MLS
· Regular Season - 15
May 17, 2026 04:30
B. Leroux
18'
R. Roberts
81'
1'
P. Delgado
49'
(ast. H. Johansson)
P. Musa
90'+3
(ast. Kaick)
S. Sarver
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Jose Earthquakes a 53% win probability (draw 23%, FC Dallas 23%). The final result was San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
9
2.15
Actual xG
2.41
6
Saves
5
55%
Possession
45%
12
Corners
4
15
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
1'
P. Delgado⚽
⚽B. Leroux
18'
⚽B. Leroux
(missed pen.)
42'
D. Munie
48'
49'
ast. H. Johansson ·
P. Musa⚽
61'
Ramiro
65'
L. Farrington
/
P. Musa
70'
C. Cappis
/
P. Delgado
70'
R. Binyamin
/
S. Moreno
J. Jasinski
/ N. Fernandez
70'
J. Ricketts
/ J. Skahan
79'
I. Harkes
/ P. Marie
79'
⚽R. Roberts
81'
84'
S. Sarver
/
J. Valiente
84'
S. Ibeagha
/
Ramiro
B. Kikanovic
85'
90'+1
N. Norris
90'+2
C. Cappis
90'+3
ast. Kaick ·
S. Sarver⚽
Daniel
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
53.45%
San
23.2%
X
23.35%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas)
23.35%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
2.15
+0.17
1.13
2.41
+1.28
xG dominance was balanced (2.15 – 2.41).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
42
Daniel
G
Daniel
G
28
Benjamin Kikanović
D
Benjamin Kikanović
D
5
Daniel Munie
D
Daniel Munie
D
18
Reid Roberts
1 ⚽
D
Reid Roberts
1 ⚽
D
17
Jack Jasinski
70'
D
Jack Jasinski
70'
D
14
Ronaldo Vieira
M
Ronaldo Vieira
M
6
Ian Harkes
79'
M
Ian Harkes
79'
M
7
Ousseni Bouda
M
34
Beau Leroux
1 ⚽
M
Beau Leroux
1 ⚽
M
2
Jamar Ricketts
79'
M
Jamar Ricketts
79'
M
19
P. Judd
F
P. Judd
F
Bench
4
Dave Romney
D
Dave Romney
D
16
Jack Skahan
11'
M
Jack Skahan
11'
M
40
Jonathan Gonzalez
M
Jonathan Gonzalez
M
25
Max Floriani
D
Max Floriani
D
22
Nate Crockford
G
Nate Crockford
G
20
Nick Fernandez
20'
M
Nick Fernandez
20'
M
21
Noel Buck
M
Noel Buck
M
32
Nonso Adimabua
F
Nonso Adimabua
F
3
Paul Marie
11'
D
Paul Marie
11'
D
40
Jonathan Sirois
G
Jonathan Sirois
G
14
H. Johansson
1 👟
D
H. Johansson
1 👟
D
18
Shaq Moore
D
Shaq Moore
D
3
Osaze Urhoghide
D
Osaze Urhoghide
D
32
N. Norris
D
21
Joaquín Valiente
84'
M
Joaquín Valiente
84'
M
55
Kaick
1 👟
M
Kaick
1 👟
M
17
Ramiro
84'
M
Ramiro
84'
M
10
Santiago Moreno
70'
M
Santiago Moreno
70'
M
9
Petar Musa
1 ⚽
65'
F
Petar Musa
1 ⚽
65'
F
8
Patrickson Delgado
1 ⚽
70'
F
Patrickson Delgado
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
27
Caleb Swann
M
Caleb Swann
M
12
Christian Cappis
20'
M
Christian Cappis
20'
M
24
Joshua Torquato
D
Joshua Torquato
D
5
Lalas Abubakar
D
Lalas Abubakar
D
23
Logan Farrington
25'
F
Logan Farrington
25'
F
30
Michael Collodi
G
Michael Collodi
G
6
Ran Binyamin
20'
M
Ran Binyamin
20'
M
28
Sam Sarver
1 ⚽
17'
F
Sam Sarver
1 ⚽
17'
F
25
Sebastien Ibeagha
17'
D
Sebastien Ibeagha
17'
D
Best on the pitch
Daniel
G · San
9.00
· 29 pass
Patrickson Delgado
F · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
Reid Roberts
D · San
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 45 pass
Jonathan Sirois
G · FC
8.00
· 28 pass
Sam Sarver
F · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
Jamar Ricketts
M · San
7.30
· 17 pass
San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel | G | 90 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Benjamin Kikanović | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Munie | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Reid Roberts | D | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Jack Jasinski | D | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Ronaldo Vieira | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Ian Harkes | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Ousseni Bouda | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Beau Leroux | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 41 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| Jamar Ricketts | M | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| P. Judd | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jack Skahan | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Nick Fernandez | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Paul Marie | D | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
FC Dallas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Sirois | G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | — | — | — |
| H. Johansson | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Shaq Moore | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Osaze Urhoghide | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| N. Norris | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Joaquín Valiente | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Kaick | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| Ramiro | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Santiago Moreno | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Petar Musa | F | 65 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Patrickson Delgado | F | 70 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| Christian Cappis | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Logan Farrington | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Ran Binyamin | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Sam Sarver | F | 17 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | D | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
The final score was San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas.
What did the model predict before San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
The model assigned 53% probability to a San Jose Earthquakes win, 23% to a draw, and 23% to an FC Dallas win.