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San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo

MLS September 13, 2026 04:30
San Jose Earthquakes
#5 · 38 pts
vs
Houston Dynamo
#2 · 43 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.79%
Win
San Jose Earthquakes
27.29%
Draw
36.91%
Win
Houston Dynamo
1.09
Expected xG
1.17

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (12.86%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 27%
2 37%
Double Chance ✓ 88.6% hit rate (35 picks)
1X 63%
X2 64%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 44%
✓ 74.1% hit rate (85 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Houston Dynamo a 36% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 35% for San Jose Earthquakes. Expected goals are 1.1 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.2 for Houston Dynamo (total 2.3), with a 69% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 12.86% probability. In 1 previous meetings, San Jose Earthquakes have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Houston Dynamo.

Season Stats

San Jose Earthquakes
3W 5D 7L
Houston Dynamo
9W 4D 2L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.3
2.1
Conceded
0.6
4.4
Shots OT
4.5
5.2
Corners
3.6
49%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
33%
80%
BTTS
33%
7%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in MLS. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
San Jose Earthquakes
3W 2D 5L · at home
Houston Dynamo
5W 2D 3L · away
1.6
gls/g
1.2
1.9
Conceded
0.9
30%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
70%
90%
O 1.5
70%
60%
O 2.5
30%
50%
O 3.5
10%
60%
BTTS
30%
20%
Clean Sht
50%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ San Jose Earthquakes Houston Dynamo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4% 12.2% 7.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.3% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.2% 7.3% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% —
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% — —
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
W San Diego 2–3
D Austin 1–1
D Houston Dynamo 0–0
L Minnesota United FC 1–5
L Los Angeles Galaxy 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 14%
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
W Real Salt Lake 2–1
D Charlotte 0–0
D San Jose Earthquakes 0–0
L St. Louis City 2–1
W Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 43%

Playing profile

San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
Attack
41
Defence
49
Form
38
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
Attack
34
Defence
78
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
San Jose Earthquakes
1
Draw
0
Houston Dynamo
30 Aug 2026 MLS 0–0

Western Conference

# Team G Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 23 46
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 24 43
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 25 40
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 24 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 24 38
6 St. Louis City St. Louis City 24 38
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 24 32
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 24 32
9 San Diego San Diego 24 30
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 23 29
11 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 24 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 25 29
13 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 27
14 Austin Austin 24 26
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 23 15

What's at stake · Western Conference

Top 2 advance to the next round

San Jose Earthquakes Houston Dynamo
Current #5 #2
→ San Jose Earthquakes #3 #2
→ Draw #5 #2
→ Houston Dynamo #5 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
The model gives San Jose Earthquakes a 35% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 36% for an Houston Dynamo win.
How many goals are expected in San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
Expected goals: San Jose Earthquakes 1.1, Houston Dynamo 1.2 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 69%.
What is the most likely score in San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.86%.