Sampaio Corrêa RJ - Portuguesa
Brasileirão Série D
June 20, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.93%
Win
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
26.35%
Draw
43.72%
Win
Portuguesa
1.12
1.7
Expected xG
Most likely result
1–1
(11.3%)
2+ goals
69%
3+ goals
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Portuguesa a 43% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Sampaio Corrêa RJ. Expected goals are 1.1 for Sampaio Corrêa RJ and 1.7 for Portuguesa (total 2.8), with a 69% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.3% probability.
Season Stats
3W
3D
4L
6W
3D
1L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.6
1.0
Conceded
0.6
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
70%
20%
O 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ
Based on the last 10 matches in Brasileirão Série D. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 1.5
10%
O 2.5
0%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
3W
2D
0L
· at home
2W
2D
1L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
0.4
Conceded
0.8
60%
Win %
40%
100%
Win or Draw
80%
40%
O 1.5
60%
0%
O 2.5
20%
0%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
60%
60%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Portuguesa →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Attack
21
Defence
75
Form
52
Portuguesa
Attack
39
Defence
85
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa?
The model gives Sampaio Corrêa RJ a 29% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 43% for an Portuguesa win.
How many goals are expected in Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa?
Expected goals: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1.1, Portuguesa 1.7 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 69%.
What is the most likely score in Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.3%.