USL Championship
· Group Stage
May 24, 2026 02:30
C. Sorto
(ast. D. Erofeev)
27'
D. Erofeev
33'
55'
(ast. A. Rodriguez)
F. Ajago
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Antonio a 41% win probability (draw 30%, Sacramento Republic 27%). The final result was San Antonio 2–1 Sacramento Republic.
Match statistics
Match Events
19'
M. Malango
⚽C. Sorto
· ast. D. Erofeev
27'
⚽D. Erofeev
33'
46'
D. Wanner
/
J. Timmer
46'
M. Kaye
/
T. Wolff
55'
ast. A. Rodriguez ·
F. Ajago⚽
A. Ward
59'
65'
K. Edwards
/
F. Ajago
C. Sorto
67'
68'
M. Kaye
D. Erofeev
/ C. Calov
71'
C. Sorto
/ S. Patino
71'
M. Maldonado
73'
J. Hernandez
75'
77'
A. Essel
80'
R. Spaulding
/
M. Benitez
J. Batrouni
83'
J. Hernandez
/ N. Blanco
84'
S. Patino
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
41.83%
San ←
30.39%
X
27.78%
Sacramento
we assigned to the actual result (San Antonio)
41.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.68
—
—
1.04
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?
The final score was San Antonio 2–1 Sacramento Republic.
What did the model predict before San Antonio vs Sacramento Republic?
The model assigned 41% probability to a San Antonio win, 30% to a draw, and 27% to an Sacramento Republic win.