MLS
· Regular Season - 21
August 23, 2026 04:30
T. Werner
4'
(pen.)
10'
(ast. A. Markanich)
J. Pereyra
40'
(ast. K. Duncan)
K. Yeboah
44'
(ast. O. Gene)
K. Yeboah
65'
(ast. K. Duncan)
M. Caldeira
86'
(ast. J. Pereyra)
M. Gonzalez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 39% win probability (draw 23%, San Jose Earthquakes 37%). The final result was San Jose Earthquakes 1–5 Minnesota United FC. In 1 previous meetings, San Jose Earthquakes have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Minnesota United FC.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
7
1.72
Actual xG
1.97
59%
Possession
41%
3
Corners
3
Match Events
⚽T. Werner
(pen.)
4'
10'
ast. A. Markanich ·
J. Pereyra⚽
40'
ast. K. Duncan ·
K. Yeboah⚽
44'
ast. O. Gene ·
K. Yeboah⚽
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
/ I. Harkes
46'
T. Werner
/ D. Johnson
57'
65'
ast. K. Duncan ·
M. Caldeira⚽
N. Tsakiris
/ N. Fernandez
66'
O. Bouda
/ P. Marie
66'
77'
T. Chancalay
/
M. Caldeira
77'
N. Triantis
/
O. Gene
Vitor Costa
/ J. Ricketts
78'
83'
M. Gonzalez
/
K. Yeboah
83'
C. Harvey
/
W. Trapp
B. Kikanovic
85'
86'
ast. J. Pereyra ·
M. Gonzalez⚽
86'
D. Padelford
/
A. Markanich
Pre-match prediction
37.34%
San
23.6%
X
39.06%
Minnesota ←
we assigned to the actual result (Minnesota United FC)
39.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.39
1.72
+0.33
1.53
1.97
+0.44
xG dominance was balanced (1.72 – 1.97).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
The final score was San Jose Earthquakes 1–5 Minnesota United FC.
What did the model predict before San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
The model assigned 37% probability to a San Jose Earthquakes win, 23% to a draw, and 39% to an Minnesota United FC win.