San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps — pre-match prediction — MLS — May 10, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 12 May 10, 2026 04:30

San Jose Earthquakes

#3 · 52 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Vancouver Whitecaps

#1 · 61 pts

P. Judd 4'

76' S. Berhalter

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Jose Earthquakes a 37% win probability (draw 27%, Vancouver Whitecaps 34%). The final result was San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps. In 1 previous meetings, San Jose Earthquakes have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Vancouver Whitecaps.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.97

Actual xG

1.60

Saves

28%

Possession

72%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽P. Judd

R. Vieira

25'

B. Kikanovic

36'

46'

E. Sabbi / C. Sabaly ↕

55'

S. Berhalter

↕ P. Marie / I. Harkes

62'

63'

K. G. Cabrera Nakamura / J. Badwal ↕

70'

A. Jackson / B. Caicedo ↕

↕ O. Bouda / J. Skahan

72'

76'

S. Berhalter⚽

J. Skahan

79'

↕ J. Ricketts / J. Jasinski

90'+6

↕ P. Judd / N. Adimabua

90'+6

Pre-match prediction

37.34%

San

27.76%

X ←

34.9%

Vancouver

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.76% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

San

1.90

0.97

-0.93

Vancouver

1.78

1.60

-0.18

Vancouver Whitecaps dominated by xG (1.60 vs 0.97). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	33	61
2	FC Dallas	33	55
3	San Jose Earthquakes	33	52
4	St. Louis City	33	51
5	Houston Dynamo	33	51
6	Los Angeles FC	33	47
7	Los Angeles Galaxy	33	44
8	Portland Timbers	33	43
9	Colorado Rapids	33	43
10	Seattle Sounders	33	43
11	Real Salt Lake	33	42
12	Minnesota United FC	33	41
13	San Diego	33	38
14	Austin	33	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	33	23

Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1

Daniel G 7.50

D. Romney D 7.00

R. Roberts D 6.50

D. Munie D 6.60

B. Kikanovic D 7.00

Beau Leroux M 6.70

R. Vieira M 6.50

J. Ricketts 89' M 7.00

O. Bouda 72' M 6.50

P. Marie 62' M 6.90

P. Judd 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.60

Bench

I. Harkes 28' M 6.90

Jack Jasinski 1' D

J. Gónzalez M

J. Skahan 18' M 6.20

M. Floriani D

Nate Crockford G

N. Buck M

N. Fernandez M

Nonso Adimabua 1' F

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1

Y. Takaoka G 7.20

T. Johnson D 7.20

M. Laborda D 6.20

T. Blackmon D 7.20

É. Ocampo D 6.30

A. Cubas M 7.50

S. Berhalter 1 ⚽ M 7.90

Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez 70' M 6.20

J. Badwal 63' M 6.20

C. Sabaly 45' M 6.90

B. White F 6.70

Bench

A. Jackson 20' M 6.30

E. Sabbi 45' F 6.00

I. Boehmer G

Jean-Claude Ngando M

Kenji Cabrera 27' F 6.90

M. Gherasimencov D

O. Larraz M

R. Elloumi F

R. Veselinović D

Best on the pitch

S. Berhalter

M · Vancouver

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 82 pass

P. Judd

F · San

7.60

1 ⚽

3 shots · 8 pass

Daniel

G · San

7.50

· 36 pass

A. Cubas

M · Vancouver

7.50

1 shots · 66 pass

T. Blackmon

D · Vancouver

7.20

· 96 pass

Y. Takaoka

G · Vancouver

7.20

· 39 pass

San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Daniel	G	90	7.50	—	—	—	36	19%	—	—	—
D. Romney	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	22	16%	4	—	—
R. Roberts	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	17	14%	2	—	—
D. Munie	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	30	25%	2	—	—
B. Kikanovic	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	30	18%	5	1	—
Beau Leroux	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	19	11%	2	—	—
R. Vieira	M	90	6.50	—	—	1	19	11%	1	1	—
J. Ricketts	M	89	7.00	—	—	—	9	5%	4	—	—
O. Bouda	M	72	6.50	—	—	—	10	9%	4	—	—
P. Marie	M	62	6.90	—	—	—	11	6%	1	—	—
P. Judd	F	89	7.60	1	—	3	8	2%	—	—	—
I. Harkes	M	28	6.90	—	—	—	7	5%	2	—	—
Jack Jasinski	D	1	—	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
J. Skahan	M	18	6.20	—	—	—	2	2%	—	1	—
Nonso Adimabua	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Y. Takaoka	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	39	33%	—	—	—
T. Johnson	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	52	43%	6	—	—
M. Laborda	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	54	48%	2	—	—
T. Blackmon	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	96	91%	—	—	—
É. Ocampo	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	43	37%	4	—	—
A. Cubas	M	90	7.50	—	—	1	66	60%	6	—	—
S. Berhalter	M	90	7.90	1	—	3	82	63%	1	1	—
Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez	M	70	6.20	—	—	2	13	11%	2	—	—
J. Badwal	M	63	6.20	—	—	2	29	26%	1	—	—
C. Sabaly	M	45	6.90	—	—	1	10	9%	2	—	—
B. White	F	90	6.70	—	—	1	20	16%	—	—	—
A. Jackson	M	20	6.30	—	—	1	14	14%	—	—	—
E. Sabbi	F	45	6.00	—	—	1	14	11%	—	—	—
Kenji Cabrera	F	27	6.90	—	—	—	31	28%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The final score was San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps.

What did the model predict before San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The model assigned 37% probability to a San Jose Earthquakes win, 27% to a draw, and 34% to an Vancouver Whitecaps win.