MLS
· Regular Season - 29
October 15, 2026 04:30
Anders Dreyer
20'
(pen.)
Cédric Bakambu
(ast. Onni Valakari)
22'
Gabriel Pirani
86'
24'
(ast. Lawrence Ennali)
Guilherme Augusto
33'
(ast. Guilherme Augusto)
Mateusz Bogusz
37'
Guilherme Augusto
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Diego a 44% win probability (draw 22%, Houston Dynamo 32%). The final result was San Diego 3–3 Houston Dynamo. In 1 previous meetings, San Diego have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Houston Dynamo.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
3
2.57
Actual xG
0.93
0
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
10
Corners
3
12
Tackles
8
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
4'
Lawrence Ennali
18'
19'
Jonathan Bond
⚽Anders Dreyer
(pen.)
20'
⚽Cédric Bakambu
· ast. Onni Valakari
22'
24'
ast. Lawrence Ennali ·
Guilherme Augusto⚽
33'
ast. Guilherme Augusto ·
Mateusz Bogusz⚽
37'
Guilherme Augusto⚽
44'
Guilherme Augusto
45'
Duncan McGuire
/
Lyle Foster
kieran sargeant
53'
Alejandro Alvarado Jr
/ David Mimbang
58'
Onni Valakari
/ Gabriel Pirani
58'
Cédric Bakambu
/ Marcus Ingvartsen
58'
kieran sargeant
/ Aníbal Godoy
76'
Elias Achouri
/ Amahl Pellegrino
76'
Anders Dreyer
77'
77'
Ibrahim Aliyu
/
Guilherme Augusto
78'
Agustin Resch
/
Agustín Bouzat
Aníbal Godoy
79'
⚽Gabriel Pirani
86'
88'
Duane Holmes
/
Mateusz Bogusz
90'+3
Marcelo Saracchi
/
Lawrence Ennali
Pre-match prediction
44.95%
San
22.24%
X ←
32.81%
Houston
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.83
2.57
+0.74
1.55
0.93
-0.62
San Diego dominated by xG (2.57 vs 0.93).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
C. dos Santos
G
C. dos Santos
G
5
Kieran Sargeant
76'
D
Kieran Sargeant
76'
D
26
M. Duah
D
M. Duah
D
97
C. McVey
D
C. McVey
D
3
D. Þórhallsson
D
D. Þórhallsson
D
8
O. Valakari
1 👟
58'
M
O. Valakari
1 👟
58'
M
6
J. Tverskov
M
J. Tverskov
M
70
A. Alvarado
58'
M
A. Alvarado
58'
M
99
E. Achouri
76'
F
E. Achouri
76'
F
94
C. Bakambu
1 ⚽
58'
F
C. Bakambu
1 ⚽
58'
F
10
A. Dreyer
1 ⚽
F
A. Dreyer
1 ⚽
F
Bench
20
A. Godoy
14'
M
A. Godoy
14'
M
90
A. Pellegrino
14'
F
A. Pellegrino
14'
F
14
B. B. Zamble
F
B. B. Zamble
F
12
Gabriel Pirani
1 ⚽
32'
M
Gabriel Pirani
1 ⚽
32'
M
25
I. Pilcher
D
I. Pilcher
D
7
M. Ingvartsen
32'
F
M. Ingvartsen
32'
F
33
O. Verhoeven
D
O. Verhoeven
D
13
P. Sisniega
G
P. Sisniega
G
31
J. Bond
G
J. Bond
G
21
F. Negri
D
F. Negri
D
5
Lucas Halter
D
Lucas Halter
D
3
Antônio Carlos
D
Antônio Carlos
D
11
L. Ennali
1 👟
89'
D
L. Ennali
1 👟
89'
D
16
H. Herrera
M
H. Herrera
M
6
Artur
M
Artur
M
20
Guilherme
2 ⚽
1 👟
77'
M
Guilherme
2 ⚽
1 👟
77'
M
30
A. Bouzat
78'
M
A. Bouzat
78'
M
19
M. Bogusz
1 ⚽
88'
M
M. Bogusz
1 ⚽
88'
M
9
L. Foster
45'
F
L. Foster
45'
F
Bench
24
A. Ibrahim
13'
F
A. Ibrahim
13'
F
34
A. Resch
12'
D
A. Resch
12'
D
26
B. Gillingham
G
B. Gillingham
G
14
D. Holmes
2'
M
D. Holmes
2'
M
23
D. McGuire
45'
F
D. McGuire
45'
F
18
D. Samassékou
M
D. Samassékou
M
22
M. Arana
M
M. Arana
M
4
M. Saracchi
1'
D
M. Saracchi
1'
D
17
N. Markanich
F
N. Markanich
F
Best on the pitch
Guilherme
M · Houston
8.93
2 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 29 pass
C. Bakambu
F · San
7.92
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 2 pass
Gabriel Pirani
M · San
7.44
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
A. Dreyer
F · San
7.19
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 39 pass
J. Tverskov
M · San
7.16
· 97 pass
Antônio Carlos
D · Houston
6.92
1 shots
· 55 pass
San Diego — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. dos Santos | G | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Kieran Sargeant | D | 76 | 6.06 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 58% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Duah | D | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 128 | 116% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McVey | D | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 2 | 91 | 84% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Þórhallsson | D | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 47% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Valakari | M | 58 | 6.89 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Tverskov | M | 90 | 7.16 | — | — | 0 | 97 | 90% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Alvarado | M | 58 | 6.43 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Achouri | F | 76 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Bakambu | F | 58 | 7.92 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Dreyer | F | 90 | 7.19 | 1 | — | 2 | 39 | 36% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Godoy | M | 14 | 5.71 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Pellegrino | F | 14 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Gabriel Pirani | M | 32 | 7.44 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ingvartsen | F | 32 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bond | G | 90 | 5.55 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 30% | 0 | 1 | — |
| F. Negri | D | 90 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Halter | D | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| Antônio Carlos | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Ennali | D | 89 | 6.21 | — | 1 | 0 | 26 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Herrera | M | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 67 | 62% | 0 | — | — |
| Guilherme | M | 77 | 8.93 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 26% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 78 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Bogusz | M | 88 | 6.39 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Foster | F | 45 | 6.82 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Ibrahim | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Resch | D | 12 | 5.78 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Holmes | M | 2 | 5.79 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| D. McGuire | F | 45 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Saracchi | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Diego vs Houston Dynamo?
The final score was San Diego 3–3 Houston Dynamo.
What did the model predict before San Diego vs Houston Dynamo?
The model assigned 44% probability to a San Diego win, 22% to a draw, and 32% to an Houston Dynamo win.