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MLS · Regular Season - 19 August 16, 2026 04:30
#5 · 38 pts
1 – 3
Final score
#6 · 38 pts
B. Leroux 47'
8' (ast. C. Wallem) D. Edelman
27' (ast. E. Lowen) S. Becher
55' (ast. T. Totland) S. Becher
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave St. Louis City a 48% win probability (draw 21%, San Jose Earthquakes 30%). The final result was San Jose Earthquakes 1–3 St. Louis City. In 1 previous meetings, San Jose Earthquakes have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for St. Louis City.

Match statistics
1
Shots on target
7
0.19
Actual xG
2.81
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
5
Match Events
8'
ast. C. Wallem · D. Edelman
27'
ast. E. Lowen · S. Becher
N. Tsakiris / L. Jovanovic
46'
B. Kikanovic / J. Jasinski
46'
B. Leroux
47'
55'
ast. T. Totland · S. Becher
69'
C. Holse / E. Lowen
69'
A. Matan / S. Jeong
O. Bouda / J. Skahan
71'
R. Vieira / I. Harkes
71'
77'
C. Wallem
R. Roberts
82'
84'
T. Totland
89'
J. Orozco / C. Wallem
89'
P. Ault / S. Becher
Pre-match prediction
30.17%
San
21.02%
X
48.81%
St. ←
we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City) 48.81% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
San
1.36
0.19
-1.17
St.
2.02
2.81
+0.79
St. Louis City dominated by xG (2.81 vs 0.19). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 23 46
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 24 43
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 25 40
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 24 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 24 38
6 St. Louis City St. Louis City 24 38
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 24 32
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 24 32
9 San Diego San Diego 24 30
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 23 29
11 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 24 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 25 29
13 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 27
14 Austin Austin 24 26
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 23 15
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
The final score was San Jose Earthquakes 1–3 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 30% probability to a San Jose Earthquakes win, 21% to a draw, and 48% to an St. Louis City win.