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MLS · Regular Season - 11 May 03, 2026 03:30
San Diego
#12 · 32 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Los Angeles FC
#6 · 41 pts
M. Ingvartsen (ast. A. Dreyer) 7'
M. Ingvartsen (ast. A. Dreyer) 71'
82' (ast. Son Heung-Min) D. Bouanga
90'+14 (ast. M. Choiniere) R. Hollingshead
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles FC a 35% win probability (draw 31%, San Diego 33%). The final result was San Diego 2–2 Los Angeles FC. In 1 previous meetings, San Diego have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Los Angeles FC.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
3
1.04
Actual xG
0.42
2
Saves
1
57%
Possession
43%
2
Corners
2
21
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. Ingvartsen · ast. A. Dreyer
7'
D. Vazquez
15'
46'
M. Delgado / J. Terry ↕
46'
D. Martinez / N. Ordaz ↕
59'
K. Nielsen
60'
Son Heung-Min / R. Raposo ↕
↕ A. Pellegrino / L. Morgan
67'
↕ L. Bombino / I. Pilcher
67'
⚽M. Ingvartsen · ast. A. Dreyer
71'
I. Pilcher
73'
73'
T. Boyd / J. Ebobisse ↕
A. Godoy
78'
79'
M. Choiniere / S. Eustaquio ↕
82'
ast. Son Heung-Min · D. Bouanga⚽
↕ D. Vazquez / A. Alvarado Jr
83'
↕ M. Ingvartsen / W. Eisner
89'
↕ C. J. dos Santos / D. Ferree
90'+8
90'+9
A. Smolyakov / K. Nielsen ↕
90'+14
ast. M. Choiniere · R. Hollingshead⚽
90'
D. Bouanga
Pre-match prediction
33.45%
San
31.09%
X ←
35.46%
Los
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.09% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
San
1.38
1.04
-0.35
Los
1.49
0.42
-1.07
San Diego dominated by xG (1.04 vs 0.42). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 26 50
2 St. Louis City St. Louis City 27 47
3 FC Dallas FC Dallas 27 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 27 44
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 28 41
7 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 27 38
8 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 27 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
10 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 27 32
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 27 32
12 San Diego San Diego 27 32
13 Austin Austin 27 31
14 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 27 29
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 27 21
Lineups
San Diego San Diego 4-3-3
1 C. dos Santos C. dos Santos G 6.30
27 L. Bombino L. Bombino 67' D 7.50
26 M. Duah M. Duah D 7.00
97 C. McVey C. McVey D 7.30
33 O. Verhoeven O. Verhoeven D 6.60
8 O. Valakari O. Valakari M 6.90
20 A. Godoy A. Godoy M 7.70
19 D. Vazquez D. Vazquez 83' M 6.00
90 A. Pellegrino A. Pellegrino 67' F 6.60
7 M. Ingvartsen M. Ingvartsen 2 ⚽ 89' F 9.50
10 A. Dreyer A. Dreyer 2 👟 F 7.90
Bench
77 A. Mighten A. Mighten F
14 B. B. Zamble B. B. Zamble F
21 B. Duke B. Duke M
25 I. Pilcher I. Pilcher 35' D 6.00
9 L. Morgan L. Morgan 35' F 6.50
22 Wilson Eisner Wilson Eisner 13' D 6.20
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.20
4 E. Segura E. Segura D 6.90
91 N. Tafari N. Tafari D 6.90
45 Kenny Nielsen Kenny Nielsen D 6.30
24 R. Hollingshead R. Hollingshead 1 ⚽ M 6.20
22 Jude Terry Jude Terry 45' M 6.30
46 Stephen Eustaquio Stephen Eustaquio 79' M 6.70
21 R. Raposo R. Raposo 60' M 6.70
99 D. Bouanga D. Bouanga 1 ⚽ F 7.00
27 N. Ordaz N. Ordaz 45' F 6.50
17 J. Ebobisse J. Ebobisse 72' F 6.50
Bench
29
Artem Smoliakov 3' D
30 D. Martínez D. Martínez 57' F 6.50
66 M. Choinière M. Choinière 1 👟 23' M 7.00
5 R. Porteous R. Porteous D
14 Sergi Palencia Sergi Palencia D
7 Son Heung-min Son Heung-min 1 👟 42' F 6.90
19 T. Boyd T. Boyd 30' F 6.30
12 Thomas Hasal Thomas Hasal G
Best on the pitch
M. Ingvartsen
M. Ingvartsen
F · San
9.50
2 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
A. Dreyer
A. Dreyer
F · San
7.90
2 👟
1 shots · 51 pass
A. Godoy
A. Godoy
M · San
7.70
· 119 pass
L. Bombino
L. Bombino
D · San
7.50
· 63 pass
C. McVey
C. McVey
D · San
7.30
· 83 pass
M. Duah
M. Duah
D · San
7.00
· 86 pass
San Diego San Diego — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. dos Santos G 98 6.30 — — — 23 18% — — —
L. Bombino D 67 7.50 — — — 63 58% — — —
M. Duah D 102 7.00 — — — 86 82% 2 — —
C. McVey D 102 7.30 — — — 83 74% 3 — —
O. Verhoeven D 102 6.60 — — — 45 37% 3 — —
O. Valakari M 102 6.90 — — 1 70 60% 3 — —
A. Godoy M 102 7.70 — — — 119 115% 3 1 —
D. Vazquez M 83 6.00 — — 2 37 32% 4 1 —
A. Pellegrino F 67 6.60 — — — 25 25% 1 — —
M. Ingvartsen F 89 9.50 2 — 3 19 15% 1 — —
A. Dreyer F 102 7.90 — 2 1 51 42% — — —
I. Pilcher D 35 6.00 — — — 6 2% 1 1 —
L. Morgan F 35 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Wilson Eisner D 13 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 102 6.20 — — — 28 12% — — —
E. Segura D 102 6.90 — — — 50 46% 2 — —
N. Tafari D 102 6.90 — — — 70 63% — — —
Kenny Nielsen D 99 6.30 — — — 72 67% — 1 —
R. Hollingshead M 102 6.20 1 — — 43 34% 2 — —
Jude Terry M 45 6.30 — — — 17 14% — — —
Stephen Eustaquio M 79 6.70 — — 1 46 36% 3 — —
R. Raposo M 60 6.70 — — — 16 11% — — —
D. Bouanga F 102 7.00 1 — 2 17 16% 1 1 —
N. Ordaz F 45 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
J. Ebobisse F 72 6.50 — — — 19 17% — — —
Artem Smoliakov D 3 — — — — 3 2% — — —
D. Martínez F 57 6.50 — — — 17 14% — — —
M. Choinière M 23 7.00 — 1 — 13 13% 4 — —
Son Heung-min F 42 6.90 — 1 — 17 13% — — —
T. Boyd F 30 6.30 — — 2 10 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Diego vs Los Angeles FC?
The final score was San Diego 2–2 Los Angeles FC.
What did the model predict before San Diego vs Los Angeles FC?
The model assigned 33% probability to a San Diego win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Los Angeles FC win.