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MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 03, 2026 03:30
#10 · 16 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#5 · 21 pts
M. Ingvartsen (ast. A. Dreyer) 7'
M. Ingvartsen (ast. A. Dreyer) 71'
82' (ast. Son Heung-Min) D. Bouanga
90'+14 (ast. M. Choiniere) R. Hollingshead

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles FC a 35% win probability (draw 31%, San Diego 33%). The final result was San Diego 2–2 Los Angeles FC.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
3
1.04
Actual xG
0.42
2
Saves
1
57%
Possession
43%
2
Corners
2
21
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
M. Ingvartsen · ast. A. Dreyer
7'
D. Vazquez
15'
46'
M. Delgado / J. Terry
46'
D. Martinez / N. Ordaz
59'
K. Nielsen
60'
Son Heung-Min / R. Raposo
A. Pellegrino / L. Morgan
67'
L. Bombino / I. Pilcher
67'
M. Ingvartsen · ast. A. Dreyer
71'
I. Pilcher
73'
73'
T. Boyd / J. Ebobisse
A. Godoy
78'
79'
M. Choiniere / S. Eustaquio
82'
ast. Son Heung-Min · D. Bouanga
D. Vazquez / A. Alvarado Jr
83'
M. Ingvartsen / W. Eisner
89'
C. J. dos Santos / D. Ferree
90'+8
90'+9
A. Smolyakov / K. Nielsen
90'+14
ast. M. Choiniere · R. Hollingshead
90'
D. Bouanga
Pre-match prediction
33.45%
San
31.09%
X ←
35.46%
Los
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.09% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
San
1.38
1.04
-0.35
Los
1.49
0.42
-1.07
San Diego dominated by xG (1.04 vs 0.42). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
San Diego San Diego 4-3-3
1
C. J. dos Santos G 6.30
27 Luca Bombino Luca Bombino 67' D 7.50
26 Manu Duah Manu Duah D 7.00
97 Christopher McVey Christopher McVey D 7.30
33 Oscar Verhoeven Oscar Verhoeven D 6.60
8 Onni Valakari Onni Valakari M 6.90
20 Aníbal Godoy Aníbal Godoy M 7.70
19 David Vazquez David Vazquez 83' M 6.00
90 Amahl Pellegrino Amahl Pellegrino 67' F 6.60
7 Marcus Ingvartsen Marcus Ingvartsen 2 ⚽ 89' F 9.50
10 Anders Dreyer Anders Dreyer 2 👟 F 7.90
Bench
77 Alex Mighten Alex Mighten F
14 Bryan Zamblé Bryan Zamblé F
21 Bryce Duke Bryce Duke M
25 Ian Pilcher Ian Pilcher 35' D 6.00
9
L. Morgan 35' F 6.50
22 Wilson Eisner Wilson Eisner 13' D 6.20
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.20
4 Eddie Segura Eddie Segura D 6.90
91 Nkosi Tafari Nkosi Tafari D 6.90
45
Kenny Nielsen D 6.30
24 Ryan Hollingshead Ryan Hollingshead 1 ⚽ M 6.20
22
J. Terry 45' M 6.30
46 Stephen Eustaquio Stephen Eustaquio 79' M 6.70
21 Ryan Raposo Ryan Raposo 60' M 6.70
99 Denis Bouanga Denis Bouanga 1 ⚽ F 7.00
27 Nathan Ordaz Nathan Ordaz 45' F 6.50
17 Jeremy Ebobisse Jeremy Ebobisse 72' F 6.50
Bench
29 Artem Smoliakov Artem Smoliakov 3' D
30 David Martínez Morales David Martínez Morales 57' F 6.50
66 Mathieu Choinière Mathieu Choinière 1 👟 23' M 7.00
5 Ryan Porteous Ryan Porteous D
14 Sergi Palencia Sergi Palencia D
7 Son Heung-min Son Heung-min 1 👟 42' F 6.90
12 Thomas Hasal Thomas Hasal G
19 Tyler Boyd Tyler Boyd 30' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Marcus Ingvartsen
Marcus Ingvartsen
F · San
9.50
2 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
Anders Dreyer
Anders Dreyer
F · San
7.90
2 👟
1 shots · 51 pass
Aníbal Godoy
Aníbal Godoy
M · San
7.70
· 119 pass
Luca Bombino
Luca Bombino
D · San
7.50
· 63 pass
Christopher McVey
Christopher McVey
D · San
7.30
· 83 pass
Manu Duah
Manu Duah
D · San
7.00
· 86 pass
San Diego San Diego — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. J. dos Santos G 98 6.30 23 18%
Luca Bombino D 67 7.50 63 58%
Manu Duah D 102 7.00 86 82% 2
Christopher McVey D 102 7.30 83 74% 3
Oscar Verhoeven D 102 6.60 45 37% 3
Onni Valakari M 102 6.90 1 70 60% 3
Aníbal Godoy M 102 7.70 119 115% 3 1
David Vazquez M 83 6.00 2 37 32% 4 1
Amahl Pellegrino F 67 6.60 25 25% 1
Marcus Ingvartsen F 89 9.50 2 3 19 15% 1
Anders Dreyer F 102 7.90 2 1 51 42%
Ian Pilcher D 35 6.00 6 2% 1 1
L. Morgan F 35 6.50 2 2%
Wilson Eisner D 13 6.20
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 102 6.20 28 12%
Eddie Segura D 102 6.90 50 46% 2
Nkosi Tafari D 102 6.90 70 63%
Kenny Nielsen D 99 6.30 72 67% 1
Ryan Hollingshead M 102 6.20 1 43 34% 2
J. Terry M 45 6.30 17 14%
Stephen Eustaquio M 79 6.70 1 46 36% 3
Ryan Raposo M 60 6.70 16 11%
Denis Bouanga F 102 7.00 1 2 17 16% 1 1
Nathan Ordaz F 45 6.50 3 3%
Jeremy Ebobisse F 72 6.50 19 17%
Artem Smoliakov D 3 3 2%
David Martínez Morales F 57 6.50 17 14%
Mathieu Choinière M 23 7.00 1 13 13% 4
Son Heung-min F 42 6.90 1 17 13%
Tyler Boyd F 30 6.30 2 10 6%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Diego vs Los Angeles FC?
The final score was San Diego 2–2 Los Angeles FC.
What did the model predict before San Diego vs Los Angeles FC?
The model assigned 33% probability to a San Diego win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Los Angeles FC win.