MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 17, 2026 04:30
B. Leroux
18'
R. Roberts
81'
1'
P. Delgado
49'
(ast. H. Johansson)
P. Musa
90'+3
(ast. Kaick)
S. Sarver
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Jose Earthquakes a 53% win probability (draw 23%, FC Dallas 23%). The final result was San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
9
2.15
Actual xG
2.41
6
Saves
5
55%
Possession
45%
12
Corners
4
15
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
1'
P. Delgado⚽
⚽B. Leroux
18'
⚽B. Leroux
(missed pen.)
42'
D. Munie
48'
49'
ast. H. Johansson ·
P. Musa⚽
61'
Ramiro
65'
L. Farrington
/
P. Musa
70'
C. Cappis
/
P. Delgado
70'
R. Binyamin
/
S. Moreno
J. Jasinski
/ N. Fernandez
70'
J. Ricketts
/ J. Skahan
79'
I. Harkes
/ P. Marie
79'
⚽R. Roberts
81'
84'
S. Sarver
/
J. Valiente
84'
S. Ibeagha
/
Ramiro
B. Kikanovic
85'
90'+1
N. Norris
90'+2
C. Cappis
90'+3
ast. Kaick ·
S. Sarver⚽
Daniel
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
53.45%
San
23.2%
X
23.35%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Dallas)
23.35%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
2.15
+0.17
1.13
2.41
+1.28
xG dominance was balanced (2.15 – 2.41).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
42
Daniel
G
Daniel
G
28
B. Kikanovic
D
B. Kikanovic
D
5
D. Munie
D
D. Munie
D
18
R. Roberts
1 ⚽
D
R. Roberts
1 ⚽
D
17
Jack Jasinski
70'
D
Jack Jasinski
70'
D
14
R. Vieira
M
R. Vieira
M
6
I. Harkes
79'
M
I. Harkes
79'
M
7
O. Bouda
M
O. Bouda
M
34
Beau Leroux
1 ⚽
M
Beau Leroux
1 ⚽
M
2
J. Ricketts
79'
M
J. Ricketts
79'
M
19
P. Judd
F
P. Judd
F
Bench
4
D. Romney
D
D. Romney
D
40
Jonathan Gonzalez
M
Jonathan Gonzalez
M
16
J. Skahan
11'
M
J. Skahan
11'
M
25
M. Floriani
D
M. Floriani
D
22
Nate Crockford
G
Nate Crockford
G
20
N. Fernandez
20'
M
N. Fernandez
20'
M
21
Noel Buck
M
Noel Buck
M
32
Nonso Adimabua
F
Nonso Adimabua
F
3
Paul Marie
11'
D
Paul Marie
11'
D
40
J. Sirois
G
J. Sirois
G
14
H. Johansson
1 👟
D
H. Johansson
1 👟
D
18
S. Moore
D
S. Moore
D
3
O. Urhoghide
D
O. Urhoghide
D
32
N. Norris
D
N. Norris
D
21
J. Valiente
84'
M
J. Valiente
84'
M
55
Kaick
1 👟
M
Kaick
1 👟
M
17
Ramiro
84'
M
Ramiro
84'
M
10
S. Moreno
70'
M
S. Moreno
70'
M
9
P. Musa
1 ⚽
65'
F
P. Musa
1 ⚽
65'
F
8
P. Delgado
1 ⚽
70'
F
P. Delgado
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
27
Caleb Swann
M
Caleb Swann
M
12
C. Cappis
20'
M
C. Cappis
20'
M
24
Joshua Torquato
D
Joshua Torquato
D
5
L. Abubakar
D
L. Abubakar
D
23
L. Farrington
25'
F
L. Farrington
25'
F
30
Michael Collodi
G
Michael Collodi
G
6
R. Binyamin
20'
M
R. Binyamin
20'
M
28
Samuel Sarver
1 ⚽
17'
F
Samuel Sarver
1 ⚽
17'
F
25
S. Ibeagha
17'
D
S. Ibeagha
17'
D
Best on the pitch
Daniel
G · San
9.00
· 29 pass
P. Delgado
F · FC
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
R. Roberts
D · San
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 45 pass
J. Sirois
G · FC
8.00
· 28 pass
Samuel Sarver
F · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
J. Ricketts
M · San
7.30
· 17 pass
San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel | G | 90 | 9.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Kikanovic | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Munie | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Roberts | D | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Jack Jasinski | D | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Vieira | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Harkes | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Bouda | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Beau Leroux | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 41 | 30% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Ricketts | M | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| P. Judd | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Skahan | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Fernandez | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Paul Marie | D | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
FC Dallas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sirois | G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | — | — | — |
| H. Johansson | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Moore | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| O. Urhoghide | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| N. Norris | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Valiente | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Kaick | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| Ramiro | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Moreno | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Musa | F | 65 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Delgado | F | 70 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Cappis | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Farrington | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Binyamin | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Sarver | F | 17 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ibeagha | D | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
The final score was San Jose Earthquakes 2–3 FC Dallas.
What did the model predict before San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
The model assigned 53% probability to a San Jose Earthquakes win, 23% to a draw, and 23% to an FC Dallas win.