MLS
· Regular Season - 22
August 30, 2026 04:30
E. Achouri
(ast. A. Dreyer)
11'
K. Sargeant
(ast. A. Dreyer)
48'
A. Pellegrino
(ast. A. Dreyer)
70'
55'
H. Lozano
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Diego a 57% win probability (draw 23%, Los Angeles Galaxy 18%). The final result was San Diego 3–1 Los Angeles Galaxy.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
12
7
Shots on target
7
2.41
Actual xG
0.91
6
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
7
Corners
7
11
Tackles
10
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽E. Achouri
· ast. A. Dreyer
11'
21'
M. Reus
J. Tverskov
23'
Gabriel Pirani
30'
A. Godoy
39'
⚽K. Sargeant
· ast. A. Dreyer
48'
J. Tverskov
50'
J. Tverskov
50'
Gabriel Pirani
/ A. Alvarado Jr
52'
55'
H. Lozano⚽
56'
S. Roberto
/
M. Yoshida
56'
E. Thommy
/
I. Parente
61'
65'
J. Paintsil
I. Murphy
/ C. McVey
66'
E. Achouri
/ A. Pellegrino
67'
⚽A. Pellegrino
· ast. A. Dreyer
70'
73'
J. Nelson
/
J. Aude
73'
R. Taylor
/
H. Miller
O. Valakari
/ I. Pilcher
87'
87'
C. Garces
/
J. Haak
dos Santos CJ
89'
Pre-match prediction
57.59%
San ←
23.67%
X
18.74%
Los
we assigned to the actual result (San Diego)
57.59%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
2.41
+0.84
0.70
0.91
+0.21
San Diego dominated by xG (2.41 vs 0.91).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
C. dos Santos
G
C. dos Santos
G
5
Kieran Sargeant
D
Kieran Sargeant
D
32
I. Murphy
66'
D
I. Murphy
66'
D
26
M. Duah
D
M. Duah
D
33
O. Verhoeven
D
O. Verhoeven
D
12
Gabriel Pirani
52'
M
Gabriel Pirani
52'
M
6
J. Tverskov
50'
M
J. Tverskov
50'
M
20
A. Godoy
M
A. Godoy
M
10
A. Dreyer
3 👟
M
A. Dreyer
3 👟
M
99
E. Achouri
1 ⚽
67'
F
E. Achouri
1 ⚽
67'
F
8
O. Valakari
87'
F
O. Valakari
87'
F
Bench
70
A. Alvarado
46'
F
A. Alvarado
46'
F
77
A. Mighten
F
A. Mighten
F
90
A. Pellegrino
1 ⚽
31'
F
A. Pellegrino
1 ⚽
31'
F
97
C. McVey
32'
D
C. McVey
32'
D
18
D. Ferree
G
D. Ferree
G
19
D. Vazquez
M
D. Vazquez
M
3
D. Þórhallsson
D
D. Þórhallsson
D
25
I. Pilcher
11'
D
I. Pilcher
11'
D
9
L. Morgan
F
L. Morgan
F
1
N. Mićović
G
N. Mićović
G
3
J. Aude
73'
D
J. Aude
73'
D
4
M. Yoshida
56'
D
M. Yoshida
56'
D
5
J. Glesnes
D
J. Glesnes
D
26
Harbor Miller
73'
D
Harbor Miller
73'
D
16
I. Parente
56'
M
I. Parente
56'
M
15
J. Haak
87'
M
J. Haak
87'
M
11
H. Lozano
1 ⚽
M
H. Lozano
1 ⚽
M
18
M. Reus
M
M. Reus
M
28
J. Paintsil
M
J. Paintsil
M
7
K. Furuhashi
F
K. Furuhashi
F
Bench
25
C. Garcés
11'
D
C. Garcés
11'
D
27
E. Thommy
42'
M
E. Thommy
42'
M
14
J. Nelson
25'
D
J. Nelson
25'
D
88
Mason Vanney
M
Mason Vanney
M
24
R. Ramos
F
R. Ramos
F
21
R. Taylor
25'
M
R. Taylor
25'
M
6
Sergi Roberto
42'
M
Sergi Roberto
42'
M
76
T. Elgersma
M
T. Elgersma
M
Best on the pitch
A. Dreyer
M · San
10.00
3 👟
5 shots
· 29 pass
C. dos Santos
G · San
8.00
· 30 pass
E. Achouri
F · San
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Kieran Sargeant
D · San
7.60
1 shots
· 34 pass
H. Lozano
M · Los
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 30 pass
A. Godoy
M · San
7.30
1 shots
· 50 pass
San Diego — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. dos Santos | G | 98 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | 1 | — |
| Kieran Sargeant | D | 98 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Murphy | D | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 38% | — | — | — |
| M. Duah | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | — | — | — |
| O. Verhoeven | D | 98 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Pirani | M | 52 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. Tverskov | M | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 52% | — | 2 | 1 |
| A. Godoy | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Dreyer | M | 98 | 10.00 | — | 3 | 5 | 29 | 23% | — | — | — |
| E. Achouri | F | 67 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| O. Valakari | F | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Alvarado | F | 46 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pellegrino | F | 31 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| C. McVey | D | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| I. Pilcher | D | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Mićović | G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| J. Aude | D | 73 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Yoshida | D | 56 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | — | — | — |
| J. Glesnes | D | 98 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 70 | 59% | — | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | D | 73 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Parente | M | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | — | — | — |
| J. Haak | M | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Lozano | M | 98 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Reus | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 57% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Paintsil | M | 98 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Furuhashi | F | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| C. Garcés | D | 11 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Thommy | M | 42 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Nelson | D | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| R. Taylor | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergi Roberto | M | 42 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 43% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The final score was San Diego 3–1 Los Angeles Galaxy.
What did the model predict before San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The model assigned 57% probability to a San Diego win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Los Angeles Galaxy win.