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MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 03, 2026 03:30
San Diego
#10 · 17 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Los Angeles FC
#5 · 24 pts
M. Ingvartsen (ast. A. Dreyer) 7'
M. Ingvartsen (ast. A. Dreyer) 71'
82' (ast. Son Heung-Min) D. Bouanga
90'+14 (ast. M. Choiniere) R. Hollingshead
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles FC a 35% win probability (draw 31%, San Diego 33%). The final result was San Diego 2–2 Los Angeles FC.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
3
1.04
Actual xG
0.42
2
Saves
1
57%
Possession
43%
2
Corners
2
21
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. Ingvartsen · ast. A. Dreyer
7'
D. Vazquez
15'
46'
M. Delgado / J. Terry ↕
46'
D. Martinez / N. Ordaz ↕
59'
K. Nielsen
60'
Son Heung-Min / R. Raposo ↕
↕ A. Pellegrino / L. Morgan
67'
↕ L. Bombino / I. Pilcher
67'
⚽M. Ingvartsen · ast. A. Dreyer
71'
I. Pilcher
73'
73'
T. Boyd / J. Ebobisse ↕
A. Godoy
78'
79'
M. Choiniere / S. Eustaquio ↕
82'
ast. Son Heung-Min · D. Bouanga⚽
↕ D. Vazquez / A. Alvarado Jr
83'
↕ M. Ingvartsen / W. Eisner
89'
↕ C. J. dos Santos / D. Ferree
90'+8
90'+9
A. Smolyakov / K. Nielsen ↕
90'+14
ast. M. Choiniere · R. Hollingshead⚽
90'
D. Bouanga
Pre-match prediction
33.45%
San
31.09%
X ←
35.46%
Los
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.09% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
San
1.38
1.04
-0.35
Los
1.49
0.42
-1.07
San Diego dominated by xG (1.04 vs 0.42). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 14 32
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 15 32
3 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 14 26
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 15 25
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 15 24
6 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 13 24
7 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 14 22
8 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 15 22
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 15 20
10 San Diego San Diego 15 17
11 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 15 16
12 St. Louis City St. Louis City 14 16
13 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 14 14
14 Austin Austin 15 14
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 14 11
Lineups
San Diego San Diego 4-3-3
1 CJ Dos Santos CJ Dos Santos G 6.30
27 L. Bombino L. Bombino 67' D 7.50
26 M. Duah M. Duah D 7.00
97 C. McVey C. McVey D 7.30
33 Oscar Verhoeven Oscar Verhoeven D 6.60
8 Onni Valakari Onni Valakari M 6.90
20 Aníbal Godoy Aníbal Godoy M 7.70
19 D. Vazquez D. Vazquez 83' M 6.00
90 Amahl Pellegrino Amahl Pellegrino 67' F 6.60
7 M. Ingvartsen M. Ingvartsen 2 ⚽ 89' F 9.50
10 A. Dreyer A. Dreyer 2 👟 F 7.90
Bench
77 Alex Mighten Alex Mighten F
14 Bryan Zamblé Bryan Zamblé F
21 Bryce Duke Bryce Duke M
25 Ian Pilcher Ian Pilcher 35' D 6.00
9 Lewis Morgan Lewis Morgan 35' F 6.50
22 Wilson Eisner Wilson Eisner 13' D 6.20
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.20
4 Eddie Segura Eddie Segura D 6.90
91 N. Tafari N. Tafari D 6.90
45
Kenny Nielsen D 6.30
24 Ryan Hollingshead Ryan Hollingshead 1 ⚽ M 6.20
22 Jude Terry Jude Terry 45' M 6.30
46 Stephen Eustaquio Stephen Eustaquio 79' M 6.70
21 Ryan Raposo Ryan Raposo 60' M 6.70
99 D. Bouanga D. Bouanga 1 ⚽ F 7.00
27 N. Ordaz N. Ordaz 45' F 6.50
17 Jeremy Ebobisse Jeremy Ebobisse 72' F 6.50
Bench
29 Artem Smoliakov Artem Smoliakov 3' D
30 D. Martínez D. Martínez 57' F 6.50
66 Mathieu Choinière Mathieu Choinière 1 👟 23' M 7.00
5 R. Porteous R. Porteous D
14 Sergi Palencia Sergi Palencia D
7 Son Heung-Min Son Heung-Min 1 👟 42' F 6.90
12 Thomas Hasal Thomas Hasal G
19 Tyler Boyd Tyler Boyd 30' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
M. Ingvartsen
M. Ingvartsen
F · San
9.50
2 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
A. Dreyer
A. Dreyer
F · San
7.90
2 👟
1 shots · 51 pass
Aníbal Godoy
Aníbal Godoy
M · San
7.70
· 119 pass
L. Bombino
L. Bombino
D · San
7.50
· 63 pass
C. McVey
C. McVey
D · San
7.30
· 83 pass
M. Duah
M. Duah
D · San
7.00
· 86 pass
San Diego San Diego — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
CJ Dos Santos G 98 6.30 — — — 23 18% — — —
L. Bombino D 67 7.50 — — — 63 58% — — —
M. Duah D 102 7.00 — — — 86 82% 2 — —
C. McVey D 102 7.30 — — — 83 74% 3 — —
Oscar Verhoeven D 102 6.60 — — — 45 37% 3 — —
Onni Valakari M 102 6.90 — — 1 70 60% 3 — —
Aníbal Godoy M 102 7.70 — — — 119 115% 3 1 —
D. Vazquez M 83 6.00 — — 2 37 32% 4 1 —
Amahl Pellegrino F 67 6.60 — — — 25 25% 1 — —
M. Ingvartsen F 89 9.50 2 — 3 19 15% 1 — —
A. Dreyer F 102 7.90 — 2 1 51 42% — — —
Ian Pilcher D 35 6.00 — — — 6 2% 1 1 —
Lewis Morgan F 35 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Wilson Eisner D 13 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 102 6.20 — — — 28 12% — — —
Eddie Segura D 102 6.90 — — — 50 46% 2 — —
N. Tafari D 102 6.90 — — — 70 63% — — —
Kenny Nielsen D 99 6.30 — — — 72 67% — 1 —
Ryan Hollingshead M 102 6.20 1 — — 43 34% 2 — —
Jude Terry M 45 6.30 — — — 17 14% — — —
Stephen Eustaquio M 79 6.70 — — 1 46 36% 3 — —
Ryan Raposo M 60 6.70 — — — 16 11% — — —
D. Bouanga F 102 7.00 1 — 2 17 16% 1 1 —
N. Ordaz F 45 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
Jeremy Ebobisse F 72 6.50 — — — 19 17% — — —
Artem Smoliakov D 3 — — — — 3 2% — — —
D. Martínez F 57 6.50 — — — 17 14% — — —
Mathieu Choinière M 23 7.00 — 1 — 13 13% 4 — —
Son Heung-Min F 42 6.90 — 1 — 17 13% — — —
Tyler Boyd F 30 6.30 — — 2 10 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Diego vs Los Angeles FC?
The final score was San Diego 2–2 Los Angeles FC.
What did the model predict before San Diego vs Los Angeles FC?
The model assigned 33% probability to a San Diego win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Los Angeles FC win.