MLS
· Regular Season - 17
July 26, 2026 03:30
A. Alvarado Jr
(ast. M. Duah)
50'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Diego a 44% win probability (draw 27%, FC Dallas 27%). The final result was San Diego 1–0 FC Dallas. In 1 previous meetings, San Diego have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Dallas.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
1
1.56
Actual xG
0.33
1
Saves
7
73%
Possession
27%
7
Corners
4
14
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
19'
J. Sirois
/
Daniel
46'
B. Kamungo
/
J. Valiente
⚽A. Alvarado Jr
· ast. M. Duah
50'
61'
S. Moreno
/
P. Delgado
61'
A. A. Julio Santos
/
R. Binyamin
A. Alvarado Jr
/ A. Godoy
73'
M. Ingvartsen
/ D. Vazquez
73'
79'
L. Farrington
/
S. Ibeagha
81'
B. Kamungo
K. Sargeant
/ L. Bombino
86'
O. Valakari
/ L. Morgan
87'
88'
A. A. Julio Santos
Pre-match prediction
44.84%
San ←
27.42%
X
27.74%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (San Diego)
44.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.34
1.56
+0.22
0.95
0.33
-0.62
San Diego dominated by xG (1.56 vs 0.33).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
C. dos Santos
G
C. dos Santos
G
5
Kieran Sargeant
86'
D
Kieran Sargeant
86'
D
26
M. Duah
1 👟
D
M. Duah
1 👟
D
97
C. McVey
D
C. McVey
D
33
O. Verhoeven
D
O. Verhoeven
D
8
O. Valakari
87'
M
O. Valakari
87'
M
6
J. Tverskov
M
J. Tverskov
M
70
A. Alvarado
1 ⚽
73'
M
A. Alvarado
1 ⚽
73'
M
77
A. Mighten
F
A. Mighten
F
7
M. Ingvartsen
73'
F
M. Ingvartsen
73'
F
10
A. Dreyer
F
A. Dreyer
F
Bench
20
A. Godoy
19'
M
A. Godoy
19'
M
14
B. B. Zamble
F
B. B. Zamble
F
18
D. Ferree
G
D. Ferree
G
19
D. Vazquez
19'
M
D. Vazquez
19'
M
3
D. Þórhallsson
D
D. Þórhallsson
D
32
I. Murphy
D
I. Murphy
D
27
L. Bombino
6'
D
L. Bombino
6'
D
9
L. Morgan
5'
F
L. Morgan
5'
F
15
Pedro Soma
M
Pedro Soma
M
42
Daniel
19'
G
Daniel
19'
G
32
N. Norris
D
N. Norris
D
25
S. Ibeagha
79'
D
S. Ibeagha
79'
D
3
O. Urhoghide
D
O. Urhoghide
D
18
S. Moore
D
S. Moore
D
12
C. Cappis
M
C. Cappis
M
55
Kaick
M
Kaick
M
6
R. Binyamin
61'
M
R. Binyamin
61'
M
8
P. Delgado
61'
M
P. Delgado
61'
M
21
J. Valiente
45'
M
J. Valiente
45'
M
9
P. Musa
F
P. Musa
F
Bench
11
Anderson Julio
31'
F
Anderson Julio
31'
F
77
B. Kamungo
47'
F
B. Kamungo
47'
F
27
Caleb Swann
M
Caleb Swann
M
14
H. Johansson
M
H. Johansson
M
40
J. Sirois
73'
G
J. Sirois
73'
G
5
L. Abubakar
D
L. Abubakar
D
23
L. Farrington
13'
F
L. Farrington
13'
F
28
Samuel Sarver
F
Samuel Sarver
F
10
S. Moreno
31'
F
S. Moreno
31'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Tverskov
M · San
8.30
· 171 pass
A. Alvarado
M · San
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 81 pass
Kieran Sargeant
D · San
7.60
· 70 pass
M. Duah
D · San
7.30
1 👟
· 83 pass
Daniel
G · FC
7.30
· 5 pass
S. Ibeagha
D · FC
7.30
· 17 pass
San Diego — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. dos Santos | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Kieran Sargeant | D | 86 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 70 | 62% | — | — | — |
| M. Duah | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 83 | 78% | — | — | — |
| C. McVey | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 119 | 114% | — | — | — |
| O. Verhoeven | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 58 | 49% | — | — | — |
| O. Valakari | M | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 60 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Tverskov | M | 92 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 171 | 156% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Alvarado | M | 73 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 81 | 77% | 7 | — | — |
| A. Mighten | F | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Ingvartsen | F | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Dreyer | F | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 56 | 42% | — | — | — |
| A. Godoy | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vazquez | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Bombino | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Morgan | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
FC Dallas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel | G | 19 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| N. Norris | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ibeagha | D | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Urhoghide | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Moore | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Cappis | M | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Kaick | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| R. Binyamin | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| P. Delgado | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Valiente | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| P. Musa | F | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Anderson Julio | F | 31 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Kamungo | F | 47 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Sirois | G | 73 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | — | — | — |
| L. Farrington | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Moreno | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Diego vs FC Dallas?
The final score was San Diego 1–0 FC Dallas.
What did the model predict before San Diego vs FC Dallas?
The model assigned 44% probability to a San Diego win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an FC Dallas win.