MLS
· Regular Season - 9
April 23, 2026 04:30
✓Model correct — prediction San Jose Earthquakes
J. Jasinski
(ast. N. Tsakiris)
58'
T. Werner
78'
(pen.)
P. Judd
(ast. P. Marie)
83'
O. Bouda
(ast. P. Marie)
85'
P. Judd
(ast. P. Marie)
88'
9'
J. Rosales
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Jose Earthquakes a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Austin 17%). The final result was San Jose Earthquakes 5–1 Austin.
Match statistics
28
Total shots
3
16
Shots on target
2
5.27
Actual xG
0.63
1
Saves
11
69%
Possession
31%
13
Corners
1
16
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
9'
J. Rosales⚽
38'
Z. Kolmanic
/
Guilherme Biro
E. Edwards
45'+1
R. Roberts
54'
⚽J. Jasinski
· ast. N. Tsakiris
58'
66'
C. Ramirez
/
C. Fodrey
66'
M. Desler
/
J. Alastuey
J. Jasinski
68'
71'
J. Rosales
J. Jasinski
/ P. Marie
74'
⚽T. Werner
(pen.)
78'
B. Leroux
/ I. Harkes
82'
⚽P. Judd
· ast. P. Marie
83'
⚽O. Bouda
· ast. P. Marie
85'
87'
E. Torres
/
N. Dubersarsky
87'
M. Burton
/
J. Rosales
⚽P. Judd
· ast. P. Marie
88'
T. Werner
/ N. Fernandez
90'
J. Ricketts
/ D. Romney
90'
R. Vieira
/ J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
90'
Pre-match prediction
63.58%
San ←
18.51%
X
17.91%
Austin
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (San Jose Earthquakes)
63.58%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.26
5.27
+1.01
0.69
0.63
-0.06
San Jose Earthquakes dominated by xG (5.27 vs 0.63).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
42
Daniel
G
Daniel
G
2
Jamar Ricketts
89'
D
Jamar Ricketts
89'
D
18
Reid Roberts
D
Reid Roberts
D
5
D
17
Jack Jasinski
1 ⚽
74'
D
Jack Jasinski
1 ⚽
74'
D
14
Ronaldo Vieira
89'
M
Ronaldo Vieira
89'
M
34
Beau Leroux
82'
M
Beau Leroux
82'
M
11
Timo Werner
1 ⚽
89'
M
Timo Werner
1 ⚽
89'
M
10
N. Tsakiris
1 👟
M
N. Tsakiris
1 👟
M
7
Ousseni Bouda
1 ⚽
M
Ousseni Bouda
1 ⚽
M
19
P. Judd
2 ⚽
F
P. Judd
2 ⚽
F
Bench
4
Dave Romney
15'
D
Dave Romney
15'
D
36
E. Edwards
G
6
Ian Harkes
8'
M
Ian Harkes
8'
M
16
Jack Skahan
M
Jack Skahan
M
40
Jonathan Gonzalez
15'
M
Jonathan Gonzalez
15'
M
25
Max Floriani
D
Max Floriani
D
20
Nick Fernandez
15'
M
Nick Fernandez
15'
M
21
Noel Buck
M
Noel Buck
M
3
Paul Marie
3 👟
16'
D
Paul Marie
3 👟
16'
D
1
G
29
Guilherme Biro
38'
D
Guilherme Biro
38'
D
15
Jonathan Bell
D
Jonathan Bell
D
4
Brendan Hines-Ike
D
Brendan Hines-Ike
D
17
Jon Gallagher
D
Jon Gallagher
D
30
Joseph Rosales
1 ⚽
87'
M
Joseph Rosales
1 ⚽
87'
M
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky
87'
M
Nicolas Dubersarsky
87'
M
14
Besard Sabović
M
Besard Sabović
M
24
J. Alastuey
66'
M
11
F. Torres
F
F. Torres
F
19
Calvin Fodrey
66'
F
Calvin Fodrey
66'
F
Bench
21
Christian Ramirez
24'
F
Christian Ramirez
24'
F
6
Ilie Sánchez
M
Ilie Sánchez
M
35
Mateja Đorđević
D
Mateja Đorđević
D
3
Mikkel Desler
24'
D
Mikkel Desler
24'
D
Best on the pitch
Timo Werner
M · San
9.20
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 48 pass
P. Judd
F · San
8.90
2 ⚽
7 shots
· 9 pass
Paul Marie
D · San
8.30
3 👟
1 shots
· 12 pass
Ousseni Bouda
M · San
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 35 pass
Jamar Ricketts
D · San
7.90
· 50 pass
Joseph Rosales
M · Austin
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Jamar Ricketts | D | 89 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Reid Roberts | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 87 | 83% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 95 | 89% | — | — | — | |
| Jack Jasinski | D | 74 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 36 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ronaldo Vieira | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Beau Leroux | M | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Timo Werner | M | 89 | 9.20 | 1 | — | 6 | 48 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Tsakiris | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 65 | 58% | 4 | — | — |
| Ousseni Bouda | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Judd | F | 90 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 7 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Dave Romney | D | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Ian Harkes | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Gonzalez | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Nick Fernandez | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Paul Marie | D | 16 | 8.30 | — | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Bell | D | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Brendan Hines-Ike | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Jon Gallagher | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Joseph Rosales | M | 87 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Nicolas Dubersarsky | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 6 | — | — |
| Besard Sabović | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Alastuey | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Torres | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Calvin Fodrey | F | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Christian Ramirez | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Mikkel Desler | D | 24 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
The final score was San Jose Earthquakes 5–1 Austin.
What did the model predict before San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin?
The model assigned 63% probability to a San Jose Earthquakes win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an Austin win.