MLS
· Regular Season - 7
April 12, 2026 06:30
L. Bombino
(ast. L. Morgan)
7'
15'
(ast. T. Chancalay)
K. Duncan
40'
K. Yeboah
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Diego a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Minnesota United FC 28%). The final result was San Diego 1–2 Minnesota United FC.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
15
6
Shots on target
7
1.62
Actual xG
1.95
4
Saves
5
64%
Possession
36%
4
Corners
5
19
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽L. Bombino
· ast. L. Morgan
7'
C. McVey
11'
15'
ast. T. Chancalay ·
K. Duncan⚽
O. Verhoeven
30'
40'
K. Yeboah⚽
C. McVey
46'
C. McVey
46'
B. B. Zamble
/ M. Ingvartsen
53'
68'
D. Padelford
/
N. Romero
68'
W. Trapp
/
O. Gene
69'
J. Pereyra
71'
C. Harvey
/
J. Diaz
L. Morgan
/ D. Vazquez
73'
A. Godoy
/ B. Duke
80'
O. Verhoeven
/ W. Kumado
80'
83'
M. Dieng
/
K. Yeboah
83'
B. Hlongwane
/
J. Pereyra
Pre-match prediction
43.65%
San
27.71%
X
28.65%
Minnesota ←
we assigned to the actual result (Minnesota United FC)
28.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.33
1.62
-0.71
1.28
1.95
+0.67
Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
G
27
L. Bombino
1 ⚽
D
L. Bombino
1 ⚽
D
17
O. Soe
D
97
C. McVey
46'
D
C. McVey
46'
D
33
Oscar Verhoeven
80'
D
Oscar Verhoeven
80'
D
8
Onni Valakari
M
Onni Valakari
M
6
J. Tverskov
M
20
Aníbal Godoy
80'
M
Aníbal Godoy
80'
M
14
Bryan Zamblé
53'
F
Bryan Zamblé
53'
F
9
Lewis Morgan
1 👟
73'
F
Lewis Morgan
1 👟
73'
F
10
A. Dreyer
F
A. Dreyer
F
Bench
77
Alex Mighten
F
Alex Mighten
F
21
Bryce Duke
10'
M
Bryce Duke
10'
M
1
CJ Dos Santos
G
CJ Dos Santos
G
19
D. Vazquez
17'
M
D. Vazquez
17'
M
7
M. Ingvartsen
37'
F
M. Ingvartsen
37'
F
12
G
5
Nicolás Romero
68'
D
Nicolás Romero
68'
D
23
Morris Duggan
D
Morris Duggan
D
28
J. Díaz
71'
D
J. Díaz
71'
D
13
Anthony Markanich
M
Anthony Markanich
M
30
Owen Gene
68'
M
Owen Gene
68'
M
25
Nectarios Triantis
M
Nectarios Triantis
M
3
Kyle Duncan
1 ⚽
M
Kyle Duncan
1 ⚽
M
8
Tomás Chancalay
1 👟
F
Tomás Chancalay
1 👟
F
9
K. Yeboah
1 ⚽
83'
F
K. Yeboah
1 ⚽
83'
F
26
J. Pereyra
83'
F
J. Pereyra
83'
F
Bench
1
Alec Smir
G
Alec Smir
G
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
15'
F
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
15'
F
67
Carlos Harvey
19'
M
Carlos Harvey
19'
M
2
Devin Padelford
22'
D
Devin Padelford
22'
D
27
D.J. Taylor
D
D.J. Taylor
D
33
Kieran Chandler
D
Kieran Chandler
D
29
Mamadou Dieng
15'
F
Mamadou Dieng
15'
F
18
Mauricio González
F
Mauricio González
F
20
Wil Trapp
22'
M
Wil Trapp
22'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Tverskov
M · San
9.30
1 shots
· 112 pass
G · Minnesota
7.90
· 23 pass
L. Bombino
D · San
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 75 pass
O. Soe
D · San
7.30
· 110 pass
Onni Valakari
M · San
7.30
3 shots
· 54 pass
K. Yeboah
F · Minnesota
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
San Diego — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | — | — | — | |
| L. Bombino | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 75 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Soe | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 110 | 102% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McVey | D | 46 | 5.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 49% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Oscar Verhoeven | D | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Onni Valakari | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Tverskov | M | 90 | 9.30 | — | — | 1 | 112 | 94% | 9 | — | — |
| Aníbal Godoy | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 90 | 86% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan Zamblé | F | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Lewis Morgan | F | 73 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| A. Dreyer | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Bryce Duke | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D. Vazquez | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ingvartsen | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Nicolás Romero | D | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Morris Duggan | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Díaz | D | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Anthony Markanich | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Owen Gene | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Nectarios Triantis | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Kyle Duncan | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Chancalay | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| K. Yeboah | F | 83 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | F | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | F | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Harvey | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Devin Padelford | D | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Wil Trapp | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Diego vs Minnesota United FC?
The final score was San Diego 1–2 Minnesota United FC.
What did the model predict before San Diego vs Minnesota United FC?
The model assigned 43% probability to a San Diego win, 27% to a draw, and 28% to an Minnesota United FC win.