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MLS · Regular Season - 14 May 17, 2026 03:30
San Diego
#9 · 30 pts
3 – 3
Final score
FC Cincinnati
#7 · 31 pts
M. Ingvartsen (ast. K. Sargeant) 32'
A. Pellegrino (ast. P. Soma) 66'
M. Ingvartsen (ast. A. Saidi) 90'+6
11' (ast. Evander) K. Mboma
50' (ast. Evander) T. Barlow
90'+8 (ast. A. Jabbari) T. Barlow
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Diego a 54% win probability (draw 20%, FC Cincinnati 25%). The final result was San Diego 3–3 FC Cincinnati.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
6
1.77
Actual xG
1.41
3
Saves
2
63%
Possession
37%
7
Corners
2
16
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
11'
ast. Evander · K. Mboma⚽
24'
M. Robinson
⚽M. Ingvartsen · ast. K. Sargeant
32'
46'
T. Barlow / G. Valenzuela ↕
46'
K. Smith / M. Robinson ↕
↕ A. Godoy / P. Soma
46'
↕ K. Sargeant / O. Verhoeven
46'
50'
ast. Evander · T. Barlow⚽
D. Vazquez
54'
⚽A. Pellegrino · ast. P. Soma
66'
↕ D. Vazquez / A. Mighten
69'
73'
O. Nwobodo / N. Hagglund ↕
73'
B. J. Ramirez Leon / K. Mboma ↕
↕ A. Pellegrino / A. Alvarado Jr
78'
87'
O. Nwobodo
90'+1
A. Jabbari / K. Denkey ↕
↕ O. Valakari / A. Saidi
90'+1
⚽M. Ingvartsen · ast. A. Saidi
90'+6
90'+8
ast. A. Jabbari · T. Barlow⚽
90'
T. Barlow
Pre-match prediction
54.5%
San
20.26%
X ←
25.24%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.26% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
San
2.69
1.77
-0.92
FC
1.69
1.41
-0.28
San Diego dominated by xG (1.77 vs 1.41). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 23 46
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 24 43
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 25 40
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 24 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 24 38
6 St. Louis City St. Louis City 24 38
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 24 32
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 24 32
9 San Diego San Diego 24 30
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 23 29
11 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 24 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 25 29
13 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 27
14 Austin Austin 24 26
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 23 15
Lineups
San Diego San Diego 4-3-3
18 D. Ferree D. Ferree G 7.20
5 Kieran Sargeant Kieran Sargeant 45' D 6.90
26 M. Duah M. Duah D 6.50
97 C. McVey C. McVey D 6.00
27 L. Bombino L. Bombino D 7.20
19 D. Vazquez D. Vazquez 69' M 5.90
20 A. Godoy A. Godoy 45' M 6.90
8 O. Valakari O. Valakari M 7.20
90 A. Pellegrino A. Pellegrino 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.70
7 M. Ingvartsen M. Ingvartsen 2 ⚽ F 8.50
10 A. Dreyer A. Dreyer F 7.90
Bench
70 A. Alvarado A. Alvarado 21' F 6.70
77 A. Mighten A. Mighten 30' F 6.50
29 Anisse Saidi Anisse Saidi 1 👟 8' F 7.20
14 B. B. Zamble B. B. Zamble F
1 C. dos Santos C. dos Santos G
25 I. Pilcher I. Pilcher D
9 L. Morgan L. Morgan F
