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MLS · Regular Season - 5 March 23, 2026 01:00
#10 · 17 pts
2 – 2
Final score
#3 · 26 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Diego a 42% win probability (draw 28%, Real Salt Lake 28%). The final result was San Diego 2–2 Real Salt Lake. In 1 previous meetings, San Diego have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Real Salt Lake.

Match statistics
5
Shots on target
8
1.51
Actual xG
3.04
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
8
Pre-match prediction
42.17%
San
28.94%
X ←
28.89%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
San
2.56
1.51
-1.05
Real
1.08
3.04
+1.96
Real Salt Lake dominated by xG (3.04 vs 1.51). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 14 32
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 15 32
3 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 14 26
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 15 25
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 15 24
6 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 13 24
7 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 14 22
8 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 15 22
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 15 20
10 San Diego San Diego 15 17
11 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 15 16
12 St. Louis City St. Louis City 14 16
13 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 14 14
14 Austin Austin 15 14
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 14 11
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Diego vs Real Salt Lake?
The final score was San Diego 2–2 Real Salt Lake.
What did the model predict before San Diego vs Real Salt Lake?
The model assigned 42% probability to a San Diego win, 28% to a draw, and 28% to an Real Salt Lake win.