MLS · Regular Season - 5 March 23, 2026 00:00

San Diego

#12 · 32 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Real Salt Lake

#11 · 32 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Diego a 42% win probability (draw 28%, Real Salt Lake 28%). The final result was San Diego 2–2 Real Salt Lake. In 1 previous meetings, San Diego have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Real Salt Lake.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

8

1.51

Actual xG

3.04

58%

Possession

42%

7

Corners

8

Pre-match prediction

42.17%

San

28.94%

X ←

28.89%

Real

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.94% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

San

2.56

1.51

-1.05

Real

1.08

3.04

+1.96

Real Salt Lake dominated by xG (3.04 vs 1.51). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	50
2	St. Louis City	27	47
3	FC Dallas	27	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	41
7	Seattle Sounders	27	38
8	Colorado Rapids	27	36
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
10	Portland Timbers	27	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	32
12	San Diego	27	32
13	Austin	27	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	27	21