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MLS · Regular Season - 17 July 26, 2026 04:30
San Jose Earthquakes
#5 · 38 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Los Angeles Galaxy
#12 · 29 pts
R. Roberts 62'
13' (ast. M. Reus) J. Paintsil
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Jose Earthquakes a 58% win probability (draw 20%, Los Angeles Galaxy 21%). The final result was San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy. In 1 previous meetings, San Jose Earthquakes have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Los Angeles Galaxy.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
3.04
Actual xG
1.28
1
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
5
Corners
6
13
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
13'
ast. M. Reus · J. Paintsil⚽
↕ J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza / I. Harkes
20'
43'
L. Sanabria
45'+3
J. Aude
60'
E. Wynder / R. Taylor ↕
60'
J. Nelson / J. Aude ↕
⚽R. Roberts
62'
↕ J. Skahan / D. Johnson
73'
↕ N. Fernandez / P. Marie
73'
B. Leroux
80'
I. Harkes
81'
82'
I. Parente / L. Sanabria ↕
⚽T. Werner (missed pen.)
90'+5
B. Kikanovic
90'+7
90'+7
J. Paintsil
J. Ricketts
90'
Pre-match prediction
58.08%
San
20.62%
X ←
21.3%
Los
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.62% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
San
2.24
3.04
+0.8
Los
1.27
1.28
+0.01
San Jose Earthquakes dominated by xG (3.04 vs 1.28). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 23 46
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 24 43
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 25 40
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 24 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 24 38
6 St. Louis City St. Louis City 24 38
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 24 32
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 24 32
9 San Diego San Diego 24 30
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 23 29
11 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 24 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 25 29
13 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 27
14 Austin Austin 24 26
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 23 15
Lineups
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
1 A. Gunn A. Gunn G 7.30
2 J. Ricketts J. Ricketts D 6.90
18 R. Roberts R. Roberts 1 ⚽ D 8.20
5 D. Munie D. Munie D 6.30
28 B. Kikanovic B. Kikanovic D 6.20
34 Beau Leroux Beau Leroux M 7.30
40 Jonathan Gonzalez Jonathan Gonzalez 20' M 6.70
11 Timo Werner Timo Werner M 7.60
20 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez 73' M 6.90
16 J. Skahan J. Skahan 73' M 6.00
7 O. Bouda O. Bouda F 7.30
Bench
79
D. Johnson 23' F 6.60
4 D. Romney D. Romney D
31 Francesco Montali Francesco Montali G
6 I. Harkes I. Harkes 76' M 6.90
17 Jack Jasinski Jack Jasinski D
25 M. Floriani M. Floriani D
21 Noel Buck Noel Buck M
3 Paul Marie Paul Marie 23' D 6.60
87 Vítor Costa Vítor Costa D
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 4-4-2
12 J. Marcinkowski J. Marcinkowski G 7.30
3 J. Aude J. Aude 60' D 6.50
15 J. Haak J. Haak D 7.30
4 M. Yoshida M. Yoshida D 6.20
2 M. Yamane M. Yamane D 6.30
21 R. Taylor R. Taylor 60' M 6.60
8 L. Sanabria L. Sanabria 82' M 7.00
6 E. Cerrillo E. Cerrillo M 7.50
26 Harbor Miller Harbor Miller M 6.70
18 M. Reus M. Reus 1 👟 F 7.30
28 J. Paintsil J. Paintsil 1 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
20 C. Rindov C. Rindov D
22 Elijah Wynder Elijah Wynder 36' M 6.30
16 I. Parente I. Parente 14' M 6.50
14 J. Nelson J. Nelson 36' D 6.20
1 N. Mićović N. Mićović G
60 Sebastian Hernandez Sebastian Hernandez M
76 T. Elgersma T. Elgersma M
Best on the pitch
J. Paintsil
J. Paintsil
F · Los
8.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 22 pass
R. Roberts
R. Roberts
D · San
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 60 pass
Timo Werner
Timo Werner
M · San
7.60
4 shots · 39 pass
E. Cerrillo
E. Cerrillo
M · Los
7.50
· 41 pass
A. Gunn
A. Gunn
G · San
7.30
· 25 pass
M. Reus
M. Reus
F · Los
7.30
1 👟
· 39 pass
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Gunn G 96 7.30 — — — 25 19% — — —
J. Ricketts D 96 6.90 — — — 41 36% 2 1 —
R. Roberts D 96 8.20 1 — 1 60 52% 2 — —
D. Munie D 96 6.30 — — 1 70 63% — — —
B. Kikanovic D 96 6.20 — — 1 41 32% — — —
Beau Leroux M 96 7.30 — — 2 54 45% 1 1 —
Jonathan Gonzalez M 20 6.70 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
Timo Werner M 96 7.60 — — 4 39 28% — — —
N. Fernandez M 73 6.90 — — — 31 22% — — —
J. Skahan M 73 6.00 — — 1 14 11% — — —
O. Bouda F 96 7.30 — — 3 17 15% 3 — —
D. Johnson F 23 6.60 — — — 3 2% — — —
I. Harkes M 76 6.90 — — 2 41 38% 3 1 —
Paul Marie D 23 6.60 — — — 6 4% 1 — —
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Marcinkowski G 96 7.30 — — — 36 22% — — —
J. Aude D 60 6.50 — — — 14 9% — 1 —
J. Haak D 96 7.30 — — 1 35 32% 2 — —
M. Yoshida D 96 6.20 — — — 36 29% — — —
M. Yamane D 96 6.30 — — — 30 19% 1 — —
R. Taylor M 60 6.60 — — — 14 8% 1 — —
L. Sanabria M 82 7.00 — — — 18 11% 6 1 —
E. Cerrillo M 96 7.50 — — — 41 37% — — —
Harbor Miller M 96 6.70 — — — 24 18% 1 — —
M. Reus F 96 7.30 — 1 — 39 32% 1 — —
J. Paintsil F 96 8.30 1 — 4 22 16% 1 — —
Elijah Wynder M 36 6.30 — — — 8 4% — — —
I. Parente M 14 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
J. Nelson D 36 6.20 — — — 17 13% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The final score was San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy.
What did the model predict before San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The model assigned 58% probability to a San Jose Earthquakes win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an Los Angeles Galaxy win.