San Jose Earthquakes 0–4 Orlando City SC — pre-match prediction — MLS — July 23, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 16 July 23, 2026 04:30

San Jose Earthquakes

#5 · 38 pts

0 – 4

Final score

Orlando City SC

#6 · 31 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction San Jose Earthquakes, result Orlando City SC wins

7' (ast. E. Atuesta) D. Brekalo

29' (ast. E. Atuesta) I. Angulo

48' (ast. J. Ellis) A. Griezmann

73' (ast. E. Atuesta) B. Ojeda

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Jose Earthquakes a 70% win probability (draw 14%, Orlando City SC 15%). The final result was San Jose Earthquakes 0–4 Orlando City SC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.04

Actual xG

1.53

Saves

51%

Possession

49%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. E. Atuesta · D. Brekalo⚽

29'

ast. E. Atuesta · I. Angulo⚽

36'

E. Atuesta

T. Werner

45'+1

↕ N. Fernandez / J. Skahan

46'

48'

ast. J. Ellis · A. Griezmann⚽

R. Vieira

52'

59'

T. Spicer / Tiago ↕

P. Judd

67'

73'

ast. E. Atuesta · B. Ojeda⚽

↕ J. Ricketts / P. Marie

74'

↕ T. Werner / D. Johnson

74'

79'

B. Rhein / A. Gomez ↕

79'

Luis Otavio / E. Atuesta ↕

79'

H. Sarajian / I. Angulo ↕

80'

H. Sarajian

↕ R. Vieira / J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza

81'

84'

Z. Taifi / J. Ellis ↕

↕ B. Leroux / I. Harkes

86'

D. Munie

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

70.29%

San

14.28%

15.43%

Orlando ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Orlando City SC) 15.43% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

San

3.40

1.04

-2.36

Orlando

1.50

1.53

+0.03

Orlando City SC dominated by xG (1.53 vs 1.04). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	23	46
2	Houston Dynamo	24	43
3	Los Angeles FC	25	40
4	FC Dallas	24	40
5	San Jose Earthquakes	24	38
6	St. Louis City	24	38
7	Colorado Rapids	24	32
8	Portland Timbers	24	32
9	San Diego	24	30
10	Real Salt Lake	23	29
11	Minnesota United FC	24	29
12	Los Angeles Galaxy	25	29
13	Seattle Sounders	22	27
14	Austin	24	26
15	Sporting Kansas City	23	15

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1

A. Gunn G 6.00

J. Ricketts 74' D 5.90

R. Roberts D 5.90

D. Munie D 6.30

B. Kikanovic D 6.20

R. Vieira 81' M 6.30

Beau Leroux 86' M 7.20

Timo Werner 74' M 5.90

N. Fernandez 45' M 6.30

O. Bouda M 6.70

P. Judd F 6.30

Bench

D. Johnson 20' F 6.50

D. Romney D

Francesco Montali G

I. Harkes 8' M 6.30

Jack Jasinski D

Jonathan Gonzalez 13' M 6.50

J. Skahan 49' M 6.20

M. Floriani D

Paul Marie 20' D 6.30

Orlando City SC 4-4-2

M. Crépeau G 8.70

Adrián Marín 79' D 6.90

R. Jansson D 6.60

D. Brekalo 1 ⚽ D 8.30

G. Dorsey D 7.50

Tiago 59' M 6.70

E. Atuesta 3 👟 79' M 8.20

Braian Ojeda 1 ⚽ M 8.30

I. Angulo 1 ⚽ 79' M 7.70

Justin Ellis 1 👟 84' F 7.20

A. Griezmann 1 ⚽ F 7.90

Bench

Bernardo Rhein Goncalves 15' F 6.90

Harvey Sarajian 15' F 6.20

Iago D

Javier Otero G

Luis Otávio 15' M 6.30

Tahir Reid-Brown D

T. Spicer 35' F 6.20

W. Cartagena M

Z. Taifi 10' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

M. Crépeau

G · Orlando

8.70

· 39 pass

Braian Ojeda

M · Orlando

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 44 pass

D. Brekalo

D · Orlando

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 34 pass

E. Atuesta

M · Orlando

8.20

3 👟

1 shots · 34 pass

A. Griezmann

F · Orlando

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 54 pass

I. Angulo

M · Orlando

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 37 pass

San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Gunn	G	94	6.00	—	—	—	33	28%	—	—	—
J. Ricketts	D	74	5.90	—	—	—	32	21%	2	—	—
R. Roberts	D	94	5.90	—	—	—	76	70%	2	—	—
D. Munie	D	94	6.30	—	—	—	64	58%	1	—	—
B. Kikanovic	D	94	6.20	—	—	—	41	30%	1	—	—
R. Vieira	M	81	6.30	—	—	—	34	27%	—	1	—
Beau Leroux	M	86	7.20	—	—	3	44	31%	3	—	—
Timo Werner	M	74	5.90	—	—	2	11	5%	1	1	—
N. Fernandez	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	18	13%	2	—	—
O. Bouda	M	94	6.70	—	—	4	12	11%	1	—	—
P. Judd	F	94	6.30	—	—	—	13	9%	—	1	—
D. Johnson	F	20	6.50	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
I. Harkes	M	8	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
Jonathan Gonzalez	M	13	6.50	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
J. Skahan	M	49	6.20	—	—	1	8	6%	1	—	—
Paul Marie	D	20	6.30	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—

Orlando City SC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Crépeau	G	94	8.70	—	—	—	39	21%	—	—	—
Adrián Marín	D	79	6.90	—	—	—	25	21%	3	—	—
R. Jansson	D	94	6.60	—	—	—	27	23%	—	—	—
D. Brekalo	D	94	8.30	1	—	2	34	29%	—	—	—
G. Dorsey	D	94	7.50	—	—	—	30	24%	3	—	—
Tiago	M	59	6.70	—	—	2	14	12%	2	—	—
E. Atuesta	M	79	8.20	—	3	1	34	28%	4	1	—
Braian Ojeda	M	94	8.30	1	—	2	44	38%	1	—	—
I. Angulo	M	79	7.70	1	—	1	37	24%	4	—	—
Justin Ellis	F	84	7.20	—	1	—	31	25%	1	—	—
A. Griezmann	F	94	7.90	1	—	2	54	45%	2	—	—
Bernardo Rhein Goncalves	F	15	6.90	—	—	—	7	6%	2	—	—
Harvey Sarajian	F	15	6.20	—	—	—	6	5%	—	1	—
Luis Otávio	M	15	6.30	—	—	—	15	13%	1	—	—
T. Spicer	F	35	6.20	—	—	2	4	2%	—	—	—
Z. Taifi	M	10	6.30	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC?

The final score was San Jose Earthquakes 0–4 Orlando City SC.

What did the model predict before San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC?

The model assigned 70% probability to a San Jose Earthquakes win, 14% to a draw, and 15% to an Orlando City SC win.