MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 14, 2026 03:30
✓Model correct — prediction San Diego
D. Vazquez
(ast. O. Valakari)
8'
A. Dreyer
(ast. P. Soma)
17'
P. Soma
(ast. A. Mighten)
54'
M. Ingvartsen
(ast. L. Bombino)
79'
D. Vazquez
(ast. A. Godoy)
90'+1
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Diego a 67% win probability (draw 17%, Austin 15%). The final result was San Diego 5–0 Austin.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
7
10
Shots on target
3
2.52
Actual xG
0.50
3
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
6
Corners
2
10
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽D. Vazquez
· ast. O. Valakari
8'
⚽A. Dreyer
· ast. P. Soma
17'
L. Bombino
44'
⚽P. Soma
· ast. A. Mighten
54'
63'
O. Wolff
/
C. Fodrey
K. Sargeant
/ O. Verhoeven
66'
P. Soma
/ A. Godoy
66'
69'
C. Ramirez
/
M. Uzuni
69'
M. Djordjevic
/
O. Svatok
69'
E. Torres
/
F. Torres
75'
M. Burton
/
J. Rosales
⚽M. Ingvartsen
· ast. L. Bombino
79'
A. Dreyer
/ B. B. Zamble
82'
O. Valakari
/ A. Alvarado Jr
82'
L. Bombino
/ I. Pilcher
82'
⚽D. Vazquez
· ast. A. Godoy
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
67.51%
San ←
17.07%
X
15.42%
Austin
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (San Diego)
67.51%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.16
2.52
-0.64
0.94
0.50
-0.44
San Diego dominated by xG (2.52 vs 0.50).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
D. Ferree
G
5
Kieran Sargeant
66'
D
Kieran Sargeant
66'
D
26
M. Duah
D
M. Duah
D
97
C. McVey
D
C. McVey
D
27
L. Bombino
1 👟
82'
D
L. Bombino
1 👟
82'
D
19
D. Vazquez
2 ⚽
M
D. Vazquez
2 ⚽
M
15
Pedro Soma
1 ⚽
1 👟
66'
M
Pedro Soma
1 ⚽
1 👟
66'
M
8
Onni Valakari
1 👟
82'
M
Onni Valakari
1 👟
82'
M
77
Alex Mighten
1 👟
F
Alex Mighten
1 👟
F
7
M. Ingvartsen
1 ⚽
F
M. Ingvartsen
1 ⚽
F
10
A. Dreyer
1 ⚽
82'
F
A. Dreyer
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
70
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
12'
F
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
12'
F
90
Amahl Pellegrino
F
Amahl Pellegrino
F
20
Aníbal Godoy
1 👟
28'
M
Aníbal Godoy
1 👟
28'
M
29
Anisse Saidi
F
Anisse Saidi
F
14
Bryan Zamblé
12'
F
Bryan Zamblé
12'
F
21
Bryce Duke
M
Bryce Duke
M
25
Ian Pilcher
12'
D
Ian Pilcher
12'
D
98
Jacob Jackson
G
Jacob Jackson
G
33
Oscar Verhoeven
28'
D
Oscar Verhoeven
28'
D
1
Brad Stuver
G
Brad Stuver
G
23
Žan Kolmanič
D
Žan Kolmanič
D
15
Jonathan Bell
D
Jonathan Bell
D
5
Oleksandr Svatok
69'
D
Oleksandr Svatok
69'
D
17
Jon Gallagher
D
Jon Gallagher
D
30
Joseph Rosales
75'
M
Joseph Rosales
75'
M
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky
M
Nicolas Dubersarsky
M
14
Besard Sabović
M
Besard Sabović
M
11
F. Torres
69'
M
F. Torres
69'
M
10
Myrto Uzuni
69'
F
19
Calvin Fodrey
63'
F
Calvin Fodrey
63'
F
Bench
21
Christian Ramirez
25'
F
Christian Ramirez
25'
F
12
Damian Las
G
Damian Las
G
38
Ervin Torres
25'
M
Ervin Torres
25'
M
29
Guilherme Biro
D
Guilherme Biro
D
6
Ilie Sánchez
M
Ilie Sánchez
M
35
Mateja Đorđević
25'
D
Mateja Đorđević
25'
D
32
Micah Burton
19'
M
Micah Burton
19'
M
3
Mikkel Desler
D
Mikkel Desler
D
33
Owen Wolff
31'
M
Owen Wolff
31'
M
Best on the pitch
L. Bombino
D · San
8.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 55 pass
D. Vazquez
M · San
8.60
2 ⚽
6 shots
· 49 pass
A. Dreyer
F · San
8.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 33 pass
Pedro Soma
M · San
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 77 pass
Onni Valakari
M · San
8.30
1 👟
· 63 pass
M. Duah
D · San
7.90
1 shots
· 111 pass
San Diego — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ferree | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Kieran Sargeant | D | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| M. Duah | D | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 111 | 104% | 2 | — | — |
| C. McVey | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 108 | 103% | — | — | — |
| L. Bombino | D | 82 | 8.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 55 | 51% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Vazquez | M | 94 | 8.60 | 2 | — | 6 | 49 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedro Soma | M | 66 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 77 | 73% | — | — | — |
| Onni Valakari | M | 82 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 63 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| Alex Mighten | F | 94 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| M. Ingvartsen | F | 94 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Dreyer | F | 82 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Alvarado Jr | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Aníbal Godoy | M | 28 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Zamblé | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Ian Pilcher | D | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Oscar Verhoeven | D | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Stuver | G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Žan Kolmanič | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Bell | D | 94 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Oleksandr Svatok | D | 69 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Jon Gallagher | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 5 | — | — |
| Joseph Rosales | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Dubersarsky | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Besard Sabović | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Torres | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Myrto Uzuni | F | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Calvin Fodrey | F | 63 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Christian Ramirez | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ervin Torres | M | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Mateja Đorđević | D | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Micah Burton | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Owen Wolff | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Diego vs Austin?
The final score was San Diego 5–0 Austin.
What did the model predict before San Diego vs Austin?
The model assigned 67% probability to a San Diego win, 17% to a draw, and 15% to an Austin win.