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Model wrong — prediction Draw, result Sambenedettese wins
U. Eusepi 19' (pen.)
K. Candellori 45'+8
86' E. Kabashi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sambenedettese a 24% win probability (draw 59%, Pontedera 15%). The final result was Sambenedettese 2–1 Pontedera. In 1 previous meetings, Sambenedettese have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Pontedera.

Match statistics
Match Events
U. Eusepi (pen.)
19'
A. Dalmazzi / M. Chelli
44'
45'+4
P. Vitali
K. Candellori
45'+8
46'
J. Mbambi / P. Vitali
46'
P. Yeboah / A. Raychev
A. Maspero / V. Alfieri
54'
72'
M. Manfredonia / A. Caponi
72'
G. Wagner / R. Pietrelli
72'
L. Beghetto / M. Sapola
86'
E. Kabashi
A. Konate / M. Stoppa
87'
K. Candellori / L. Lulli
87'
U. Eusepi / E. Lonardo
88'
L. Lulli
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
24.89%
Sambenedettese ←
59.97%
X
15.13%
Pontedera
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sambenedettese) 24.89% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sambenedettese
0.30
Pontedera
0.31
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Reggiana Reggiana 3 7
2 Grosseto Grosseto 3 7
3 Perugia Perugia 3 7
4 Spezia Spezia 3 7
5 Livorno Livorno 3 7
6 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 3 6
7 Campobasso FC Campobasso FC 4 6
8 Atalanta II Atalanta II 4 6
9 Ravenna Ravenna 3 5
10 Forli Forli 3 4
11 Latina Latina 3 4
12 Vado Vado 4 4
13 Pescara Pescara 4 4
14 Ostia Mare Ostia Mare 3 3
15 Gubbio Gubbio 3 3
16 Torres Torres 3 3
17 Pineto Pineto 3 2
18 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese 3 1
19 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 3 1
20 Pianese Pianese 3 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sambenedettese vs Pontedera?
The final score was Sambenedettese 2–1 Pontedera.
What did the model predict before Sambenedettese vs Pontedera?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Sambenedettese win, 59% to a draw, and 15% to an Pontedera win.