San Carlos - Municipal Liberia
Primera División
July 26, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.19%
Win
San Carlos
28.44%
Draw
43.37%
Win
Municipal Liberia
0.95
1.44
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.41%)
1X2 Result
1
28%
X
28%
2
43%
Double Chance
1X
57%
X2
72%
12
72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
73%
✓ 90.9% hit rate (11 picks)
Over 2.5
48%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Municipal Liberia a 43% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 28% for San Carlos. Expected goals are 1.0 for San Carlos and 1.4 for Municipal Liberia (total 2.4), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.41% probability. In 4 previous meetings, San Carlos have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Municipal Liberia.
Season Stats
4W
3D
8L
9W
2D
4L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.3
1.5
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
60%
40%
O 2.5
40%
47%
BTTS
53%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Primera División. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
5W
2D
3L
· at home
4W
2D
4L
· away
1.3
gls/g
1.1
0.9
Conceded
1.2
50%
Win %
40%
70%
Win or Draw
60%
70%
O 1.5
70%
30%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
10%
30%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ San Carlos
Municipal Liberia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
San Carlos
Attack
28
Defence
56
Form
35
Municipal Liberia
Attack
36
Defence
80
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
CS Herediano
|
1 | 3 |
| 1 |
Deportivo Saprissa
|
2 | 6 |
| 1 |
LD Alajuelense
|
2 | 4 |
| 1 |
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
CS Herediano
|
1 | 0 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1 | 0 |
| 2 |
LD Alajuelense
|
2 | 4 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Saprissa
|
2 | 1 |
| 3 |
Escorpiones Belén
|
2 | 3 |
| 4 |
CS Cartagines
|
2 | 3 |
| 4 |
Municipal Liberia
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Perez Zeledon
|
2 | 3 |
| 6 |
CS Herediano
|
2 | 2 |
| 7 |
Puntarenas FC
|
2 | 2 |
| 8 |
Sporting San Jose
|
2 | 2 |
| 9 |
Inter San Carlos
|
2 | 1 |
| 10 |
San Carlos
|
2 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia?
The model gives San Carlos a 28% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 43% for an Municipal Liberia win.
How many goals are expected in San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia?
Expected goals: San Carlos 1.0, Municipal Liberia 1.4 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in San Carlos vs Municipal Liberia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.41%.