San Jose Earthquakes 0–4 Orlando City SC — pre-match prediction — MLS — July 23, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 16 July 23, 2026 04:30

San Jose Earthquakes

#3 · 52 pts

0 – 4

Final score

Orlando City SC

#9 · 43 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction San Jose Earthquakes, result Orlando City SC wins

7' (ast. E. Atuesta) D. Brekalo

29' (ast. E. Atuesta) I. Angulo

48' (ast. J. Ellis) A. Griezmann

73' (ast. E. Atuesta) B. Ojeda

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Jose Earthquakes a 70% win probability (draw 14%, Orlando City SC 15%). The final result was San Jose Earthquakes 0–4 Orlando City SC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.04

Actual xG

1.53

Saves

51%

Possession

49%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

ast. E. Atuesta · D. Brekalo⚽

29'

ast. E. Atuesta · I. Angulo⚽

36'

E. Atuesta

T. Werner

45'+1

↕ N. Fernandez / J. Skahan

46'

48'

ast. J. Ellis · A. Griezmann⚽

R. Vieira

52'

59'

T. Spicer / Tiago ↕

P. Judd

67'

73'

ast. E. Atuesta · B. Ojeda⚽

↕ J. Ricketts / P. Marie

74'

↕ T. Werner / D. Johnson

74'

79'

B. Rhein / A. Gomez ↕

79'

Luis Otavio / E. Atuesta ↕

79'

H. Sarajian / I. Angulo ↕

80'

H. Sarajian

↕ R. Vieira / J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza

81'

84'

Z. Taifi / J. Ellis ↕

↕ B. Leroux / I. Harkes

86'

D. Munie

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

70.29%

San

14.28%

15.43%

Orlando ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Orlando City SC) 15.43% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

San

3.40

1.04

-2.36

Orlando

1.50

1.53

+0.03

Orlando City SC dominated by xG (1.53 vs 1.04). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	33	61
2	FC Dallas	33	55
3	San Jose Earthquakes	33	52
4	St. Louis City	33	51
5	Houston Dynamo	33	51
6	Los Angeles FC	33	47
7	Los Angeles Galaxy	33	44
8	Portland Timbers	33	43
9	Colorado Rapids	33	43
10	Seattle Sounders	33	43
11	Real Salt Lake	33	42
12	Minnesota United FC	33	41
13	San Diego	33	38
14	Austin	33	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	33	23

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1

A. Gunn G 6.00

J. Ricketts 74' D 5.90

R. Roberts D 5.90

D. Munie D 6.30

B. Kikanovic D 6.20

R. Vieira 81' M 6.30

Beau Leroux 86' M 7.20

T. Werner 74' M 5.90

N. Fernandez 45' M 6.30

O. Bouda M 6.70

P. Judd F 6.30

Bench

D. Johnson 20' F 6.50

D. Romney D

Francesco Montali G

I. Harkes 8' M 6.30

Jack Jasinski D

J. Gónzalez 13' M 6.50

J. Skahan 49' M 6.20

M. Floriani D

P. Marie 20' D 6.30

Orlando City SC 4-4-2

M. Crépeau G 8.70

Adrián Marín 79' D 6.90

R. Jansson D 6.60

D. Brekalo 1 ⚽ D 8.30

G. Dorsey D 7.50

Tiago 59' M 6.70

E. Atuesta 3 👟 79' M 8.20

B. Ojeda 1 ⚽ M 8.30

I. Angulo 1 ⚽ 79' M 7.70

Justin Ellis 1 👟 84' F 7.20

A. Griezmann 1 ⚽ F 7.90

Bench

Bernardo Rhein Goncalves 15' F 6.90

Harvey Sarajian 15' F 6.20

Iago D

Javier Otero G

Luis Otávio 15' M 6.30

Tahir Reid-Brown D

T. Spicer 35' F 6.20

W. Cartagena M

Z. Taifi 10' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

M. Crépeau

G · Orlando

8.70

· 39 pass

B. Ojeda

M · Orlando

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 44 pass

D. Brekalo

D · Orlando

8.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 34 pass

E. Atuesta

M · Orlando

8.20

3 👟

1 shots · 34 pass

A. Griezmann

F · Orlando

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 54 pass

I. Angulo

M · Orlando

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 37 pass

San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Gunn	G	94	6.00	—	—	—	33	28%	—	—	—
J. Ricketts	D	74	5.90	—	—	—	32	21%	2	—	—
R. Roberts	D	94	5.90	—	—	—	76	70%	2	—	—
D. Munie	D	94	6.30	—	—	—	64	58%	1	—	—
B. Kikanovic	D	94	6.20	—	—	—	41	30%	1	—	—
R. Vieira	M	81	6.30	—	—	—	34	27%	—	1	—
Beau Leroux	M	86	7.20	—	—	3	44	31%	3	—	—
T. Werner	M	74	5.90	—	—	2	11	5%	1	1	—
N. Fernandez	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	18	13%	2	—	—
O. Bouda	M	94	6.70	—	—	4	12	11%	1	—	—
P. Judd	F	94	6.30	—	—	—	13	9%	—	1	—
D. Johnson	F	20	6.50	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
I. Harkes	M	8	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
J. Gónzalez	M	13	6.50	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
J. Skahan	M	49	6.20	—	—	1	8	6%	1	—	—
P. Marie	D	20	6.30	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—

Orlando City SC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Crépeau	G	94	8.70	—	—	—	39	21%	—	—	—
Adrián Marín	D	79	6.90	—	—	—	25	21%	3	—	—
R. Jansson	D	94	6.60	—	—	—	27	23%	—	—	—
D. Brekalo	D	94	8.30	1	—	2	34	29%	—	—	—
G. Dorsey	D	94	7.50	—	—	—	30	24%	3	—	—
Tiago	M	59	6.70	—	—	2	14	12%	2	—	—
E. Atuesta	M	79	8.20	—	3	1	34	28%	4	1	—
B. Ojeda	M	94	8.30	1	—	2	44	38%	1	—	—
I. Angulo	M	79	7.70	1	—	1	37	24%	4	—	—
Justin Ellis	F	84	7.20	—	1	—	31	25%	1	—	—
A. Griezmann	F	94	7.90	1	—	2	54	45%	2	—	—
Bernardo Rhein Goncalves	F	15	6.90	—	—	—	7	6%	2	—	—
Harvey Sarajian	F	15	6.20	—	—	—	6	5%	—	1	—
Luis Otávio	M	15	6.30	—	—	—	15	13%	1	—	—
T. Spicer	F	35	6.20	—	—	2	4	2%	—	—	—
Z. Taifi	M	10	6.30	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC?

The final score was San Jose Earthquakes 0–4 Orlando City SC.

What did the model predict before San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC?

The model assigned 70% probability to a San Jose Earthquakes win, 14% to a draw, and 15% to an Orlando City SC win.