San Diego 2–4 Vancouver Whitecaps — pre-match prediction — MLS — May 24, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 16 May 24, 2026 03:30

San Diego

#10 · 17 pts

2 – 4

Final score

Vancouver Whitecaps

#1 · 32 pts

D. Vazquez (ast. A. Dreyer) 53'

B. B. Zamble (ast. A. Dreyer) 90'+1

30' (ast. T. Muller) B. White

45' (ast. J. Badwal) B. White

67' (ast. B. White) B. Caicedo

75' (ast. B. White) R. Priso

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 49% win probability (draw 21%, San Diego 29%). The final result was San Diego 2–4 Vancouver Whitecaps.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.91

Actual xG

3.46

Saves

54%

Possession

46%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

30'

ast. T. Muller · B. White⚽

45'

ast. J. Badwal · B. White⚽

↕ K. Sargeant / L. Bombino

46'

50'

B. White

⚽D. Vazquez · ast. A. Dreyer

53'

L. Bombino

54'

63'

J. Badwal

63'

B. Caicedo / A. Jackson ↕

67'

ast. B. White · B. Caicedo⚽

↕ P. Soma / A. Saidi

71'

↕ D. Vazquez / A. Alvarado Jr

71'

L. Bombino

72'

L. Bombino

72'

74'

R. Priso / K. G. Cabrera Nakamura ↕

↕ A. Pellegrino / I. Pilcher

75'

ast. B. White · R. Priso⚽

84'

M. Gherasimencov / T. Johnson ↕

84'

R. Elloumi / B. White ↕

84'

N. Djordjevic / J. Badwal ↕

↕ M. Ingvartsen / B. B. Zamble

86'

O. Verhoeven

87'

⚽B. B. Zamble · ast. A. Dreyer

90'+1

90'+2

B. Caicedo

Pre-match prediction

29.5%

San

21.3%

49.21%

Vancouver ←

we assigned to the actual result (Vancouver Whitecaps) 49.21% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

San

1.55

0.91

-0.64

Vancouver

2.30

3.46

+1.15

Vancouver Whitecaps dominated by xG (3.46 vs 0.91). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	14	32
2	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
3	Real Salt Lake	14	26
4	FC Dallas	15	25
5	Los Angeles FC	15	24
6	Seattle Sounders	13	24
7	Houston Dynamo	14	22
8	Minnesota United FC	15	22
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
10	San Diego	15	17
11	Colorado Rapids	15	16
12	St. Louis City	14	16
13	Portland Timbers	14	14
14	Austin	15	14
15	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Lineups

San Diego 4-3-3

CJ Dos Santos G 7.30

Kieran Sargeant 45' D 6.00

M. Duah D 7.00

C. McVey D 6.30

Oscar Verhoeven D 5.20

D. Vazquez 1 ⚽ 71' M 7.20

Pedro Soma 71' M 5.90

Onni Valakari M 6.60

Amahl Pellegrino 75' F 6.90

M. Ingvartsen 86' F 6.20

A. Dreyer 2 👟 F 7.20

Bench

Alejandro Alvarado Jr 25' F 7.50

Alex Mighten F

Anisse Saidi 25' F 6.90

Bryan Zamblé 1 ⚽ 10' F 7.60

Bryce Duke M

D. Ferree G

Ian Pilcher 21' D 6.30

L. Bombino 27' D 5.50

Lewis Morgan F

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1

Isaac Boehmer G 5.90

Tate Johnson 84' D 6.30

Mathías Laborda D 6.20

Tristan Blackmon D 6.90

É. Ocampo D 6.50

S. Berhalter M 7.00

Jeevan Badwal 1 👟 84' M 7.00

Aziel Jackson 63' M 6.30

Thomas Müller 1 👟 M 7.90

Kenji Cabrera 74' M 6.70

B. White 2 ⚽ 2 👟 84' F 9.30

Bench

Adrian Zendejas G

Bruno Quiñonez 1 ⚽ 33' F 7.20

Liam MacKenzie M

Mihail Gherasimencov 12' D 6.20

Nikola Djordjevic 12' D 6.20

Ralph Priso 1 ⚽ 22' M 7.60

Ranko Veselinović D

R. Elloumi 12' F 6.60

Sebastian Schonlau D

Best on the pitch

B. White

F · Vancouver

9.30

2 ⚽ 2 👟

4 shots · 10 pass

Thomas Müller

M · Vancouver

7.90

1 👟

2 shots · 42 pass

Ralph Priso

M · Vancouver

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 19 pass

Bryan Zamblé

F · San

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots

Alejandro Alvarado Jr

F · San

7.50

· 22 pass

CJ Dos Santos

G · San

7.30

· 31 pass

San Diego — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
CJ Dos Santos	G	96	7.30	—	—	—	31	27%	—	—	—
Kieran Sargeant	D	45	6.00	—	—	—	23	17%	2	—	—
M. Duah	D	96	7.00	—	—	—	80	74%	2	—	—
C. McVey	D	96	6.30	—	—	—	110	100%	3	—	—
Oscar Verhoeven	D	96	5.20	—	—	—	55	44%	—	1	—
D. Vazquez	M	71	7.20	1	—	2	20	10%	5	—	—
Pedro Soma	M	71	5.90	—	—	1	77	67%	—	—	—
Onni Valakari	M	96	6.60	—	—	—	67	64%	1	—	—
Amahl Pellegrino	F	75	6.90	—	—	—	12	9%	1	—	—
M. Ingvartsen	F	86	6.20	—	—	2	21	19%	1	—	—
A. Dreyer	F	96	7.20	—	2	—	40	29%	—	—	—
Alejandro Alvarado Jr	F	25	7.50	—	—	—	22	19%	3	—	—
Anisse Saidi	F	25	6.90	—	—	1	3	3%	2	—	—
Bryan Zamblé	F	10	7.60	1	—	2	—	—	—	—	—
Ian Pilcher	D	21	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
L. Bombino	D	27	5.50	—	—	—	13	11%	—	2	1

Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Isaac Boehmer	G	96	5.90	—	—	—	36	32%	—	—	—
Tate Johnson	D	84	6.30	—	—	—	42	39%	—	—	—
Mathías Laborda	D	96	6.20	—	—	1	63	58%	1	—	—
Tristan Blackmon	D	96	6.90	—	—	—	70	66%	1	—	—
É. Ocampo	D	96	6.50	—	—	—	47	38%	1	—	—
S. Berhalter	M	96	7.00	—	—	2	65	57%	—	—	—
Jeevan Badwal	M	84	7.00	—	1	1	35	30%	3	1	—
Aziel Jackson	M	63	6.30	—	—	2	22	18%	3	—	—
Thomas Müller	M	96	7.90	—	1	2	42	33%	—	—	—
Kenji Cabrera	M	74	6.70	—	—	—	30	22%	1	—	—
B. White	F	84	9.30	2	2	4	10	8%	—	1	—
Bruno Quiñonez	F	33	7.20	1	—	2	4	4%	—	1	—
Mihail Gherasimencov	D	12	6.20	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
Nikola Djordjevic	D	12	6.20	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Ralph Priso	M	22	7.60	1	—	1	19	18%	—	—	—
R. Elloumi	F	12	6.60	—	—	1	4	4%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The final score was San Diego 2–4 Vancouver Whitecaps.

What did the model predict before San Diego vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The model assigned 29% probability to a San Diego win, 21% to a draw, and 49% to an Vancouver Whitecaps win.