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MLS · Regular Season - 15 May 17, 2026 03:30
San Diego
#10 · 17 pts
3 – 3
Final score
FC Cincinnati
#7 · 20 pts
M. Ingvartsen (ast. K. Sargeant) 32'
A. Pellegrino (ast. P. Soma) 66'
M. Ingvartsen (ast. A. Saidi) 90'+6
11' (ast. Evander) K. Mboma
50' (ast. Evander) T. Barlow
90'+8 (ast. A. Jabbari) T. Barlow
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Diego a 54% win probability (draw 20%, FC Cincinnati 25%). The final result was San Diego 3–3 FC Cincinnati.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
6
1.77
Actual xG
1.41
3
Saves
2
63%
Possession
37%
7
Corners
2
16
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
11'
ast. Evander · K. Mboma⚽
24'
M. Robinson
⚽M. Ingvartsen · ast. K. Sargeant
32'
46'
T. Barlow / G. Valenzuela ↕
46'
K. Smith / M. Robinson ↕
↕ A. Godoy / P. Soma
46'
↕ K. Sargeant / O. Verhoeven
46'
50'
ast. Evander · T. Barlow⚽
D. Vazquez
54'
⚽A. Pellegrino · ast. P. Soma
66'
↕ D. Vazquez / A. Mighten
69'
73'
O. Nwobodo / N. Hagglund ↕
73'
B. J. Ramirez Leon / K. Mboma ↕
↕ A. Pellegrino / A. Alvarado Jr
78'
87'
O. Nwobodo
90'+1
A. Jabbari / K. Denkey ↕
↕ O. Valakari / A. Saidi
90'+1
⚽M. Ingvartsen · ast. A. Saidi
90'+6
90'+8
ast. A. Jabbari · T. Barlow⚽
90'
T. Barlow
Pre-match prediction
54.5%
San
20.26%
X ←
25.24%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.26% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
San
2.69
1.77
-0.92
FC
1.69
1.41
-0.28
San Diego dominated by xG (1.77 vs 1.41). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 14 32
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 15 32
3 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 14 26
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 15 25
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 15 24
6 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 13 24
7 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 14 22
8 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 15 22
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 15 20
10 San Diego San Diego 15 17
11 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 15 16
12 St. Louis City St. Louis City 14 16
13 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 14 14
14 Austin Austin 15 14
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 14 11
Lineups
San Diego San Diego 4-3-3
18
D. Ferree G 7.20
5 Kieran Sargeant Kieran Sargeant 45' D 6.90
26 M. Duah M. Duah D 6.50
97 C. McVey C. McVey D 6.00
27 L. Bombino L. Bombino D 7.20
19 D. Vazquez D. Vazquez 69' M 5.90
20 Aníbal Godoy Aníbal Godoy 45' M 6.90
8 Onni Valakari Onni Valakari M 7.20
90 Amahl Pellegrino Amahl Pellegrino 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.70
7 M. Ingvartsen M. Ingvartsen 2 ⚽ F 8.50
10 A. Dreyer A. Dreyer F 7.90
Bench
70 Alejandro Alvarado Jr Alejandro Alvarado Jr 21' F 6.70
77 Alex Mighten Alex Mighten 30' F 6.50
29 Anisse Saidi Anisse Saidi 1 👟 8' F 7.20
14 Bryan Zamblé Bryan Zamblé F
1 CJ Dos Santos CJ Dos Santos G
25 Ian Pilcher Ian Pilcher D
9 Lewis Morgan Lewis Morgan F
