US Open Cup
· Round of 32
April 16, 2026 04:00
N. Fernandez
(ast. T. Werner)
3'
J. Jasinski
(ast. N. Fernandez)
23'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Jose Earthquakes a 49% win probability (draw 27%, Phoenix Rising 23%). The final result was San Jose Earthquakes 2–0 Phoenix Rising.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽N. Fernandez
· ast. T. Werner
3'
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
13'
⚽J. Jasinski
· ast. N. Fernandez
23'
P. Marie
28'
J. Jasinski
37'
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
39'
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
39'
T. Werner
/ B. Leroux
46'
46'
C. Dennis
/
E. Ramirez
46'
L. Biasi
/
D. Flores
46'
A. Pelayo
N. Buck
/ R. Roberts
62'
N. Adimabua
/ O. Bouda
62'
77'
P. Mar Boye
/
A. Pelayo
P. Marie
/ N. Tsakiris
77'
M. Floriani
/ J. Skahan
77'
84'
C. Dennis
90'+1
A. Capetillo
Pre-match prediction
49.44%
San ←
27.06%
X
23.5%
Phoenix
we assigned to the actual result (San Jose Earthquakes)
49.44%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.30
—
—
0.59
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Phoenix Rising?
The final score was San Jose Earthquakes 2–0 Phoenix Rising.
What did the model predict before San Jose Earthquakes vs Phoenix Rising?
The model assigned 49% probability to a San Jose Earthquakes win, 27% to a draw, and 23% to an Phoenix Rising win.