MLS
· Regular Season - 7
April 12, 2026 04:30
L. Bombino
(ast. L. Morgan)
7'
15'
(ast. T. Chancalay)
K. Duncan
40'
K. Yeboah
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Diego a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Minnesota United FC 28%). The final result was San Diego 1–2 Minnesota United FC. In 1 previous meetings, San Diego have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Minnesota United FC.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
15
6
Shots on target
7
1.62
Actual xG
1.95
4
Saves
5
64%
Possession
36%
4
Corners
5
19
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽L. Bombino
· ast. L. Morgan
7'
C. McVey
11'
15'
ast. T. Chancalay ·
K. Duncan⚽
O. Verhoeven
30'
40'
K. Yeboah⚽
C. McVey
46'
C. McVey
46'
B. B. Zamble
/ M. Ingvartsen
53'
68'
D. Padelford
/
N. Romero
68'
W. Trapp
/
O. Gene
69'
J. Pereyra
71'
C. Harvey
/
J. Diaz
L. Morgan
/ D. Vazquez
73'
A. Godoy
/ B. Duke
80'
O. Verhoeven
/ W. Kumado
80'
83'
M. Dieng
/
K. Yeboah
83'
B. Hlongwane
/
J. Pereyra
Pre-match prediction
43.65%
San
27.71%
X
28.65%
Minnesota ←
we assigned to the actual result (Minnesota United FC)
28.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.33
1.62
-0.71
1.28
1.95
+0.67
Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
G
27
L. Bombino
1 ⚽
D
L. Bombino
1 ⚽
D
17
O. Søe
D
O. Søe
D
97
C. McVey
46'
D
C. McVey
46'
D
33
O. Verhoeven
80'
D
O. Verhoeven
80'
D
8
O. Valakari
M
O. Valakari
M
6
J. Tverskov
M
J. Tverskov
M
20
A. Godoy
80'
M
A. Godoy
80'
M
14
B. B. Zamble
53'
F
B. B. Zamble
53'
F
9
L. Morgan
1 👟
73'
F
L. Morgan
1 👟
73'
F
10
A. Dreyer
F
A. Dreyer
F
Bench
77
A. Mighten
F
A. Mighten
F
21
B. Duke
10'
M
B. Duke
10'
M
1
C. dos Santos
G
C. dos Santos
G
19
D. Vazquez
17'
M
D. Vazquez
17'
M
7
M. Ingvartsen
37'
F
M. Ingvartsen
37'
F
12
G
5
N. Romero
68'
D
N. Romero
68'
D
23
M. Duggan
D
M. Duggan
D
28
J. Díaz
71'
D
J. Díaz
71'
D
13
A. Markanich
M
A. Markanich
M
30
O. Gene
68'
M
O. Gene
68'
M
25
Nectarios Triantis
M
Nectarios Triantis
M
3
K. Duncan
1 ⚽
M
K. Duncan
1 ⚽
M
8
T. Chancalay
1 👟
F
T. Chancalay
1 👟
F
9
K. Yeboah
1 ⚽
83'
F
K. Yeboah
1 ⚽
83'
F
26
J. Pereyra
83'
F
J. Pereyra
83'
F
Bench
1
Alec Smir
G
21
B. Hlongwane
15'
F
B. Hlongwane
15'
F
67
Carlos Harvey
19'
M
Carlos Harvey
19'
M
2
D. Padelford
22'
D
D. Padelford
22'
D
27
D. Taylor
D
D. Taylor
D
33
K. Chandler
D
K. Chandler
D
29
Mamadou Dieng
15'
F
Mamadou Dieng
15'
F
18
M. Gonzalez
F
M. Gonzalez
F
20
W. Trapp
22'
M
W. Trapp
22'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Tverskov
M · San
9.30
1 shots
· 112 pass
G · Minnesota
7.90
· 23 pass
L. Bombino
D · San
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 75 pass
O. Søe
D · San
7.30
· 110 pass
O. Valakari
M · San
7.30
3 shots
· 54 pass
K. Yeboah
F · Minnesota
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
San Diego — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | — | — | — | |
| L. Bombino | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 75 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Søe | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 110 | 102% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McVey | D | 46 | 5.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 49% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| O. Verhoeven | D | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Valakari | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Tverskov | M | 90 | 9.30 | — | — | 1 | 112 | 94% | 9 | — | — |
| A. Godoy | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 90 | 86% | 2 | — | — |
| B. B. Zamble | F | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| L. Morgan | F | 73 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| A. Dreyer | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| B. Duke | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D. Vazquez | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ingvartsen | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| N. Romero | D | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | — | — | — |
| M. Duggan | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Díaz | D | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Markanich | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Gene | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Nectarios Triantis | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Duncan | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Chancalay | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| K. Yeboah | F | 83 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | F | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Hlongwane | F | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Harvey | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Padelford | D | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| W. Trapp | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Diego vs Minnesota United FC?
The final score was San Diego 1–2 Minnesota United FC.
What did the model predict before San Diego vs Minnesota United FC?
The model assigned 43% probability to a San Diego win, 27% to a draw, and 28% to an Minnesota United FC win.