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MLS · Regular Season - 13 May 14, 2026 03:30
San Diego
#9 · 30 pts
5 – 0
Final score
Austin
#14 · 26 pts
✓Model correct — prediction San Diego
D. Vazquez (ast. O. Valakari) 8'
A. Dreyer (ast. P. Soma) 17'
P. Soma (ast. A. Mighten) 54'
M. Ingvartsen (ast. L. Bombino) 79'
D. Vazquez (ast. A. Godoy) 90'+1
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Diego a 67% win probability (draw 17%, Austin 15%). The final result was San Diego 5–0 Austin.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
7
10
Shots on target
3
2.52
Actual xG
0.50
3
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
6
Corners
2
10
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽D. Vazquez · ast. O. Valakari
8'
⚽A. Dreyer · ast. P. Soma
17'
L. Bombino
44'
⚽P. Soma · ast. A. Mighten
54'
63'
O. Wolff / C. Fodrey ↕
↕ K. Sargeant / O. Verhoeven
66'
↕ P. Soma / A. Godoy
66'
69'
C. Ramirez / M. Uzuni ↕
69'
M. Djordjevic / O. Svatok ↕
69'
E. Torres / F. Torres ↕
75'
M. Burton / J. Rosales ↕
⚽M. Ingvartsen · ast. L. Bombino
79'
↕ A. Dreyer / B. B. Zamble
82'
↕ O. Valakari / A. Alvarado Jr
82'
↕ L. Bombino / I. Pilcher
82'
⚽D. Vazquez · ast. A. Godoy
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
67.51%
San ←
17.07%
X
15.42%
Austin
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (San Diego) 67.51% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
San
3.16
2.52
-0.64
Austin
0.94
0.50
-0.44
San Diego dominated by xG (2.52 vs 0.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 23 46
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 24 43
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 25 40
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 24 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 24 38
6 St. Louis City St. Louis City 24 38
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 24 32
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 24 32
9 San Diego San Diego 24 30
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 23 29
11 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 24 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 25 29
13 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 27
14 Austin Austin 24 26
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 23 15
Lineups
San Diego San Diego 4-3-3
18 D. Ferree D. Ferree G 7.20
5 Kieran Sargeant Kieran Sargeant 66' D 7.00
26 M. Duah M. Duah D 7.90
97 C. McVey C. McVey D 7.50
27 L. Bombino L. Bombino 1 👟 82' D 8.70
19 D. Vazquez D. Vazquez 2 ⚽ M 8.60
15 Pedro Soma Pedro Soma 1 ⚽ 1 👟 66' M 8.30
8 O. Valakari O. Valakari 1 👟 82' M 8.30
77 A. Mighten A. Mighten 1 👟 F 7.20
7 M. Ingvartsen M. Ingvartsen 1 ⚽ F 6.60
10 A. Dreyer A. Dreyer 1 ⚽ 82' F 8.50
Bench
70 A. Alvarado A. Alvarado 12' F 6.30
20 A. Godoy A. Godoy 1 👟 28' M 6.50
29 Anisse Saidi Anisse Saidi F
90 A. Pellegrino A. Pellegrino F
14 B. B. Zamble B. B. Zamble 12' F 6.30
21 B. Duke B. Duke M
25 I. Pilcher I. Pilcher 12' D 6.30
98 Jacob Jackson Jacob Jackson G
33 O. Verhoeven O. Verhoeven 28' D 6.30
Austin Austin 4-4-2
1 B. Stuver B. Stuver G 6.60
23 Ž. Kolmanič Ž. Kolmanič D 6.30
15 J. Bell J. Bell D 5.50
5 O. Svatok O. Svatok 69' D 5.60
17 J. Gallagher J. Gallagher D 5.90
30 J. Rosales J. Rosales 75' M 6.30
20 Nicolas Dubersarsky Nicolas Dubersarsky M 6.30
14 B. Šabović B. Šabović M 6.20
11 F. Torres F. Torres 69' M 6.90
10 M. Uzuni M. Uzuni 69' F 6.90
19 C. Fodrey C. Fodrey 63' F 6.00
Bench
21 C. Ramirez C. Ramirez 25' F 6.50
12 D. Las D. Las G
38 Ervin Torres Ervin Torres 25' M 6.50
29 Guilherme Biro Guilherme Biro D
6 Ilie Sánchez Ilie Sánchez M
32 M. Burton M. Burton 19' M 6.30
3 M. Desler M. Desler D
35 M. Đorđević M. Đorđević 25' D 6.20
33 Owen Wolff Owen Wolff 31' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
L. Bombino
L. Bombino
D · San
8.70
1 👟
2 shots · 55 pass
D. Vazquez
D. Vazquez
M · San
8.60
2 ⚽
6 shots · 49 pass
A. Dreyer
A. Dreyer
F · San
8.50
1 ⚽
4 shots · 33 pass
Pedro Soma
Pedro Soma
M · San
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 77 pass
O. Valakari
O. Valakari
M · San
8.30
1 👟
· 63 pass
M. Duah
M. Duah
D · San
7.90
1 shots · 111 pass
San Diego San Diego — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Ferree G 94 7.20 — — — 28 25% — — —
Kieran Sargeant D 66 7.00 — — — 52 46% — — —
M. Duah D 94 7.90 — — 1 111 104% 2 — —
C. McVey D 94 7.50 — — — 108 103% — — —
L. Bombino D 82 8.70 — 1 2 55 51% 2 1 —
D. Vazquez M 94 8.60 2 — 6 49 42% 3 — —
Pedro Soma M 66 8.30 1 1 1 77 73% — — —
O. Valakari M 82 8.30 — 1 — 63 60% 2 — —
A. Mighten F 94 7.20 — 1 2 26 24% — — —
M. Ingvartsen F 94 6.60 1 — 4 23 20% — — —
A. Dreyer F 82 8.50 1 — 4 33 30% — — —
A. Alvarado F 12 6.30 — — — 13 11% — — —
A. Godoy M 28 6.50 — 1 — 29 28% 1 — —
B. B. Zamble F 12 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
I. Pilcher D 12 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
O. Verhoeven D 28 6.30 — — — 14 13% — — —
Austin Austin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Stuver G 94 6.60 — — — 40 33% — — —
Ž. Kolmanič D 94 6.30 — — — 43 38% — — —
J. Bell D 94 5.50 — — — 52 48% 1 — —
O. Svatok D 69 5.60 — — — 43 38% — — —
J. Gallagher D 94 5.90 — — — 36 28% 5 — —
J. Rosales M 75 6.30 — — 1 24 21% — — —
Nicolas Dubersarsky M 94 6.30 — — — 57 53% 1 — —
B. Šabović M 94 6.20 — — — 37 32% 1 — —
F. Torres M 69 6.90 — — 1 41 34% — — —
M. Uzuni F 69 6.90 — — 1 24 22% 2 — —
C. Fodrey F 63 6.00 — — 2 14 6% — — —
C. Ramirez F 25 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
Ervin Torres M 25 6.50 — — 1 5 4% — — —
M. Burton M 19 6.30 — — 1 2 2% — — —
M. Đorđević D 25 6.20 — — — 20 16% 1 — —
Owen Wolff M 31 6.60 — — — 16 15% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Diego vs Austin?
The final score was San Diego 5–0 Austin.
What did the model predict before San Diego vs Austin?
The model assigned 67% probability to a San Diego win, 17% to a draw, and 15% to an Austin win.