.8% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 4.1% 6.3% 4.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
5 3.0% 4.7% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%

Recent form

Salisbury Salisbury
W Tonbridge Angels 1–2
W Walton & Hersham 0–2
D Dover 1–1
W Farnham Town 1–2
W Folkestone Invicta 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 48%
Braintree Braintree
W Hampton & Richmond 1–0
W Dagenham & Redbridge 2–1
L Farnham Town 6–0
L Truro City 1–2
L Walton & Hersham 1–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 10%

Playing profile

Salisbury Salisbury
Attack
43
Defence
85
Form
67
Braintree Braintree
Attack
36
Defence
45
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 14 31
2 Truro City Truro City 14 30
3 Maidstone Utd Maidstone Utd 15 29
4 Salisbury Salisbury 14 28
5 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 15 27
6 Farnham Town Farnham Town 15 26
7 Billericay Town Billericay Town 13 25
8 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 15 24
9 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 15 24
10 Horsham Horsham 15 22
11 Dover Dover 14 22
12 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 14 21
13 Torquay Torquay 14 20
14 Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta 15 20
15 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 14 18
16 Farnborough Farnborough 15 17
17 Braintree Braintree 14 16
18 AFC Totton AFC Totton 15 16
19 Maidenhead Maidenhead 15 15
20 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 15 15
21 Chesham United Chesham United 14 11
22 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 15 9
23 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham 14 8
24 Slough Town Slough Town 15 4
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Salisbury vs Braintree?
The model gives Salisbury a 64% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 18% for an Braintree win.
How many goals are expected in Salisbury vs Braintree?
Expected goals: Salisbury 3.7, Braintree 1.6 (total 5.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Salisbury vs Braintree?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.54%.