San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas — pre-match prediction — MLS — May 17, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 14 May 17, 2026 04:30

San Jose Earthquakes

#3 · 52 pts

2 – 3

Final score

FC Dallas

#2 · 55 pts

B. Leroux 18'

R. Roberts 81'

1' P. Delgado

49' (ast. H. Johansson) P. Musa

90'+3 (ast. Kaick) S. Sarver

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Jose Earthquakes a 53% win probability (draw 23%, FC Dallas 23%). The final result was San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas. In 1 previous meetings, San Jose Earthquakes have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Dallas.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.15

Actual xG

2.41

Saves

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

P. Delgado⚽

⚽B. Leroux

18'

⚽B. Leroux (missed pen.)

42'

D. Munie

48'

49'

ast. H. Johansson · P. Musa⚽

61'

Ramiro

65'

L. Farrington / P. Musa ↕

70'

C. Cappis / P. Delgado ↕

70'

R. Binyamin / S. Moreno ↕

↕ J. Jasinski / N. Fernandez

70'

↕ J. Ricketts / J. Skahan

79'

↕ I. Harkes / P. Marie

79'

⚽R. Roberts

81'

84'

S. Sarver / J. Valiente ↕

84'

S. Ibeagha / Ramiro ↕

B. Kikanovic

85'

90'+1

N. Norris

90'+2

C. Cappis

90'+3

ast. Kaick · S. Sarver⚽

Daniel

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

53.45%

San

23.2%

23.35%

FC ←

we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas) 23.35% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

San

1.98

2.15

+0.17

1.13

2.41

+1.28

xG dominance was balanced (2.15 – 2.41). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	33	61
2	FC Dallas	33	55
3	San Jose Earthquakes	33	52
4	St. Louis City	33	51
5	Houston Dynamo	33	51
6	Los Angeles FC	33	47
7	Los Angeles Galaxy	33	44
8	Portland Timbers	33	43
9	Colorado Rapids	33	43
10	Seattle Sounders	33	43
11	Real Salt Lake	33	42
12	Minnesota United FC	33	41
13	San Diego	33	38
14	Austin	33	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	33	23

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes

Daniel G 9.00

B. Kikanovic D 6.20

D. Munie D 5.90

R. Roberts 1 ⚽ D 8.30

Jack Jasinski 70' D 6.70

R. Vieira M 6.90

I. Harkes 79' M 7.20

O. Bouda M 7.20

Beau Leroux 1 ⚽ M 7.20

J. Ricketts 79' M 7.30

P. Judd F 6.70

Bench

D. Romney D

J. Gónzalez M

J. Skahan 11' M 6.20

M. Floriani D

Nate Crockford G

N. Buck M

N. Fernandez 20' M 6.50

Nonso Adimabua F

P. Marie 11' D 6.30

FC Dallas

J. Sirois G 8.00

H. Johansson 1 👟 D 6.60

S. Moore D 6.30

O. Urhoghide D 6.20

N. Norris D 6.30

J. Valiente 84' M 6.50

Kaick 1 👟 M 7.20

Ramiro 84' M 6.30

S. Moreno 70' M 6.60

P. Musa 1 ⚽ 65' F 6.60

P. Delgado 1 ⚽ 70' F 8.30

Bench

Caleb Swann M

C. Cappis 20' M 6.60

Joshua Torquato D

L. Abubakar D

L. Farrington 25' F 6.50

Michael Collodi G

R. Binyamin 20' M 6.90

Samuel Sarver 1 ⚽ 17' F 7.60

S. Ibeagha 17' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

Daniel

G · San

9.00

· 29 pass

P. Delgado

F · FC

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 37 pass

R. Roberts

D · San

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 45 pass

J. Sirois

G · FC

8.00

· 28 pass

Samuel Sarver

F · FC

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 1 pass

J. Ricketts

M · San

7.30

· 17 pass

San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Daniel	G	90	9.00	—	—	—	29	21%	—	1	—
B. Kikanovic	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	45	29%	—	1	—
D. Munie	D	90	5.90	—	—	—	52	48%	3	1	—
R. Roberts	D	90	8.30	1	—	2	45	39%	1	—	—
Jack Jasinski	D	70	6.70	—	—	—	23	20%	1	—	—
R. Vieira	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	46	37%	2	—	—
I. Harkes	M	79	7.20	—	—	—	37	33%	1	—	—
O. Bouda	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	27	23%	2	—	—
Beau Leroux	M	90	7.20	1	—	4	41	30%	5	—	—
J. Ricketts	M	79	7.30	—	—	—	17	15%	—	—	—
P. Judd	F	90	6.70	—	—	4	8	5%	—	—	—
J. Skahan	M	11	6.20	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—
N. Fernandez	M	20	6.50	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
P. Marie	D	11	6.30	—	—	—	2	—	—	—	—

FC Dallas — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Sirois	G	90	8.00	—	—	—	28	17%	—	—	—
H. Johansson	D	90	6.60	—	1	1	20	16%	1	—	—
S. Moore	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	23	21%	—	—	—
O. Urhoghide	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	21	16%	—	—	—
N. Norris	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	34	27%	—	1	—
J. Valiente	M	84	6.50	—	—	1	30	28%	—	—	—
Kaick	M	90	7.20	—	1	1	29	23%	5	—	—
Ramiro	M	84	6.30	—	—	—	43	36%	1	1	—
S. Moreno	M	70	6.60	—	—	1	36	24%	2	—	—
P. Musa	F	65	6.60	1	—	2	14	7%	2	—	—
P. Delgado	F	70	8.30	1	—	2	37	27%	4	—	—
C. Cappis	M	20	6.60	—	—	—	6	4%	—	1	—
L. Farrington	F	25	6.50	—	—	1	8	4%	—	—	—
R. Binyamin	M	20	6.90	—	—	—	5	3%	1	—	—
Samuel Sarver	F	17	7.60	1	—	1	1	1%	1	—	—
S. Ibeagha	D	17	6.60	—	—	—	2	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?

The final score was San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas.

What did the model predict before San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?

The model assigned 53% probability to a San Jose Earthquakes win, 23% to a draw, and 23% to an FC Dallas win.