← Premier League

Şamaxı FK - Turan

Premier League May 16, 2026 15:00
#8 · 35 pts
vs
#3 · 59 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
13.87%
Win
Şamaxı FK
24.49%
Draw
61.64%
Win
Turan
0.41
Expected xG
1.58
Model prediction
Turan
61.64%
Probability

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Turan a 61% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Şamaxı FK. Expected goals are 0.4 for Şamaxı FK and 1.6 for Turan (total 2.0), with a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 21.7% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Şamaxı FK have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Turan.

Score Matrix
↕ Şamaxı FK Turan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.8% 21.7% 17.1% 9.0% 3.5% 1.1%
1 5.6% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
2 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4
5
Recent form
L Neftchi Baku 3–0
L Sabah FA 0–3
W Kapaz 2–0
L Karvan 1–0
D Qarabag 0–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 37%
W Karvan 1–0
L Qarabag 2–1
D Zira 1–1
W Araz 0–3
W Sumqayıt 2–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 40%
Playing profile
Şamaxı FK Şamaxı FK
Attack
12
Defence
70
Form
37
Turan Turan
Attack
40
Defence
76
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Sabah FA Sabah FA 31 75
2 Qarabag Qarabag 31 63
3 Turan Turan 31 59
4 Neftchi Baku Neftchi Baku 31 53
5 Zira Zira 31 50
6 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 31 41
7 Araz Araz 31 40
8 Şamaxı FK Şamaxı FK 31 35
9 Imisli FK Imisli FK 31 33
10 Kapaz Kapaz 31 27
11 Qabala Qabala 31 21
12 Karvan Karvan 31 14
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Şamaxı FK vs Turan?
The model gives Şamaxı FK a 13% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 61% for an Turan win.
How many goals are expected in Şamaxı FK vs Turan?
Expected goals: Şamaxı FK 0.4, Turan 1.6 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 66%.
What is the most likely score in Şamaxı FK vs Turan?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 21.7%.