33 Oscar Verhoeven Oscar Verhoeven 54' D 6.30
15 Pedro Soma Pedro Soma 1 👟 54' M 7.70
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2
18 Roman Celentano Roman Celentano G 7.20
12 M. Robinson M. Robinson 45' D 6.20
21 Matt Miazga Matt Miazga D 6.50
4 Nick Hagglund Nick Hagglund 73' D 6.50
17 K. Mboma Dem K. Mboma Dem 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.70
27 B. Anunga B. Anunga M 6.90
11 Samuel Gidi Samuel Gidi M 6.60
20
Pavel Bucha M 7.20
10 Evander Evander 2 👟 F 8.60
9 K. Denkey K. Denkey F 6.50
22 G. Valenzuela G. Valenzuela 45' F 6.30
Bench
99 Ayoub Jabbari Ayoub Jabbari 1 👟 8' F 7.00
55 Ayoub Lajhar Ayoub Lajhar D
29 Bryan Josías Ramírez León Bryan Josías Ramírez León 26' D 6.70
66
Ender Echenique F
13 Evan Louro Evan Louro G
3 Gilberto Flores Gilberto Flores D
24 K. Smith K. Smith 54' D 6.70
5 O. Nwobodo O. Nwobodo 26' M 6.50
16 T. Barlow T. Barlow 2 ⚽ 54' F 8.00
Best on the pitch
Evander
Evander
F · FC
8.60
2 👟
2 shots · 40 pass
M. Ingvartsen
M. Ingvartsen
F · San
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots · 34 pass
T. Barlow
T. Barlow
F · FC
8.00
2 ⚽
3 shots · 7 pass
A. Dreyer
A. Dreyer
F · San
7.90
2 shots · 50 pass
Pedro Soma
Pedro Soma
M · San
7.70
1 👟
· 55 pass
K. Mboma Dem
K. Mboma Dem
M · FC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
San Diego San Diego — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Ferree G 99 7.20 — — — 25 25% — — —
Kieran Sargeant D 45 6.90 — — — 25 21% — — —
M. Duah D 99 6.50 — — — 102 95% — — —
C. McVey D 99 6.00 — — — 129 114% 1 — —
L. Bombino D 99 7.20 — — 1 62 54% 7 — —
D. Vazquez M 69 5.90 — — — 17 15% 1 1 —
Aníbal Godoy M 45 6.90 — — — 55 51% 2 — —
Onni Valakari M 91 7.20 — — 2 78 71% 3 — —
Amahl Pellegrino F 78 7.70 1 — 3 25 21% — — —
M. Ingvartsen F 99 8.50 2 — 4 34 29% — — —
A. Dreyer F 99 7.90 — — 2 50 45% — — —
Alejandro Alvarado Jr F 21 6.70 — — — 16 16% — — —
Alex Mighten F 30 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Anisse Saidi F 8 7.20 — 1 — 1 1% 1 — —
Oscar Verhoeven D 54 6.30 — — — 37 33% 1 — —
Pedro Soma M 54 7.70 — 1 — 55 53% — — —
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Roman Celentano G 99 7.20 — — — 38 26% — — —
M. Robinson D 45 6.20 — — — 21 20% — 1 —
Matt Miazga D 99 6.50 — — — 61 56% — — —
Nick Hagglund D 73 6.50 — — — 40 35% 1 — —
K. Mboma Dem M 73 7.70 1 — 1 23 15% 1 — —
B. Anunga M 99 6.90 — — — 38 30% 5 — —
Samuel Gidi M 99 6.60 — — — 43 39% 2 — —
Pavel Bucha M 99 7.20 — — — 41 36% 5 — —
Evander F 99 8.60 — 2 2 40 32% 2 — —
K. Denkey F 91 6.50 — — 1 13 10% — — —
G. Valenzuela F 45 6.30 — — — 10 8% — — —
Ayoub Jabbari F 8 7.00 — 1 — 6 6% — — —
Bryan Josías Ramírez León D 26 6.70 — — — 11 10% 1 — —
K. Smith D 54 6.70 — — — 25 23% 1 — —
O. Nwobodo M 26 6.50 — — — 9 7% 2 1 —
T. Barlow F 54 8.00 2 — 3 7 4% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Diego vs FC Cincinnati?
The final score was San Diego 3–3 FC Cincinnati.
What did the model predict before San Diego vs FC Cincinnati?
The model assigned 54% probability to a San Diego win, 20% to a draw, and 25% to an FC Cincinnati win.