33 O. Verhoeven O. Verhoeven 54' D 6.30
15 Pedro Soma Pedro Soma 1 👟 54' M 7.70
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2
18 R. Celentano R. Celentano G 7.20
12 M. Robinson M. Robinson 45' D 6.20
21 Matt Miazga Matt Miazga D 6.50
4 N. Hagglund N. Hagglund 73' D 6.50
17 K. Mboma Dem K. Mboma Dem 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.70
27 B. Anunga B. Anunga M 6.90
11 S. Gidi S. Gidi M 6.60
20 P. Bucha P. Bucha M 7.20
10 Evander Evander 2 👟 F 8.60
9 K. Denkey K. Denkey F 6.50
22 G. Valenzuela G. Valenzuela 45' F 6.30
Bench
99 A. Jabbari A. Jabbari 1 👟 8' F 7.00
55 Ayoub Lajhar Ayoub Lajhar D
29 Bryan Josías Ramírez León Bryan Josías Ramírez León 26' D 6.70
66 E. Echenique E. Echenique F
13 E. Louro E. Louro G
3 Gilberto Flores Gilberto Flores D
24 K. Smith K. Smith 54' D 6.70
5 O. Nwobodo O. Nwobodo 26' M 6.50
16 T. Barlow T. Barlow 2 ⚽ 54' F 8.00
Best on the pitch
Evander
Evander
F · FC
8.60
2 👟
2 shots · 40 pass
M. Ingvartsen
M. Ingvartsen
F · San
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots · 34 pass
T. Barlow
T. Barlow
F · FC
8.00
2 ⚽
3 shots · 7 pass
A. Dreyer
A. Dreyer
F · San
7.90
2 shots · 50 pass
Pedro Soma
Pedro Soma
M · San
7.70
1 👟
· 55 pass
K. Mboma Dem
K. Mboma Dem
M · FC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 23 pass
San Diego San Diego — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Ferree G 99 7.20 — — — 25 25% — — —
Kieran Sargeant D 45 6.90 — — — 25 21% — — —
M. Duah D 99 6.50 — — — 102 95% — — —
C. McVey D 99 6.00 — — — 129 114% 1 — —
L. Bombino D 99 7.20 — — 1 62 54% 7 — —
D. Vazquez M 69 5.90 — — — 17 15% 1 1 —
A. Godoy M 45 6.90 — — — 55 51% 2 — —
O. Valakari M 91 7.20 — — 2 78 71% 3 — —
A. Pellegrino F 78 7.70 1 — 3 25 21% — — —
M. Ingvartsen F 99 8.50 2 — 4 34 29% — — —
A. Dreyer F 99 7.90 — — 2 50 45% — — —
A. Alvarado F 21 6.70 — — — 16 16% — — —
A. Mighten F 30 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Anisse Saidi F 8 7.20 — 1 — 1 1% 1 — —
O. Verhoeven D 54 6.30 — — — 37 33% 1 — —
Pedro Soma M 54 7.70 — 1 — 55 53% — — —
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Celentano G 99 7.20 — — — 38 26% — — —
M. Robinson D 45 6.20 — — — 21 20% — 1 —
Matt Miazga D 99 6.50 — — — 61 56% — — —
N. Hagglund D 73 6.50 — — — 40 35% 1 — —
K. Mboma Dem M 73 7.70 1 — 1 23 15% 1 — —
B. Anunga M 99 6.90 — — — 38 30% 5 — —
S. Gidi M 99 6.60 — — — 43 39% 2 — —
P. Bucha M 99 7.20 — — — 41 36% 5 — —
Evander F 99 8.60 — 2 2 40 32% 2 — —
K. Denkey F 91 6.50 — — 1 13 10% — — —
G. Valenzuela F 45 6.30 — — — 10 8% — — —
A. Jabbari F 8 7.00 — 1 — 6 6% — — —
Bryan Josías Ramírez León D 26 6.70 — — — 11 10% 1 — —
K. Smith D 54 6.70 — — — 25 23% 1 — —
O. Nwobodo M 26 6.50 — — — 9 7% 2 1 —
T. Barlow F 54 8.00 2 — 3 7 4% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Diego vs FC Cincinnati?
The final score was San Diego 3–3 FC Cincinnati.
What did the model predict before San Diego vs FC Cincinnati?
The model assigned 54% probability to a San Diego win, 20% to a draw, and 25% to an FC Cincinnati win.