MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 26, 2026 03:30
A. Dreyer
32'
(pen.)
26'
K. Kelsy
90'+6
A. Bonetig
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Diego a 44% win probability (draw 26%, Portland Timbers 29%). The final result was San Diego 1–2 Portland Timbers. In 1 previous meetings, San Diego have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Portland Timbers.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
5
1.43
Actual xG
1.13
4
Saves
2
67%
Possession
33%
6
Corners
6
17
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
26'
K. Kelsy⚽
⚽A. Dreyer
(pen.)
32'
47'
I. Pilcher
/ W. Eisner
59'
M. Ingvartsen
63'
69'
K. Velde
A. Godoy
/ P. Soma
72'
D. Vazquez
/ L. Morgan
72'
73'
Antony
/
A. Aravena
W. Eisner
76'
J. Tverskov
/ B. Duke
81'
O. Verhoeven
/ K. Sargeant
81'
86'
D. Chara
/
C. Bassett
90'+6
A. Bonetig⚽
90'+7
A. Lassiter
/
K. Velde
Pre-match prediction
44.14%
San
26.4%
X
29.47%
Portland ←
we assigned to the actual result (Portland Timbers)
29.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.13
1.43
-0.7
1.51
1.13
-0.38
xG dominance was balanced (1.43 – 1.13).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
18
G
25
I. Pilcher
59'
D
I. Pilcher
59'
D
26
M. Duah
D
M. Duah
D
97
C. McVey
D
C. McVey
D
33
O. Verhoeven
81'
D
O. Verhoeven
81'
D
8
O. Valakari
M
O. Valakari
M
6
J. Tverskov
81'
M
J. Tverskov
81'
M
20
A. Godoy
72'
M
A. Godoy
72'
M
19
D. Vazquez
72'
F
D. Vazquez
72'
F
7
M. Ingvartsen
F
M. Ingvartsen
F
10
A. Dreyer
1 ⚽
F
A. Dreyer
1 ⚽
F
Bench
77
A. Mighten
F
A. Mighten
F
14
B. B. Zamble
F
B. B. Zamble
F
21
B. Duke
20'
M
B. Duke
20'
M
1
C. dos Santos
G
C. dos Santos
G
9
L. Morgan
29'
F
L. Morgan
29'
F
17
O. Søe
D
O. Søe
D
22
Wilson Eisner
42'
D
Wilson Eisner
42'
D
41
G
27
J. Fory
D
J. Fory
D
6
A. Bonetig
1 ⚽
D
A. Bonetig
1 ⚽
D
20
Finn Surman
D
Finn Surman
D
5
D
30
M
17
C. Bassett
86'
M
C. Bassett
86'
M
28
A. Aravena
73'
M
A. Aravena
73'
M
10
David Pereira da Costa
M
David Pereira da Costa
M
99
K. Velde
M
K. Velde
M
19
Kevin Kelsy
1 ⚽
F
Kevin Kelsy
1 ⚽
F
Bench
11
Antony
28'
F
Antony
28'
F
21
D. Chará
15'
M
D. Chará
15'
M
9
F. Mora
F
F. Mora
F
23
Ian Smith
D
Ian Smith
D
80
J. Ortiz
M
J. Ortiz
M
Best on the pitch
Kevin Kelsy
F · Portland
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
M · Portland
7.30
1 shots
· 35 pass
C. McVey
D · San
7.30
· 95 pass
J. Fory
D · Portland
7.30
· 33 pass
L. Morgan
F · San
7.20
1 shots
· 5 pass
A. Bonetig
D · Portland
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
San Diego — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| I. Pilcher | D | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Duah | D | 101 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 109 | 103% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McVey | D | 101 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 95 | 90% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Verhoeven | D | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | — | — | — |
| O. Valakari | M | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Tverskov | M | 81 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 94 | 84% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Godoy | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 78 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Vazquez | F | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ingvartsen | F | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Dreyer | F | 101 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 59 | 47% | — | — | — |
| B. Duke | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Morgan | F | 29 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Wilson Eisner | D | 42 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
Portland Timbers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — | |
| J. Fory | D | 101 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bonetig | D | 101 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Finn Surman | D | 101 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 101 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 101 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 33% | 3 | — | — | |
| C. Bassett | M | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Aravena | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| David Pereira da Costa | M | 101 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| K. Velde | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kevin Kelsy | F | 101 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Antony | F | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Chará | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Diego vs Portland Timbers?
The final score was San Diego 1–2 Portland Timbers.
What did the model predict before San Diego vs Portland Timbers?
The model assigned 44% probability to a San Diego win, 26% to a draw, and 29% to an Portland Timbers win.