MLS
· Regular Season - 7
April 12, 2026 06:30
L. Bombino
(ast. L. Morgan)
7'
15'
(ast. T. Chancalay)
K. Duncan
40'
K. Yeboah
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Diego a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Minnesota United FC 28%). The final result was San Diego 1–2 Minnesota United FC.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
15
6
Shots on target
7
1.62
Actual xG
1.95
4
Saves
5
64%
Possession
36%
4
Corners
5
19
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽L. Bombino
· ast. L. Morgan
7'
C. McVey
11'
15'
ast. T. Chancalay ·
K. Duncan⚽
O. Verhoeven
30'
40'
K. Yeboah⚽
C. McVey
46'
C. McVey
46'
B. B. Zamble
/ M. Ingvartsen
53'
68'
D. Padelford
/
N. Romero
68'
W. Trapp
/
O. Gene
69'
J. Pereyra
71'
C. Harvey
/
J. Diaz
L. Morgan
/ D. Vazquez
73'
A. Godoy
/ B. Duke
80'
O. Verhoeven
/ W. Kumado
80'
83'
M. Dieng
/
K. Yeboah
83'
B. Hlongwane
/
J. Pereyra
Pre-match prediction
43.65%
San
27.71%
X
28.65%
Minnesota ←
we assigned to the actual result (Minnesota United FC)
28.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.33
1.62
-0.71
1.28
1.95
+0.67
Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
G
27
Luca Bombino
1 ⚽
D
Luca Bombino
1 ⚽
D
17
O. Soe
D
97
Christopher McVey
46'
D
Christopher McVey
46'
D
33
Oscar Verhoeven
80'
D
Oscar Verhoeven
80'
D
8
Onni Valakari
M
Onni Valakari
M
6
J. Tverskov
M
20
Aníbal Godoy
80'
M
Aníbal Godoy
80'
M
14
Bryan Zamblé
53'
F
Bryan Zamblé
53'
F
9
L. Morgan
1 👟
73'
F
10
Anders Dreyer
F
Anders Dreyer
F
Bench
77
Alex Mighten
F
Alex Mighten
F
21
Bryce Duke
10'
M
Bryce Duke
10'
M
1
C. J. dos Santos
G
19
David Vazquez
17'
M
David Vazquez
17'
M
7
Marcus Ingvartsen
37'
F
Marcus Ingvartsen
37'
F
12
G
5
Nicolás Romero
68'
D
Nicolás Romero
68'
D
23
Morris Duggan
D
Morris Duggan
D
28
Jefferson Díaz
71'
D
Jefferson Díaz
71'
D
13
Anthony Markanich
M
Anthony Markanich
M
30
Owen Gene
68'
M
Owen Gene
68'
M
25
Nectarios Triantis
M
Nectarios Triantis
M
3
Kyle Duncan
1 ⚽
M
Kyle Duncan
1 ⚽
M
8
Tomás Chancalay
1 👟
F
Tomás Chancalay
1 👟
F
9
Kelvin Yeboah
1 ⚽
83'
F
Kelvin Yeboah
1 ⚽
83'
F
26
Joaquín Pereyra
83'
F
Joaquín Pereyra
83'
F
Bench
1
Alec Smir
G
Alec Smir
G
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
15'
F
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
15'
F
67
C. Harvey
19'
M
2
Devin Padelford
22'
D
Devin Padelford
22'
D
27
D.J. Taylor
D
D.J. Taylor
D
33
Kieran Chandler
D
Kieran Chandler
D
29
Mamadou Dieng
15'
F
Mamadou Dieng
15'
F
18
Mauricio González
F
Mauricio González
F
20
Wil Trapp
22'
M
Wil Trapp
22'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Tverskov
M · San
9.30
1 shots
· 112 pass
G · Minnesota
7.90
· 23 pass
Luca Bombino
D · San
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 75 pass
O. Soe
D · San
7.30
· 110 pass
Onni Valakari
M · San
7.30
3 shots
· 54 pass
Kelvin Yeboah
F · Minnesota
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
San Diego — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | — | — | — | |
| Luca Bombino | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 75 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Soe | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 110 | 102% | 1 | — | — |
| Christopher McVey | D | 46 | 5.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 49% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Oscar Verhoeven | D | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Onni Valakari | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Tverskov | M | 90 | 9.30 | — | — | 1 | 112 | 94% | 9 | — | — |
| Aníbal Godoy | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 90 | 86% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan Zamblé | F | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| L. Morgan | F | 73 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Anders Dreyer | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Bryce Duke | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| David Vazquez | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Nicolás Romero | D | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Morris Duggan | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Jefferson Díaz | D | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Anthony Markanich | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Owen Gene | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Nectarios Triantis | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Kyle Duncan | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Chancalay | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Kelvin Yeboah | F | 83 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Pereyra | F | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | F | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Harvey | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Devin Padelford | D | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Wil Trapp | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Diego vs Minnesota United FC?
The final score was San Diego 1–2 Minnesota United FC.
What did the model predict before San Diego vs Minnesota United FC?
The model assigned 43% probability to a San Diego win, 27% to a draw, and 28% to an Minnesota United FC win.