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MLS · Regular Season - 30 October 18, 2026 04:30
San Jose Earthquakes
#4 · 48 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Nashville SC
#1 · 70 pts
Preston Judd (ast. Eduard Löwen) 70'
34' Hany Mukhtar
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nashville SC a 52% win probability (draw 19%, San Jose Earthquakes 27%). The final result was San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Nashville SC.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
4
0.82
Actual xG
0.47
3
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
0
14
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
28'
Shakur Mohammed
34'
Hany Mukhtar⚽
Beau Leroux
39'
Preston Judd
45'+3
45'
Elias Saad / Shakur Mohammed ↕
↕ Timo Werner / Ousseni Bouda
67'
⚽Preston Judd · ast. Eduard Löwen
70'
72'
Edvard Sandvik Tagseth / Patrick Yazbek ↕
72'
Reed Baker-Whiting / Daniel Lovitz ↕
↕ Jamar Ricketts / Nick Fernandez
76'
↕ Preston Judd / Paul Marie
76'
79'
Warren Madrigal / Cristian Espinoza ↕
↕ Jack Jasinski / Max Floriani
86'
↕ Ronaldo Vieira / Ian Harkes
86'
Ian Harkes
90'
Pre-match prediction
27.87%
San
19.4%
X ←
52.73%
Nashville
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.4% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
San
1.56
0.82
-0.75
Nashville
2.33
0.47
-1.86
San Jose Earthquakes dominated by xG (0.82 vs 0.47). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 31 55
2 FC Dallas FC Dallas 31 54
3 St. Louis City St. Louis City 31 51
4 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 31 48
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 31 48
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 32 47
7 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 31 43
8 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 31 42
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 32 41
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 31 39
11 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 31 37
12 San Diego San Diego 31 35
13 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 31 35
14 Austin Austin 31 34
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 31 22
Lineups
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 5-3-2
1 A. Gunn A. Gunn G 6.58
2 J. Ricketts J. Ricketts 76' D 7.13
18 R. Roberts R. Roberts D 6.75
4 D. Romney D. Romney D 6.57
5 D. Munie D. Munie D 6.39
17 Jack Jasinski Jack Jasinski 86' D 6.32
23 E. Löwen E. Löwen 1 👟 M 6.38
14 R. Vieira R. Vieira 86' M 6.70
34 Beau Leroux Beau Leroux M 6.63
11 T. Werner T. Werner 67' F 6.26
19 P. Judd P. Judd 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.58
Bench
36 E. Edwards E. Edwards G 0.00
6 I. Harkes I. Harkes 4' M 6.04
9 L. Jovanović L. Jovanović F 0.00
25 M. Floriani M. Floriani 4' D 5.86
21 N. Buck N. Buck M 0.00
20 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez 14' M 6.20
7 O. Bouda O. Bouda 23' F 6.48
3 P. Marie P. Marie 14' D 6.09
87 Vítor Costa Vítor Costa D 0.00
Nashville SC Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
99 B. Schwake B. Schwake G 6.00
2 D. Lovitz D. Lovitz 72' D 7.50
3 M. Woledzi M. Woledzi D 7.33
4 J. Palacios J. Palacios D 7.04
31 A. Najar A. Najar D 7.04
16 M. Corcoran M. Corcoran M 6.68
8 P. Yazbek P. Yazbek 72' M 6.56
14 S. Mohammed S. Mohammed 45' M 6.08
10 H. Mukhtar H. Mukhtar 1 ⚽ M 7.75
7 C. Espinoza C. Espinoza 79' M 6.38
9 S. Surridge S. Surridge F 6.31
Bench
19 A. Muyl A. Muyl M 0.00
6 B. Acosta B. Acosta M 0.00
11 E. Saad E. Saad 45' F 7.13
20 E. Tagseth E. Tagseth 18' M 6.94
22 J. Bauer J. Bauer D 0.00
5 J. Maher J. Maher D 0.00
1 J. Willis J. Willis G 0.00
27 R. Baker-Whiting R. Baker-Whiting 18' D 6.52
41 W. Madrigal W. Madrigal 11' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
H. Mukhtar
H. Mukhtar
M · Nashville
7.75
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
P. Judd
P. Judd
F · San
7.58
1 ⚽
4 shots · 9 pass
D. Lovitz
D. Lovitz
D · Nashville
7.50
· 39 pass
M. Woledzi
M. Woledzi
D · Nashville
7.33
· 51 pass
J. Ricketts
J. Ricketts
D · San
7.13
· 19 pass
E. Saad
E. Saad
F · Nashville
7.13
3 shots · 12 pass
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Gunn G 90 6.58 — — 0 23 19% 0 — —
J. Ricketts D 76 7.13 — — 0 19 15% 3 — —
R. Roberts D 90 6.75 — — 0 55 45% 3 — —
D. Romney D 90 6.57 — — 1 48 37% 0 — —
D. Munie D 90 6.39 — — 0 39 32% 2 — —
Jack Jasinski D 86 6.32 — — 1 24 20% 0 — —
E. Löwen M 90 6.38 — 1 1 55 40% 0 — —
R. Vieira M 86 6.70 — — 2 35 31% 2 — —
Beau Leroux M 90 6.63 — — 4 44 32% 1 1 —
T. Werner F 67 6.26 — — 1 23 17% 1 — —
P. Judd F 76 7.58 1 — 4 9 6% 0 1 —
I. Harkes M 4 6.04 — — 0 3 3% 0 1 —
M. Floriani D 4 5.86 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
N. Fernandez M 14 6.20 — — 0 4 4% 1 — —
O. Bouda F 23 6.48 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
P. Marie D 14 6.09 — — 0 5 3% 1 — —
Nashville SC Nashville SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Schwake G 90 6.00 — — 0 48 29% 0 — —
D. Lovitz D 72 7.50 — — 0 39 37% 1 — —
M. Woledzi D 90 7.33 — — 0 51 49% 1 — —
J. Palacios D 90 7.04 — — 0 46 44% 1 — —
A. Najar D 90 7.04 — — 1 46 40% 1 — —
M. Corcoran M 90 6.68 — — 0 57 50% 4 — —
P. Yazbek M 72 6.56 — — 0 39 35% 1 — —
S. Mohammed M 45 6.08 — — 0 12 12% 0 1 —
H. Mukhtar M 90 7.75 1 — 2 25 21% 1 — —
C. Espinoza M 79 6.38 — — 0 24 18% 1 — —
S. Surridge F 90 6.31 — — 0 16 9% 0 — —
E. Saad F 45 7.13 — — 3 12 12% 2 — —
E. Tagseth M 18 6.94 — — 0 22 21% 0 — —
R. Baker-Whiting D 18 6.52 — — 0 12 11% 0 — —
W. Madrigal F 11 6.50 — — 0 7 4% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
The final score was San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Nashville SC.
What did the model predict before San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC?
The model assigned 27% probability to a San Jose Earthquakes win, 19% to a draw, and 52% to an Nashville SC win.