MLS
· Regular Season - 19
August 16, 2026 04:30
B. Leroux
47'
8'
(ast. C. Wallem)
D. Edelman
27'
(ast. E. Lowen)
S. Becher
55'
(ast. T. Totland)
S. Becher
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Louis City a 48% win probability (draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%). The final result was San Jose Earthquakes 1–3 St. Louis City. In 1 previous meetings, San Jose Earthquakes have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for St. Louis City.
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
7
0.19
Actual xG
2.81
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
5
Match Events
8'
ast. C. Wallem ·
D. Edelman⚽
27'
ast. E. Lowen ·
S. Becher⚽
N. Tsakiris
/ L. Jovanovic
46'
B. Kikanovic
/ J. Jasinski
46'
⚽B. Leroux
47'
55'
ast. T. Totland ·
S. Becher⚽
69'
C. Holse
/
E. Lowen
69'
A. Matan
/
S. Jeong
O. Bouda
/ J. Skahan
71'
R. Vieira
/ I. Harkes
71'
77'
C. Wallem
R. Roberts
82'
84'
T. Totland
89'
J. Orozco
/
C. Wallem
89'
P. Ault
/
S. Becher
Pre-match prediction
30.17%
San
21.02%
X
48.81%
St. ←
we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City)
48.81%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
0.19
-1.17
2.02
2.81
+0.79
St. Louis City dominated by xG (2.81 vs 0.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
The final score was San Jose Earthquakes 1–3 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 30% probability to a San Jose Earthquakes win, 21% to a draw, and 48% to an St. Louis City win.